Hi 4B, the similarities are self-evident, but they differ greatly in degree. I see TAP has 3.5B$ in debt, Russia is next to to both Turkey and Bulgaria and internally, both T&B are growing dictatorships. Egypt has a problem in the empty Sinai with Islamic extremists but they lack support from the main population and are too weak to overthrow the government.
We need some luck to actually find some crude in all the "geologic traps" we locate with 2-d and 3-d seismic. 2018-19 are critical for TGA to reach 20 boepd. If that does not boost the pps, we are probably done because time does not favor oil.