CDC says U.S. has ‘way too much virus’ to control pandemic | SCOXQ Message Board Posts

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Msg  161142 of 163430  at  6/30/2020 6:20:35 PM  by

BritTim


 In response to msg 161140 by  walterbyrd
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Re: CDC says U.S. has ‘way too much virus’ to control pandemic

Maybe we are seeing more infections, in part, because we are testing more. We are not seeing death rates, or hospitalization rates, go up.
The real number of those infected in the US is 5-10 times the acknowledged figure. From that point of view, yes, if you test more you do find some cases that would have been missed two months ago. However, when you test more widely, you expect the percentage of the tests that are positive to decline, whereas rates of positive tests relative to the total are actually increasing. More significantly, hospitalisations are increasing.
 
Death rates is a trailing indicator, and the spike in deaths would be expected to come later. Nevertheless, it is very possible, with more now being known about the best way to treat Covid-19, that death rates might be lower than a few months ago -- at least as long as health systems are not swamped and unable to provide optimum care. 


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