Gold, Silver and XLE Oscillators Jun 2 | Precious Metals Message Board Posts


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Msg  265261 of 266827  at  6/2/2023 4:19:22 PM  by

Vidiot


Gold, Silver and XLE Oscillators Jun 2

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Each day after market close the database is updated and scanned to determine how
many of the stocks are above their 50 day simple moving average. Each day's answer
is used to recalculate a 20 day simple moving average for the tally of stocks closing
above their 50 day simple moving average. That is the red line you see on the chart.
When the red line gets over 9 and starts up again, I use it as a low risk intermediate
term entry point into gold stocks that I like. When the red line gets over 26, I become
cautious and start thinking whether to sell out, sell calls, or do nothing.
.
The theory is that it takes a lot of selling to put at least 26 stocks of a 36 stock database
from the same sector under their 50 day simple moving average and keep them there
long enough for a 20 day simple moving average to drop below 9 and a lot of buying
for it then to rise up to 26 on the same 20 day basis It's purely sentiment, a measure
of fear and greed. Strangely, the most difficult thing to do is buy when the sentiment is
low, even though history shows time and again that the selling will stop soon. For me
the key is: be sure the sector is in a bull market and wait for that 20 day simple moving
average to start back up. That means that many of the stocks have stopped falling.
.
No indicator is foolproof. This one is no different and should be used in conjunction
with other indicators like MACD, RSI, and Stochs combined with some common sense.


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