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OBE Q3 resultsObsidian Energy Announces Third Quarter 2022 Results and Updated 2022 Guidance
Calgary, Alberta--(Newsfile Corp. - November 8, 2022) - OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD. (TSX: OBE) (NYSE American: OBE) ("Obsidian Energy", the "Company", "we", "us" or "our") is pleased to report operating and financial results for the third quarter of 2022.
(1) We adhere to generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP"); however, we also employ certain non-GAAP measures to analyze financial performance, financial position, and cash flow, including funds flow from operations, adjusted funds flow from operations, net debt, netback and net operating costs. Additionally, other financial measures are also used to analyze performance. These non-GAAP and other financial measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures provided by other issuers. The non-GAAP and other financial measures should not be considered to be more meaningful than GAAP measures which are determined in accordance with IFRS, such as net income (loss) and cash flow from operating activities, as indicators of our performance. Detailed information can be found in Obsidian Energy's unaudited consolidated financial statements and management's discussion and analysis ("MD&A") as at and for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, on our website at www.obsidianenergy.com, which will be filed on SEDAR and EDGAR in due course. KEY THIRD QUARTER 2022 RESULTS With active drilling and completions in all the Company's core areas, third quarter production increased 24 percent to 29,985 boe/d over 2021, and further grew to over 33,000 boe/d currently with the addition of seven new wells (6.8 net) on production in the fourth quarter. Higher production and commodity prices in the third quarter resulted in a 76 percent increase in funds flow from operations ("FFO") from the third quarter of 2021 and generated positive free cash flow of $27.1 million. During the third quarter and into the fourth quarter, we achieved strong production results from our ongoing development program, reduced our net debt, successfully acquired additional land for prospective Bluesky, Clearwater and Cardium opportunities, purchased a key gas plant in Peace River to secure future offtake capacity and commenced exploration drilling in our highly prospective Clearwater play. 2022 Third Quarter Financial Highlights
2022 Third Quarter Operational Highlights
2022 Highlights Subsequent to the Quarter
2022 DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM UPDATE The largest development program that the Company has undertaken in several years, our second half 2022 program is well underway in all our core areas with 13 wells (12.8 net) rig-released in the third quarter: five Cardium wells (4.8 net) in Pembina and Willesden Green, six Bluesky wells (6.0 net) in Peace River, one Mannville gas well (1.0 net) in Willesden Green, and one vertical Devonian well (1.0 net). Of those wells, six wells (6.0 net) are on production in Peace River along with eight Viking wells (8.0 net) that were rig-released in the second quarter of 2022. Another six wells (6.0 net) were rig-released and nine wells (8.8 net) brought on production in October, resulting in strong initial production ("IP") rates in the Peace River and Willesden Green areas. With a second rig now drilling in the Peace River area, we are focused on completing the drilling of the remainder of the 35 well (33.9 net) second half program by year-end. In total, we expect 65 wells (63.4 net) will be rig-released in 2022, of which 52 wells (50.7 net) are expected to be on production by the end of the year. Peace River In the third quarter, we rig-released six Bluesky wells (6.0 net) from our second half 2022 program, with an additional two Bluesky wells (2.0 net) rig-released in October. Three wells (3.0 net) were on production in the third quarter; the remaining five wells (5.0) are expected to come on production throughout the fourth quarter. Results are in line with expectations with six of the recent wells drilled on production at ~800 boe/d (98 percent heavy oil) in total. Some of these wells are producing through rate limited temporary production facilities to accelerate clean-up times; production rates will continue to strengthen as the wells transition to higher oil rates. In addition, we began drilling the first well (1.0 net) of the remaining five Bluesky wells (5.0 net) to be drilled in the fourth quarter. While testing an edge location of a producing pool, we encountered reservoir stability issues resulting in low productivity on a single two-well pad drilled late in the first half of 2022, which is reflected in our updated production guidance (see 'Updated 2022 Guidance'). The information gathered during the drilling of this pad has been incorporated into our mapping and future inventory locations. In late October 2022, we furthered the delineation and exploration of our land base with the spud of the first of two wells (2.0 net) targeting the Clearwater play; our second well is expected to spud in December. As part of our larger exploration process, these wells will provide key information towards an extensive 2023 Clearwater exploration program. Both wells will be evaluated and tested in late 2022 and early 2023, respectively. In parallel with the Bluesky, our Clearwater acreage offers significant exploration and development upside with identified drilling opportunities, and represents a compelling risked value opportunity. During the third quarter, we purchased the Seal 9-15 gas plant in Peace River, contributing to our dominant infrastructure position in the area (approximately 70 percent of the total area gas processing capacity) while providing expected strong future cash flow through third-party processing fees. The Seal gas plant has approximately 10 mmcf/d of capacity and is currently operating at about 65 percent capacity. Obsidian Energy currently delivers less than 1 mmcf/d of gas to the facility, leaving ample room for our near term and future development programs. Ownership of this plant combined with our existing infrastructure solidifies Obsidian Energy's unique position compared to peers in this increasingly competitive development area. The acquisition supports our long-term Environmental, Social and Governance strategy of minimizing flaring and emissions, and aides in meeting provincial gas conservation regulations unique to this area. The Company currently conserves over 95 percent of gas in the Peace River area. In October 2022, we increased our substantial land position in the Peace River area with the purchase of 10 sections (approximately 6,400 acres) of prospective Bluesky and Clearwater rights at the Alberta land sale for a consideration of approximately $4.0 million. The Company has identified 51 potential Bluesky locations