Health Care / Pharma Stocks 9-16-20
Yield in the spreadsheet below is based on the Q3-20 dividend. Header
abbreviations: Div = dividend; EPS = earnings per share; LTM = last
twelve months; YTD = year to date.
Companies that pay dividends less than 4 times per year have had their
annual payouts divided by four and encoded in this data as if they paid a
quarterly dividend. AZN pays
two unidentical dividends per year. The last four columns measure the
percentage change in the 2020 EPS projection; the change in the price
target since the beginning of the year;
the change in the dividend since Q3-19; and the average yearly change in
the dividend since Q3-17. AGN aquired by ABBV in May 2020. Shire is now
part of Takeda Pharmaceutical.
| 12-30-19 | Current | Dividend | Div | Div/ | Div/ | Percent Change |
Company and ticker | Price | Price | /Quarter | Yield | EPS20 | EPS21 | Price | Pr+Div | EPS20 | EPS21 | Target | Div_1yr | Div_3yr |
Agilent Technologies | (A) | 85.31 | 99.82 | 0.180 | 0.72 | 23.2% | 20.2% | 17.01 | 17.43 | -9.09 | -6.16 | 18.76 | 9.76 |
10.90 |
AbbVie Inc. | (ABBV) | 88.54 | 89.78 | 1.180 | 5.26 | 49.5% | 45.9% | 1.40 | 5.40 | 1.28 | 1.28 | 13.23 | 10.28 |
23.91 |
AmerisourceBergen_Corp | (ABC) | 85.02 | 96.79 | 0.420 | 1.74 | 22.5% | 20.5% | 13.84 | 14.83 | -0.93 | 1.06 | 18.67 | 5.00 |
4.79 |
Abbott Laboratories | (ABT) | 86.86 | 105.70 | 0.360 | 1.36 | 43.8% | 35.4% | 21.69 | 22.52 | -8.61 | 1.11 | 44.14 | 12.50 |
10.82 |
Allergan PLC | (AGN) | 191.17 | 193.02 | 0.740 | 1.53 | 18.4% | 16.7% | 0.97 | 1.74 | -5.18 | -1.65 | -0.02 | 0.00 |
1.88 |
Amgen Inc. | (AMGN) | 241.07 | 247.76 | 1.600 | 2.58 | 41.1% | 37.8% | 2.78 | 4.10 | -1.33 | -2.03 | 11.96 | 10.34 |
11.66 |
AstraZeneca PLC | (AZN) | 49.86 | 55.13 | 0.343 | 2.49 | 69.9% | 55.2% | 10.57 | 11.94 | -4.85 | -3.40 | 11.68 | -0.00 |
0.00 |
Baxter International Inc. | (BAX) | 83.62 | 81.68 | 0.245 | 1.20 | 29.6% | 25.7% | -2.32 | -1.73 | -11.50 | -9.36 | 2.79 | 11.36 |
15.30 |
Bayer AG | (BAYRY) | 20.28 | 16.59 | 0.182 | 4.40 | 37.1% | 32.6% | -18.20 | -16.40 | -3.90 | -7.80 | -21.73 | 0.00 |
0.00 |
Becton,_Dickinson_&_Comp | (BDX) | 271.97 | 227.03 | 0.790 | 1.39 | 31.7% | 24.7% | -16.52 | -15.94 | -20.70 | -9.16 | 0.95 | 2.60 |
2.67 |
Bristol-Myers Squibb Comp | (BMY) | 64.19 | 59.45 | 0.450 | 3.03 | 28.7% | 24.2% | -7.38 | -5.28 | 3.29 | 2.97 | 9.98 | 9.76 |
4.94 |
Bruker Corp | (BRKR) | 50.97 | 38.60 | 0.040 | 0.41 | 13.3% | 9.6% | -24.27 | -24.11 | -34.07 | -21.43 | -8.15 | 0.00 |
