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Msg  25848 of 28590  at  11/23/2020 1:47:24 PM  by

robry825

The following message was updated on 11/23/2020 1:49:37 PM.

 In response to msg 25830 by  Wilk
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Re: What 's the rush Robry

>> There is a lot of variance in the human genome. A lot of varience in the
>> human immune system. There are all sorts of unexpected side effects in
>> medicine. Allergic reactions, ananphylactic reactions, antagonist reactions,
>> agonistic reactions, paradoxical reactions even after all the testing and
>> reviewing no telling what this vaccine will do.

For something less lethal, certainly, but with COVID-19 there are strong
correlations between deaths and confirmed cases (lagged appropriately), strong
correlations between confirmed cases and degree-days (lagged appropriately),
a global history of wintertime mortality hitting 10% peaks by such measures,
and a global mortality rate that is now in an accelerating climb in parallel
with climate in the Northern Hemisphere.

While there is a downside to rushing, there is a downside to waiting that in
my opinion is huge. The only question is which risk is larger. I cannot
answer that question because I only have sufficient data to measure risk on
that "waiting" side. I do not have the capability to measure the "rush" side.

I will say that in injectables, there are injectable chemicals, and there are
injectable biologicals. I have seen documentation on the chemical side, but
I have yet to find any good articles on adverse reactions to injectable
biologicals, other than manufacturing deficiencies which are unrelated to
the injectable but rather the manufacturing and/or distribution sequence.

But does it have to be "all or nothing"? How about an intermediate step while
we wait for the bureaucrats to think it all over... Say authorizing a million
dose maximum for the most at risk... The elderly... older front-line-medical...
and so forth.

Making the gravely-at-risk wait in their volnerability while the national
stockpiles grow (yes the US has taken delivery already of millions of doses)
I see as unconscionable.


-Rob


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Replies
Msg # Subject Author Recs Date Posted
25851 Re: What 's the rush Robry centex 3 11/23/2020 2:35:40 PM
25856 Re: What 's the rush Robry Lurker64 1 11/23/2020 2:54:13 PM
25874 Re: What 's the rush Robry kxviswan 1 11/23/2020 8:57:13 PM








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