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Msg 491129 of 501787 at 3/31/2023 9:03:13 PM by

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Daily Gas Flows (Part 6- Supply)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

==========================================Monthly.US.Dry-Gas.Supply.Models.(BCF/Day)========================================
...........................Net.US.Supply..........................................Production.......................................Net.Dry-Gas.Imports........................Net LNG.Imports.(Exports)
_____ 2019__2020__2021__2022__2023___2019__2020__2021__2022__2023___ 2019__2020__2021__2022__2023___2019__ 2020__2021__2022__2023
01......84.75...87.79...84.61...85.32...87.75.....88.83...95.58...93.61...95.51...99.58......-0.66.....0.03.....0.67.....0.88....-0.08......-3.41....-7.82....-9.67..-11.07..-11.74
02......85.25...86.99...81.58...84.65...85.59.....88.67...94.54...88.39...94.56...97.79......-0.10....-0.03.....0.79.....0.95....-0.03......-3.32....-7.52....-7.60..-10.85..-12.18
03......85.03...86.09...82.11...84.31...82.27.....89.26...95.36...92.57...95.39...98.85.......0.17....-1.39....-0.61.....0.22....-3.44......-4.41....-7.88....-9.85..-11.31..-13.13
04......86.17...85.84...81.16...85.22.................90.62...94.17...92.16...95.60..................-0.29....-1.11....-0.88.....0.37..................-4.17....-7.22..-10.12..-10.74............
05......85.87...82.41...81.86...84.59.................91.17...89.52...93.05...96.37..................-0.55....-1.21....-1.48....-0.44..................-4.75....-5.90....-9.71..-11.33............
06......87.33...82.16...83.80...85.93.................92.54...87.80...94.57...96.45..................-0.61....-1.43....-1.26....-0.41..................-4.60....-4.21....-9.51..-10.12............
07......87.45...84.94...83.61...88.30.................92.73...88.75...94.70...97.95..................-0.07....-0.68....-1.13....-0.38..................-5.21....-3.14....-9.96....-9.27............
08......89.87...84.57...83.94...89.25.................94.96...89.39...95.26...99.12..................-0.34....-1.05....-1.55....-0.51..................-4.75....-3.76....-9.77....-9.36............
09......89.20...82.48...84.62...91.17.................94.90...89.11...94.93.100.76..................-0.48....-2.24....-1.36.....0.08..................-5.22....-4.39....-8.94....-9.67............
10......89.50...80.88...85.62...91.53.................95.64...89.03...96.45.100.65..................-0.81....-1.90....-1.33....-0.07..................-5.33....-6.25....-9.50....-9.05............
11......90.27...82.62...88.03...89.74.................97.11...91.50...98.41.101.45..................-0.49....-0.42....-0.27....-1.00..................-6.35....-8.46..-10.10..-10.71............
12......89.12...84.31...87.58...87.39.................96.49...93.35...99.25...98.40..................-0.23.....0.62....-0.59.....0.19..................-7.14....-9.66..-11.09..-11.19............