0.00 |
Cardinal Health, Inc. | (CAH) | 50.58 | 47.21 | 0.486 | 4.12 | 35.5% | 32.8% | -6.66 | -3.78 | 8.95 | 4.57 | 15.12 | 1.04 |
1.71 |
Quest Diagnostics | (DGX) | 106.79 | 114.55 | 0.560 | 1.96 | 25.9% | 24.7% | 7.27 | 8.84 | 28.30 | 29.04 | 26.30 | 5.66 |
7.59 |
Gilead Sciences Inc. | (GILD) | 64.98 | 65.65 | 0.680 | 4.14 | 38.7% | 39.1% | 1.03 | 3.12 | 1.15 | 8.36 | 2.60 | 7.94 |
9.36 |
GlaxoSmithKline PLC | (GSK) | 46.99 | 39.42 | 0.465 | 4.72 | 61.8% | 61.2% | -16.11 | -13.14 | -2.59 | -6.47 | 1.04 | -21.19 |
-1.31 |
Hill-Rom Holdings | (HRC) | 113.53 | 84.49 | 0.220 | 1.04 | 16.1% | 15.4% | -25.58 | -25.19 | -1.27 | -22.83 | -3.53 | 4.76 |
6.96 |
Johnson & Johnson | (JNJ) | 145.87 | 148.40 | 1.010 | 2.72 | 51.3% | 44.7% | 1.73 | 3.81 | -13.42 | -9.79 | 7.02 | 6.32 |
6.34 |
Eli Lilly and Company | (LLY) | 131.43 | 150.96 | 0.740 | 1.96 | 40.7% | 37.0% | 14.86 | 16.55 | 7.39 | 3.10 | 27.51 | 14.73 |
12.52 |
McKesson Corporation | (MCK) | 138.32 | 152.75 | 0.420 | 1.10 | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.43 | 11.04 | 4.11 | -1.95 | 19.50 | 2.44 |
7.42 |
Medtronic Inc. | (MDT) | 113.45 | 107.49 | 0.580 | 2.16 | 51.9% | 57.4% | -5.25 | -3.72 | -20.18 | -35.36 | -6.37 | 7.41 |
8.03 |
Merck & Co. Inc. | (MRK) | 90.95 | 85.57 | 0.610 | 2.85 | 42.7% | 38.5% | -5.92 | -3.90 | 2.14 | 2.32 | -2.04 | 10.91 |
9.21 |
Novo Nordisk A/S | (NVO) | 57.88 | 67.96 | 0.220 | 1.29 | 32.5% | 29.1% | 17.42 | 18.17 | 0.37 | -7.06 | 12.74 | -0.59 |
2.77 |
Novartis AG | (NVS) | 94.69 | 89.85 | 0.502 | 2.23 | 35.2% | 31.9% | -5.11 | -4.05 | -0.52 | -2.96 | 3.47 | 8.97 |
-3.89 |
Pfizer Inc. | (PFE) | 39.18 | 36.78 | 0.380 | 4.13 | 51.9% | 45.5% | -6.13 | -3.22 | 1.38 | 20.42 | -0.29 | 5.56 |
5.90 |
Perrigo Company PLC | (PRGO) | 51.66 | 49.84 | 0.225 | 1.81 | 22.3% | 20.6% | -3.52 | -2.22 | -4.04 | -2.38 | 10.74 | 7.14 |
12.14 |
ResMed Inc. | (RMD ) | 154.97 | 174.06 | 0.390 | 0.90 | 34.8% | 29.5% | 12.32 | 12.82 | 11.72 | 19.20 | 29.58 | 0.00 |
3.71 |
Roche Holding AG | (RHHBY) | 40.66 | 46.01 | 0.285 | 2.48 | 43.3% | 41.0% | 13.16 | 14.56 | 10.04 | 3.35 | 17.47 | 2.43 |
4.58 |
Smith & Nephew PLC | (SNN) | 48.07 | 40.80 | 0.182 | 1.79 | 51.0% | 34.8% | -15.12 | -13.98 | -34.10 | -9.22 | -11.58 | 4.29 |
6.59 |
Sanofi | (SNY) | 50.20 | 51.81 | 0.425 | 3.28 | 50.1% | 46.4% | 3.21 | 4.90 | -0.29 | -2.94 | 11.10 | -5.07 |
17.81 |
Steris PLC | (STE) | 152.42 | 170.16 | 0.400 | 0.94 | 28.4% | 30.5% | 11.64 | 12.16 | 1.26 | -15.62 | 4.58 | 8.11 |
