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Msg  96230 of 711888  at  7/6/2012 8:25:59 AM  by

valueconcious


NG Production Growing again ?

June inched up 130 mmcf per day from May. Early July looks strong (only three days) at nearly 65 BCF per day. July figures are very early, but if production isn't growing the figures certainly do not show it falling.

Production looks pretty stubborn at about 64BCF since March. Hell, Early July figures are above last years production levels. Production peaked in November at 68.51. but production looks to be holding strong and stubborn since March. What bout shut-in Production? If you count this, production would be stronger!

When will the drop in the NG rig count show up in the production figures? Is the increase in associated gas compensating as some contend? Are we still working off the NG backlog?

I just don't see the drop in production that people have been talking about, especially when you factor the amount of production shut-ins announced by the big boys. Are we pipeline constrained? Any pipeline expansions that might surprise us with production upticks? I know CWEI is now producing Reeves County instead of flaring it. I am sure others are following suit.

Bottom line. No real production decline. Remember we have NG shut in. The decline just ain't there!

 

==============================Monthly.US.Dry-Gas.Supply.Models.(BCF/Day)=============================
......................Net.US.Supply..............................Production.......................Dry-Gas.Imports........LNG.Imports.(Revaporized)
_____ 2009__2010__2011__2012___ 2009__2010__2011__2012__ 2009_2010_2011_2012__ 2009_2010_2011_2012
01......68.71...68.64...72.20...72.11......59.75...58.37...64.27...66.99.....7.89...8.50...7.20...4.65......1.06...1.77...0.73...0.47.
02......67.44...67.90...68.62...69.87......58.93...58.44...61.75...65.05.....7.65...8.00...6.13...4.39......0.86...1.46...0.75...0.43.
03......65.73...64.43...68.73...68.53......57.96...57.01...63.33...64.38.....6.84...6.46...4.80...3.75......0.93...0.96...0.60...0.41.
04......66.75...65.19...70.16...69.52......58.82...57.45...64.72...65.44.....6.55...6.70...4.83...3.75......1.37...1.03...0.61...0.33.
05......63.94...66.45...68.87...67.65......57.46...59.26...64.49...63.83.....4.99...6.30...3.94...3.65......1.49...0.89...0.44...0.17.
06......65.03...66.40...69.42...68.42......57.59...59.07...65.01...63.96.....6.25...6.27...4.00...4.27......1.20...1.06...0.41...0.18.
07......63.33...67.98...69.82...69.40i.....54.78...59.74...64.07...64.55i....7.66...7.65...5.48...4.66i......0.90...0.59...0.27...0.19i
08......64.24...69.39...70.89..................55.23...61.63...65.95.................8.34...7.25...4.71................0.67...0.50...0.22...........
09......60.57...68.16...71.20..................52.27...61.16...66.83.................7.58...6.43...4.11................0.72...0.56...0.26...........
10......61.73...68.06...72.71..................54.94...61.79...67.83.................6.03...5.77...4.53................0.76...0.50...0.35...........
11......63.55...68.07...72.78..................56.74...63.04...68.51.................6.05...4.45...4.02................0.76...0.58...0.25...........
12......65.35...74.27...71.55..................56.79...66.60...66.15.................7.22...6.83...4.98................1.33...0.84...0.42........... 



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Replies
Msg # Subject Author Recs Date Posted
96235 Re: NG Production Growing again ? Land_Lubber 17 7/6/2012 9:06:44 AM
96238 Re: NG Production Growing again ? movin_on_again 12 7/6/2012 9:13:43 AM


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