==================================Monthly US Dry-Gas Import/Export Models (BCF/Day)=================================
.......................Canadian Imports...............................Canadian.Exports...............................Mexican Imports*..............................Mexican Exports*
_____ 2019_ 2020_ 2021_ 2022_ 2023___ 2019_ 2020_ 2021_ 2022_ 2023___ 2019_ 2020_ 2021_ 2022_ 2023___2019_ 2020_ 2021_ 2022_ 2023
01........8.39....7.71....8.97....9.15....7.90........2.57....3.18....2.66....2.62....3.23........0.00....0.07....0.00....0.00....0.00.......6.49....4.58....5.64....5.65....4.75
02........7.70....8.06....8.89....8.97....7.79........3.05....2.89....2.48....2.61....3.17........0.00....0.09....0.01....0.00....0.00.......4.75....5.28....5.63....5.41....4.65
03........7.98....6.90....7.86....8.45....7.09........3.03....2.97....3.16....3.28....3.38........0.00....0.10....0.01....0.01....0.00.......4.77....5.42....5.32....4.96....7.16
04........7.24....6.38....7.08....8.39...................2.83....2.53....2.56....2.79...................0.00....0.02....0.00....0.01..................4.70....4.98....5.39....5.24...........
05........6.95....6.14....6.70....7.76...................2.62....2.30....2.48....2.60...................0.00....0.01....0.00....0.01..................4.88....5.06....5.71....5.61...........
06........6.59....6.14....6.90....7.71...................2.28....2.35....2.30....2.30...................0.00....0.00....0.00....0.00..................4.92....5.22....5.86....5.82...........
07........7.26....6.84....7.17....7.78...................2.25....2.35....2.23....2.25...................0.00....0.00....0.00....0.00..................5.08....5.17....6.07....5.91...........
08........7.15....6.48....7.17....7.63...................2.21....1.97....2.25....2.38...................0.00....0.01....0.00....0.00..................5.29....5.57....6.47....5.77...........
09........6.77....5.72....7.14....7.78...................2.09....2.06....2.23....2.07...................0.00....0.01....0.00....0.01..................5.16....5.90....6.27....5.63...........
10........6.17....6.11....6.84....7.81...................2.08....2.24....2.02....2.24...................0.00....0.01....0.00....0.02..................4.90....5.78....6.15....5.66...........
11........7.31....7.14....8.42....7.61...................2.79....2.50....2.94....2.95...................0.00....0.01....0.00....0.01..................5.01....5.07....5.75....5.67...........
12........7.88....8.54....8.39....8.41...................3.18....2.63....3.32....2.72...................0.02....0.00....0.00....0.00..................4.95....5.29....5.66....5.51...........

================Daily Net US Supply Model (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
01/27/23....87.39....87.67....87.43....86.03....86.61....86.34....87.16....608.63
02/03/23....86.76....87.82....85.84....83.18....81.90....83.14....85.49....594.13
02/10/23....86.19....85.86....86.19....88.14....86.27....85.01....85.06....602.72
02/17/23....86.22....86.14....86.22....85.51....83.72....83.60....85.49....596.89
02/24/23....85.41....85.45....85.55....85.38....85.18....86.19....85.57....598.74
03/03/23....86.20....85.97....87.84....87.54....82.34....81.81....81.74....593.43
03/10/23....82.01....81.82....83.14....83.62....82.55....82.64....81.73....577.51
03/17/23....82.46....83.46....83.24....83.00....81.80....81.13....81.71....576.80
03/24/23....83.05....83.24....83.26....81.38....80.80....82.01....82.30....576.04
03/31/23....83.29....83.77....83.03....82.34....81.50....80.63....79.70....574.27
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
03/25/22....84.07....84.77....84.98....84.37....84.96....83.78....84.67....591.62
04/01/22....85.17....86.45....86.71....86.58....85.73....85.37....85.38....601.38
04/08/22....84.88....85.70....85.46....84.74....85.43....84.56....83.94....594.71
04/15/22....84.32....84.36....85.21....85.45....86.06....84.89....87.15....597.43
04/22/22....85.66....86.07....85.01....84.11....83.39....84.63....85.75....594.64

================Daily US Production Model (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
01/27/23....99.66....99.86....99.88....97.63....98.47....97.93....98.74....692.15
02/03/23....98.79....98.77....97.74....95.00....93.84....95.72....96.51....676.36
02/10/23....97.61....97.89....98.47....99.79....98.21....97.82....97.90....687.68
02/17/23....98.44....98.10....98.43....98.18....96.93....96.72....97.68....684.48
02/24/23....97.82....98.01....97.98....98.15....97.80....97.49....96.48....683.74
03/03/23....97.96....97.62..100.13..100.44....98.63....98.02....98.86....691.66
03/10/23....99.19....98.76....98.81....98.85....98.82....98.88....98.56....691.87
03/17/23....98.71....98.91....98.48....97.82....97.90....97.90....98.03....687.74
03/24/23....98.70....98.65....98.89....98.40....98.18....98.90....99.43....691.16
03/31/23..100.17....99.86..100.32....99.69....99.20....99.75....99.06....698.05
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
03/25/22....95.80....96.18....95.97....95.26....96.12....95.45....95.40....670.17
04/01/22....96.26....96.82....96.83....95.84....96.61....96.59....97.00....675.95
04/08/22....96.35....96.97....96.75....95.01....95.18....94.97....94.84....670.06
04/15/22....95.14....95.38....96.08....96.38....96.12....95.77....95.67....670.54
04/22/22....95.88....95.85....94.92....95.01....93.53....95.29....95.85....666.33
....Estimated sample size: 72%

