Thanks for sharing my post :) And thank fairvalueforyou for reminding the previous post, and most importantly for the inspiration. It is really an original way to look at clinical trial updates.
I shared that article to my college classmates. One of them is a fund manager in China. He was excited but was not sure that is a known or proven way to look at trials. Any previous examples. He was anxious that no analyst or even the company itself talks about AZD1419. It seems it is not important to them.
All I can say is, look at the logic. Make your own judgement. Being ignored is a blessing in investment.