Interesting analogy Nawar uses, comparing the probability of PWE going under during this "oil armageddon" to the probability of a healthy woman in her twenties or thirties dying within a year or two. Are those two probabilities truly comparable? Any investor who really believes that should put every penny he owns into PWE, plus max out credit cards and take out a second mortgage on his house to put even more money into PWE. But I certainly wouldn't recommend it. I think the odds are with me with PWE, but it's also much riskier than Nawar believes it to be.