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Conservative Projected revenue in the 1st QtrBeen thinking about this (scripts per month as the basis) since early January. If we assume that 80% of the 500 patients from the 4th qtr stay on Arikayce (400).. That equates to 400 X 3(mo) x $10,750/mo = $12.9M (US only) If we add 500 patients for 1.5 months (3mo/2) = 750 x $10,750 = $8.063M . So, a very conservative estimate would be around $21m not counting Europe. Obviously any increase in patients or decrease in dropouts (hope it is only 5%) would get us closer to $25M+. Thoughts???? (is my math wrong assuming $10,750/mo)? |
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