and 32 potential Clearwater opportunities on this newly acquired acreage through technical evaluation of the parcels. In total, we have acquired 33.5 sections for a total consideration of $17.9 million in 2022. This brings our total land ownership to 497 sections of heavy oil rights in Peace River. Through the 2022 land sales acquisitions, Obsidian Energy estimates that it has added a total of 79 potential Bluesky locations and 46 potential Clearwater opportunities. Willesden Green Willesden Green continues to provide high quality economic development across multiple formations for the Company. During the third quarter, Obsidian Energy drilled four wells (4.0 net) targeting the Cardium formation and one liquids-rich Mannville well (1.0 net). Currently, four wells (4.0 net) are on production, providing excellent rates and robust economic returns. The two wells at the Crimson 3-03 Pad are meeting expectations and capital efficiencies for top tier Cardium development with average IP 30-day rates of 597 boe/d (69 percent oil) per well. The third well on the 4-17 Pad surpassed internal expectations with peak daily production rates of 698 boe/d (84 percent oil). The Mannville gas well is still in early production with a peak daily rate of 1,158 boe/d (16 percent oil). We expect to complete the drilling of three additional wells in our Willesden Green area during the remainder of 2022. Pembina The two Cardium wells (1.8 net) on the 16-09 Pad were drilled and rig released during the third quarter. Online in early October, total pad production is currently approximately 560 boe/d (72 percent oil) as the wells continue to clean up and improve. In addition, one exploration vertical Devonian well (1.0 net) was drilled and is currently under evaluation during the quarter. Drilling of the final well on the three-well 14-6 Pad in South Lodgepole is being completed, and we expect to finish drilling three additional Cardium wells (2.7 net) and one vertical Devonian well (0.5 net) by year-end. Viking All eight (8.0 net) wells from our first half Viking program are on production, adding a peak total rate of over 1,000 boe/d to the Esther field. As part of this program the Company drilled a step-out well to test the western extent of the play, which displayed peak and last 60-day production rates of 242 boe/d (88 percent oil) and 211 boe/d (86 percent oil), respectively, and exhibits minimal decline. As one of the most prolific Viking wells drilled in the area, it provides an outstanding economic return and effectively delineates the area, opening multiple additional development locations on our extensive land position. DEBT REFINANCING On July 27, 2022, we completed a private placement issuance of senior unsecured notes and entered into new syndicated credit facilities providing a more favourable debt structure with long-term debt capital and credit facilities to meet our ongoing operational liquidity needs. The refinancing was composed as follows:
2022 UPDATED GUIDANCE Our 2022 guidance has been updated to capture our latest production estimates that incorporate several strategic and investment decisions. A prolonged break-up period due to excessively wet ground conditions delayed the start of our second half development operations in Central Alberta. The Company chose to focus on capital efficiency rather than incur significant additional costs to enforce a premature start. Our updated guidance incorporates this modified second half development program, including on-stream production delays, recent strong well results, lower than expected results on one Peace River pad from the first half of 2022 (see "Peace River') and our 2022 development program adjustment to 65 wells (63.4 net) from a total of 68 wells (65.0 net) for the year. Production guidance has been lowered by approximately three percent to 31,000 boe per day (at the midpoint), representing a 26 percent increase over 2021, with associated adjustments to net operating costs and general and administrative expenses on a per boe basis. Operating cost guidance reflects the impact of higher than anticipated third quarter electrical power rates and additional inflationary pressures. Our capital expenditures guidance has been increased to account for: incremental success in land sale activity in our Clearwater, Bluesky and Cardium plays; acquisition of the Seal 9-15 gas plant; accelerated exploration investment in our Clearwater holdings; higher working interest in certain operated projects; incremental non-operated activity; and inflationary pressures. Regarding 2023, the Company is currently reviewing our program and, once the 2023 capital budget has been approved (which is expected to occur in mid-December) detailed guidance will be provided, which will supersede our previously disclosed preliminary 2023 forecast. With the release of our 2023 guidance, we also expect to announce our intentions regarding our shareholder return of capital plans. Our updated 2022 guidance is presented below.
1) Mid-point of 2022E updated guidance range: 11,715 bbl/d light oil, 6,065 bbl/d heavy oil, 2,475 bbl/d NGLs and 64.5 mmcf/d natural gas. Mid-point of 2022E previous guidance of 12,350 bbl/d light oil, 6,325 bbl/d heavy oil, 2,525 bbl/d NGLs and 64.6 mmcf/d natural gas. Average production volumes in 2022 do not include any forecasted production associated with Clearwater exploratory capital expenditures. HEDGING UPDATE The Company continues to focus our hedging program on near term WTI positions to protect cashflow given our first half capital program. As at November 7, 2022, the following financial oil and gas contracts are in place on a weighted average basis: WTI Oil Contracts
AECO Natural Gas Contracts
UPDATED CORPORATE PRESENTATION For further information on these and other matters, Obsidian Energy will post an updated corporate presentation later today on our website, www.obsidianenergy.com. ADDITIONAL READER ADVISORIES OIL AND GAS INFORMATION ADVISORY Barrels of oil equivalent ("boe") may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of crude oil is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalency conversion ratio of 6:1, utilizing a conversion on a 6:1 basis is misleading as an indication of value. TEST RESULTS AND INITIAL PRODUCTION RATES Test results and initial production rates disclosed herein, particularly those short in duration, may not necessarily be indicative of long-term performance or of ultimate recovery. Readers are cautioned that short term rates should not be relied upon as indicators of future performance of these wells and therefore should not be relied upon for investment or other purposes. A pressure transient analysis or well-test interpretation has not been carried out and thus certain of the test results provided herein should be considered preliminary until such analysis or interpretation has been completed. |
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