8.87 |
Stryker Corporation | (SYK) | 209.94 | 215.81 | 0.575 | 1.07 | 36.3% | 25.9% | 2.80 | 3.62 | -29.79 | -10.63 | -7.27 | 10.58 |
10.60 |
Teva Pharmaceutical | (TEVA) | 9.80 | 9.19 | 0.000 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -6.22 | -6.22 | 5.02 | 10.88 | 35.44 | NaN |
NaN |
Teleflex Incorporated | (TFX) | 376.44 | 357.90 | 0.340 | 0.38 | 13.3% | 10.1% | -4.93 | -4.74 | -19.31 | -11.90 | 5.42 | -0.00 |
0.00 |
Thermo Fisher Scientific, Inc | (TMO) | 324.87 | 433.88 | 0.220 | 0.20 | 7.1% | 5.1% | 33.55 | 33.76 | -8.75 | 14.78 | 39.06 | 15.79 |
13.63 |
Zimmer Biomet Holdings,
| (ZBH) | 149.68 | 145.93 | 0.240 | 0.66 | 20.2% | 12.4% | -2.51 | -2.02 | -42.58 | -13.99 | -4.74 | 0.00 |
0.00 |
Zoetis Inc. | (ZTS) | 132.35 | 161.25 | 0.200 | 0.50 | 23.9% | 20.1% | 21.84 | 22.29 | -16.46 | -14.21 | 24.08 | 21.95 |
24.04 |
Anthem, Inc. | (ANTM) | 302.03 | 263.62 | 0.950 | 1.44 | 17.1% | 15.1% | -12.72 | -12.09 | -1.81 | -3.88 | -0.06 | 18.75 |
10.85 |
HCA Healthcare | (HCA) | 147.81 | 138.01 | 0.430 | 1.25 | 27.0% | 15.8% | -6.63 | -6.05 | -45.17 | -15.69 | -8.06 | 7.50 |
7.26 |
Humana Inc. | (HUM) | 366.52 | 399.07 | 0.625 | 0.63 | 13.4% | 11.4% | 8.88 | 9.39 | 0.21 | 1.93 | 22.59 | 13.64 |
16.21 |
United Health | (UNH) | 293.98 | 306.52 | 1.250 | 1.63 | 30.2% | 27.0% | 4.27 | 5.12 | 2.73 | -1.99 | 10.82 | 15.74 |
18.58 |
U.S. Physical Therapy | (USPH) | 114.35 | 93.33 | 0.320 | 1.37 | 206.5% | 52.0% | -18.38 | -17.82 | -80.32 | -28.25 | -26.60 | 18.52 |
16.97 |
Average |
|
|
|
| 1.97 | 36.4% | 28.9% | 0.55 | 1.73 | -7.89 |
| 8.52 | NaN | NaN |
With the 10 Treasury at 0.687% and the sector average yield on Q3 dividends at 1.92% - the spread is 124 basis points. |
The cap weighted ETF XLV has changed 4.11% year to date - with dividends included, its total return is 4.49%. |
The yield on the XLV is 1.32% using the sum of LTM dividends - while LTM dividend growth is 12.86%. |
|
Earnings Growth & P/E Ratios - Yahoo projections for 2020 & 2021
9-16
Fiscal and calendar years are not in sync. ABC, AGN,
BDX, CAH, MCK, MDT and PRGO began fiscal 2020 at least one quarter
earlier than calendar 2020.
Several stocks sell at valuations based
on their drug pipelines - and short-term growth in EPS fails to capture a
growth picture which is expected to come in 2018 and beyond.
BAYRY,
RHHBY and TEVA still lacked 2022 projections - but since I need those
numbers in multiple spreadsheets, I have provided temporary guesstimates
for them.