============Daily US Net Dry-Gas Imports Model (BCF/Day)===========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
01/27/23.....-0.15....-0.23.....-0.51......0.16......0.23......0.37......0.51......0.37
02/03/23.....-0.31......0.36....-0.25......0.51......0.25.....-0.07......1.51......2.00
02/10/23......0.96......0.18......0.05......0.23......0.09.....-0.87....-0.68.....-0.04
02/17/23......0.13......0.31.....-0.04....-0.48.....-1.02.....-0.81......0.19....-1.72
02/24/23.....-0.05....-0.33.....-0.43.....-0.85....-0.54.....-0.27......0.17.....-2.30
03/03/23......0.38......0.60......0.31......0.28.....-3.07....-2.95.....-3.47.....-7.92
03/10/23.....-3.26....-3.33.....-3.54.....-3.31....-3.54.....-3.28.....-3.69..-23.94
03/17/23.....-3.20....-2.88.....-2.97.....-2.44....-2.19.....-3.68.....-3.38..-20.72
03/24/23.....-2.93....-2.72.....-2.98.....-3.68....-3.87.....-3.33.....-3.90..-23.42
03/31/23.....-4.12....-3.98.....-4.35.....-3.64....-3.41.....-4.94.....-4.75..-29.18
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
03/25/22......0.08......0.14......0.13.....-0.47......0.06....-0.04......1.07......0.96
04/01/22......0.65......1.48......1.75......1.23......0.58......0.19......0.05......5.94
04/08/22......0.25......0.35.....-0.14....-0.21......0.38......0.45......0.32......1.40
04/15/22......0.37.....-0.02......0.15....-0.46......0.34......0.19......0.44......1.01
04/22/22......0.65......1.02......0.23......0.25......0.60.....-0.22......0.13......2.67
....Estimated sample size: 120%

===========Daily US LNG Imports (As Revaporized, BCF/Day)===========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
01/27/23...-12.12..-11.95...-11.94...-11.75..-12.09...-11.96...-12.08..-83.89
02/03/23...-11.71..-11.31...-11.65...-12.34..-12.18...-12.51...-12.53..-84.23
02/10/23...-12.38..-12.21...-12.34...-11.87..-12.03...-11.94...-12.17..-84.92
02/17/23...-12.35..-12.27...-12.18...-12.19..-12.19...-12.32...-12.37..-85.87
02/24/23...-12.36..-12.23...-12.00...-11.92..-12.08...-11.03...-11.09..-82.70
03/03/23...-12.14..-12.26...-12.60...-13.18..-13.22...-13.25...-13.65..-90.31
03/10/23...-13.91..-13.62...-12.12...-11.92..-12.74...-12.97...-13.14..-90.42
03/17/23...-13.05..-12.57...-12.28...-12.38..-13.91...-13.09...-12.94..-90.22
03/24/23...-12.73..-12.69...-12.65...-13.33..-13.51...-13.56...-13.23..-91.71
03/31/23...-12.77..-12.10...-12.94...-13.71..-14.28...-14.18...-14.61..-94.60
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
03/25/22...-11.81..-11.55...-11.12...-10.41..-11.21...-11.63...-11.79..-79.52
04/01/22...-11.75..-11.85...-11.88...-10.49..-11.46...-11.41...-11.66..-80.51
04/08/22...-11.72..-11.62...-11.15...-10.06..-10.12...-10.86...-11.23..-76.75
04/15/22...-11.19..-11.00...-11.03...-10.47..-10.40...-11.07.....-8.97..-74.12
04/22/22...-10.87..-10.79...-10.14...-11.16..-10.73...-10.44...-10.24..-74.36
....Estimated sample size: 81%

