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Braskem S.A.
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Nassim Taleb Says Coronavirus Pandemic is Not a 'Black Swan'https://ihodl.com/opinion/2020-04-01/nassim-taleb-says-coronavirus-pandemic-not-black-swan/ Nassim Taleb Says Coronavirus Pandemic is Not a 'Black Swan'Shutterstock
Lebanese-American essayist, scholar, statistician, and former option trader and risk analyst Nassim Nicholas Taleb has introduced in 2007 the definition of the black swan, a theory considering difficult to predict and rare events that have significant consequences. In an interview with Bloomberg, Taleb said that the coronavirus pandemic was predictable, so it cannot be put on a par with the September 11 attacks and be considered as a "black swan."
Taleb said that people simply ignored this warning — the exception was the Donald Trump administration, which limited air traffic to China at an early stage to the spread of coronavirus. Taleb said:
The real "black swan," according to Taleb, is the events of September 11th. The coronavirus pandemic was predictable, which means it is a "white swan." The "white swans" are financial crises that happen not spontaneously, but naturally. As Taleb stated, since the pandemic was predictable, businesses and governments around the world have no excuses for such a low level of preparation for the spread of the virus:
According to Taleb, the further course of events is unpredictable, so companies should not rush and return their employees to work, even if the authorities order them. He stressed that in the current situation, the fate of employees should be decided by the heads of companies, not countries. |
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| Msg # | Subject | Author | Recs | Date Posted |
| 446449 | Re: Nassim Taleb Says Coronavirus Pandemic is Not a 'Black Swan' | myhorse | 2 | 4/17/2020 2:51:46 PM |
