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Msg  60111 of 62968  at  3/15/2019 4:35:32 PM  by

Wily.Coyote


 In response to msg 60106 by  Karl.B
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Re: Just added a large bundle

It's very hard to predict the exact timing of events. I doubt Stan himself could predict accurately. I think that no matter what happens, we will end up at $2 or much higher. I can't see any scenario where NVAX is worth less than $2 to big pharma.

Scenario WITHOUT buyout:
* If NanoFlu got AA designation, then $2 is 100% guaranteed. We'll get FDA's decision about it before mid year. So, that's around the corner.

* If we get the green light to submit the BLA to the EMA, that's another $1. Total $3.

* If we get the green light to submit the BLA to the FDA, that's another $1. Total $4.

* If they accept the expanded data (i.e. exploratory data), that's another $4 (because it guarantees approval). Total $8.

So, it's $8 WITHOUT buyout. With buyout, make it $16.

I think the regulars here are feeling down because they were hoping we would be today at $8, without having to wait for all the if's and but's to come to good conclusions.

I decided to forget about the past and think about the present. It matters only what logic tells me today.

Today, logic told me that 52 cents are a steal. At 52 cents, I was able to buy tons of shares.


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Replies
Msg # Subject Author Recs Date Posted
60112 Re: Just added a large bundle Tennessee 0 3/15/2019 5:08:53 PM
60114 Re: Just added a large bundle der_deutschetrader 1 3/15/2019 5:41:35 PM
60122 Re: Just added a large bungle rezoom1 1 3/16/2019 10:12:22 AM


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