| Earnings / Share | Earnings Growth
| P/E Ratios |
Co. | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 18-19 | 19-20 | 20-21 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
A | 304 | 174 | 198 | 236 | 279 | 311 |
310 |
357 |
11.47% |
-0.32% |
15.16%
|
42.30 |
35.78 |
32.10 |
32.20 |
27.96 |
ABBV | 332 | 429 | 482 | 555 | 791 | 894 |
953 |
1028 |
13.02% |
6.60% |
7.87% |
16.18 |
11.35 |
10.04 |
9.42 |
8.73 |
ABC | 397 | 496 | 562 | 588 | 649 | 709 |
746 |
818 |
9.24% |
5.22% |
9.65% |
16.46 |
14.91 |
13.65 |
12.97 |
11.83 |
ABT | 228 | 215 | 220 | 250 | 288 | 324 |
329 |
407 |
12.50% |
1.54% |
23.71% |
42.28 |
36.70 |
32.62 |
32.13 |
25.97 |
AGN | 100 | 1320 | 1351 | 1635 | 1669 | 1764 |
1611 |
1774 |
5.69% |
-8.67% |
10.12% |
11.81 |
11.57 |
10.94 |
11.98 |
10.88 |
AMGN | 870 | 1038 | 1165 | 1267 | 1440 | 1482 |
1556 |
1691 |
2.92% |
4.99% |
8.68% |
19.55 |
17.21 |
16.72 |
15.92 |
14.65 |
AZN | 214 | 213 | 216 | 187 | 173 | 175 |
196 |
248 |
1.16% |
12.00% |
26.53% |
29.48 |
31.87 |
31.50 |
28.13 |
22.23 |
BAX | 266 | 138 | 196 | 243 | 305 | 331 |
331 |
382 |
8.52% |
0.00% |
15.41% |
33.61 |
26.78 |
24.68 |
24.68 |
21.38 |
BAYRY | 200 | 191 | 202 | 269 | 175 | 179 |
197 |
224 |
2.29% |
10.06% |
13.71% |
6.17 |
9.48 |
9.27 |
8.42 |
7.41 |
BDX | 625 | 716 | 859 | 948 | 1101 | 1168 |
996 |
1278 |
6.09% |
-14.73% |
28.31% |
23.95 |
20.62 |
19.44 |
22.79 |
17.76 |
BMY | 185 | 201 | 283 | 299 | 398 | 469 |
627 |
743 |
17.84% |
33.69% |
18.50% |
19.88 |
14.94 |
12.68 |
9.48 |
8.00 |
BRKR | 75 | 89 | 119 | 121 | 140 | 157 |
120 |
166 |
12.14% |
-23.57% |
38.33% |
31.90 |
27.57 |
24.59 |
32.17 |
23.25 |
CAH | 384 | 438 | 524 | 540 | 500 | 528 |
548 |
593 |
5.60% |
3.79% |
8.21% |
8.74 |
9.44 |
8.94 |
8.61 |
7.96 |
DGX | 410 | 477 | 515 | 565 | 631 | 536 |
866 |
907 |
-15.06% |
61.57% |
4.73% |
20.27 |
18.15 |
21.37 |
13.23 |
12.63 |
GILD | 809 | 1261 | 1157 | 853 | 667 | 663 |
702 |
695 |
-0.60% |
5.88% |
-1.00% |
7.70 |
9.84 |
9.90 |
9.35 |
9.45 |
GSK | 296 | 232 | 266 | 290 | 310 | 316 |
301 |
304 |
1.94% |
-4.75% |
1.00% |
13.59 |
12.72 |
12.47 |
13.10 |
12.97 |
HRC | 225 | 264 | 338 | 386 | 475 | 508 |
545 |
573 |
6.95% |
7.28% |
5.14% |
21.89 |
17.79 |
16.63 |
15.50 |
14.75 |
JNJ | 597 | 620 | 673 | 728 | 818 | 868 |
787 |
904 |
6.11% |
-9.33% |
14.87% |
20.38 |
18.14 |
17.10 |
18.86 |
16.42 |
LLY | 278 | 343 | 352 | 422 | 555 | 604 |
727 |
800 |
8.83% |
20.36% |
10.04% |
35.77 |
27.20 |
24.99 |
20.76 |
18.87 |
MCK | 835 | 1111 | 1208 | 1254 | 1262 | 1357 |
1495 |
1521 |
7.53% |
10.17% |
1.74% |
12.18 |
12.10 |
11.26 |
10.22 |
10.04 |
| Earnings / Share | Earnings Growth
| P/E Ratios |
Co. | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 18-19 | 19-20 | 20-21 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
