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_____xCampbell Resources Inc.
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Why I hate Elliott Wave AnalysisYa gotta give em credit - it starts simple enuf with the A-B-C thing, five [5] waves etc. I CANT stand all the subwaves, min-waves, minute waves, sub-minuettes, etc. Way too complex and NO ONE ever agrees on anything, LOL. In fact, since Campbell is in the hands of the Big Guys, the Controllers, who have to live with the Manipulators out of the financial centers, much like the relationship between Moose & Wolves. Looking at it in light of Warrant excercise levels, and new-worthy events, I could see this kind of A - B - C type scenario develop: 1/ Based on all the 'Leading' Guru's projections of an upside blast off for Gold & Metals NOW, contrarian-wise, I figure it WILL happen, but not NOW. A couple of indicators I use say, YES, but NOT now ! 2/ It seems to me the earliest we could arrive @ the $CDN 15 Cent level would be the Thurs or Fri after John Embrey is/has been on ROBTV This also seems to be the latest time it could happen, since we are getting quite close and the manipulators are either fighting it or timing it for the RIGHT moment. 3/ A - B - C 'wise', if Highs and Lows alternate, then my "Scientific Wild Guess" would be that this moment and week of Embrey's ROB-TV appearance[or just after] would be the most oppurtune time for Campbell to breech the 15 cent level [just ask yourself what plans the Manipulators have for this time slot?? LoL lOl] 4/ IF, and ONLY if, this analysis were even partially right, WHAT would be the Next 'waypoint' be for Campbell stock. Above Part 3 of this scenario would be an " - A - " HIGH for Campbell, and thereby, after "A", comes "B", which would be a LOW. By defination, this "B" low could not be higher than its preceding "A", so if ANY of this works, the "B" low would work out be lower than what Campbell hits the 2nd week of Feb, Not Later Than [NLT] close of business Fri 2/9/07 So using my handy-dandy Fibonacci Timer, I get the next big cluster of "significant" dates to be around Mar 8, viola, the TRADE SHOW. The trade show however brings us back to CCAA. Right now the trade show is supposed to be when Campbell HAS ALREADY exited CCAA, so theoretically, Campbell would have been OUT Of CCAA by the SHOW. That however would not well fit my current hypothesis of timing, sooooo 5/ HOW ABOUT THIS SCENario Sports Fans: By THE SHOW, everyone is dying, Campbell stock is drifting down from the 15-18 cent HI it made POST RoB-TV/Embrey, back down to the 12 Cent range that has now changed from a ceiling to a floor. Everyone is almost demoralized. BUT the ANNOUNCEMENT of the CCAA EXIT is DONE @ the RESOURCE SHOW. To me, that would be the perfect place for the " - B - " LOW to occur What do you guys think? 6/ So then what? IF at any time, Campbell could breech the next warrant excerise level of $CDN 30 cents it would be on the next rally, which by my indicators appears to be about 2 1/2 calendar mo's long with a small 4-5 day correction in the middle of it, SO FAR. I only get a 3 month peek into the cloudy future [crystal ball got dropped, so is cracked an cloudy], but a day count forward gives us a rally into early May, which could easily carry Campbell well over the $CDN 50 cent area in my mind - weird and conjecture I admit. 7/ My course of action? HOLDING CAMPBELL, long & strong, BUying more just previous to Mar 1-3 before the show, maybe even very late Feb. anticipating that to be the LOW, and perhaps plans will change depending on developments. 8/ Right now I get a FIB cluster of dates in Mid-April so I guess that either relates to time of maximum price momentum, [as of now], or major development - I have no clue why these dates cluster they way they do, except that they relate to previous price movements and dates upon which they occur. Either way, good luck ya'll, do your DD, and DONT beleive fortune-tellers. My Scientific Wild Guesses? They are just that, semi-educated guesses, so use this road at your own risk, LOL. Good Luck, DG |
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