MDT | 382 | 428 | 437 | 460 | 477 | 522 |
447 |
404 |
9.43% |
-14.37% |
-9.62% |
23.37 |
22.53 |
20.59 |
24.05 |
26.61 |
MRK | 349 | 359 | 378 | 395 | 434 | 519 |
572 |
634 |
19.59% |
10.21% |
10.84% |
21.66 |
19.72 |
16.49 |
14.96 |
13.50 |
NVO | 162 | 201 | 222 | 238 | 252 | 246 |
270 |
302 |
-2.38% |
9.76% |
11.85% |
28.55 |
26.97 |
27.63 |
25.17 |
22.50 |
NVS | 523 | 483 | 471 | 476 | 515 | 540 |
571 |
630 |
4.85% |
5.74% |
10.33% |
18.88 |
17.45 |
16.64 |
15.74 |
14.26 |
PFE | 226 | 220 | 240 | 259 | 300 | 295 |
293 |
334 |
-1.67% |
-0.68% |
13.99% |
14.20 |
12.26 |
12.47 |
12.55 |
11.01 |
PRGO | 639 | 773 | 759 | 488 | 455 | 403 |
404 |
437 |
-11.43% |
0.25% |
8.17% |
10.21 |
10.95 |
12.37 |
12.34 |
11.41 |
RMD | 247 | 257 | 268 | 282 | 353 | 364 |
448 |
529 |
3.12% |
23.08% |
18.08% |
61.72 |
49.31 |
47.82 |
38.85 |
32.90 |
RHHBY | 156 | 175 | 184 | 191 | 221 | 255 |
263 |
278 |
15.38% |
3.14% |
5.70% |
24.09 |
20.82 |
18.04 |
17.49 |
16.55 |
SNN | 166 | 170 | 165 | 189 | 193 | 202 |
143 |
210 |
4.66% |
-29.21% |
46.85% |
21.59 |
21.14 |
20.20 |
28.53 |
19.43 |
SNY | 345 | 282 | 314 | 328 | 323 | 335 |
339 |
366 |
3.72% |
1.19% |
7.96% |
15.80 |
16.04 |
15.47 |
15.28 |
14.16 |
STE | 299 | 339 | 376 | 415 | 415 | 489 |
564 |
524 |
17.83% |
15.34% |
-7.09% |
41.00 |
41.00 |
34.80 |
30.17 |
32.47 |
SYK | 473 | 512 | 580 | 647 | 731 | 826 |
634 |
889 |
13.00% |
-23.24% |
40.22% |
33.36 |
29.52 |
26.13 |
34.04 |
24.28 |
TEVA | 507 | 542 | 514 | 372 | 292 | 240 |
251 |
263 |
-17.81% |
4.58% |
4.78% |
2.47 |
3.15 |
3.83 |
3.66 |
3.49 |
TFX | 574 | 633 | 734 | 840 | 990 | 1115 |
1024 |
1347 |
12.63% |
-8.16% |
31.54% |
42.61 |
36.15 |
32.10 |
34.95 |
26.57 |
TMO | 696 | 739 | 827 | 936 | 1112 | 1235 |
1241 |
1725 |
11.06% |
0.49% |
39.00% |
46.35 |
39.02 |
35.13 |
34.96 |
25.15 |
ZBH | 606 | 690 | 796 | 803 | 764 | 787 |
476 |
777 |
3.01% |
-39.52% |
63.24% |
18.17 |
19.10 |
18.54 |
30.66 |
18.78 |
ZTS | 153 | 173 | 196 | 237 | 313 | 364 |
335 |
399 |
16.29% |
-7.97% |
19.10% |
68.04 |
51.52 |
44.30 |
48.13 |
40.41 |
ANTM | 932 | 1016 | 1100 | 1204 | 1589 | 1944 |
2225 |
2517 |
22.34% |
14.45% |
13.12% |
21.90 |
16.59 |
13.56 |
11.85 |
10.47 |
HCA | 470 | 556 | 687 | 600 | 977 | 1050 |
636 |
1091 |
7.47% |
-39.43% |
71.54% |
23.00 |
14.13 |
13.14 |
21.70 |
12.65 |
HUM | 751 | 814 | 1092 | 1171 | 1455 | 1787 |
1868 |
2189 |
22.82% |
4.53% |
17.18% |
34.08 |
27.43 |
22.33 |
21.36 |
18.23 |
UNH | 604 | 645 | 805 | 1007 | 1288 | 1511 |
1656 |
1850 |
17.31% |
9.60% |
11.71% |
30.44 |
23.80 |
20.29 |
18.51 |
16.57 |
USPH | 194 | 200 | 194 | 208 | 265 | 282 |
62 |
246 |
6.42% |
-78.01% |
296.77% |
44.87 |
35.22 |
33.10 |
150.53 |
37.94 |
Sector Average |
|
|
|
|
|
| 7.19% | -0.39% | 23.48% | 25.73 | 22.33 | 20.62 | 23.70 | 17.92 |