==============Daily US Imports From Canada (BCF/Day)==============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
01/27/23......7.90......7.80......8.00......8.03......8.02......7.99......7.87....55.62
02/03/23......7.96......8.00......8.19......8.30......8.21......7.76......8.79....57.21
02/10/23......8.58......7.94......8.00......7.97......7.94......7.05......7.05....54.52
02/17/23......7.90......7.85......7.80......7.38......7.03......7.21......7.81....52.97
02/24/23......7.62......7.34......7.29......7.17......7.32......7.83......8.19....52.76
03/03/23......8.27......8.34......8.23......8.32......7.60......8.07......7.73....56.56
03/10/23......7.54......7.44......7.64......7.46......7.40......7.39......7.33....52.20
03/17/23......7.36......7.43......7.39......7.61......7.46......6.87......7.21....51.34
03/24/23......7.49......7.94......7.86......6.89......6.79......7.12......6.77....50.87
03/31/23......6.48......6.49......6.15......6.41......6.45......5.08......5.04....42.10
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
03/25/22......7.94......7.92......7.91......7.92......8.41......8.51......9.29....57.90
04/01/22......8.60......9.10......9.38......9.35......8.96......8.53......8.41....62.34
04/08/22......8.19......8.25......8.01......8.13......8.16......8.43......8.05....57.22
04/15/22......8.07......8.08......7.90......7.85......8.07......8.40......8.27....56.64
04/22/22......8.41......8.55......8.22......8.47......8.70......8.10......8.64....59.08
....Estimated sample size: 115%

===============Daily US Exports To Canada (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
01/27/23......3.22......3.24......3.18......3.15......3.20......3.26......3.18....22.43
02/03/23......3.31......2.94......2.94......2.68......2.71......2.95......2.39....19.93
02/10/23......2.52......3.10......3.13......3.23......3.22......3.24......3.25....21.70
02/17/23......3.24......3.27......3.24......3.26......3.25......3.29......3.19....22.74
02/24/23......3.28......3.25......3.26......3.27......3.29......3.34......3.23....22.93
03/03/23......3.23......3.38......3.40......3.39......3.54......3.56......3.53....24.05
03/10/23......3.41......3.57......3.56......3.49......3.46......3.55......3.45....24.50
03/17/23......3.50......3.47......3.58......3.42......3.34......3.45......3.50....24.25
03/24/23......3.20......3.27......3.27......3.22......3.25......3.39......3.47....23.08
03/31/23......3.46......3.44......3.41......3.45......3.36......2.48......2.58....22.17
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
03/25/22......3.32......3.33......3.34......3.36......3.30......3.30......3.18....23.12
04/01/22......3.18......3.10......2.91......3.19......3.29......3.31......3.11....22.08
04/08/22......2.68......2.89......2.85......2.90......2.54......2.61......2.64....19.13
04/15/22......2.54......2.76......2.61......2.75......2.63......2.77......2.60....18.66
04/22/22......2.81......2.80......2.80......2.79......2.73......2.80......2.85....19.57
....Estimated sample size: 205%

==============Daily US Imports From Mexico (BCF/Day)==============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
01/27/23......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.01
02/03/23......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.01
02/10/23......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.01
02/17/23......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.01
02/24/23......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.01
03/03/23......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.01
03/10/23......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.01
03/17/23......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00
03/24/23......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.01
03/31/23......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
03/25/22......0.01......0.02......0.02......0.01......0.00......0.01......0.01......0.07
04/01/22......0.01......0.02......0.01......0.01......0.00......0.01......0.01......0.07
04/08/22......0.01......0.01......0.01......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.04
04/15/22......0.01......0.01......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.01......0.01......0.06
04/22/22......0.01......0.01......0.01......0.00......0.00......0.01......0.01......0.05
....Estimated sample size: 8%

===============Daily US Exports To Mexico (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
01/27/23......4.83......4.80......5.33......4.72......4.59......4.36......4.18....32.83
02/03/23......4.96......4.71......5.50......5.10......5.24......4.87......4.89....35.29
02/10/23......5.10......4.65......4.82......4.51......4.63......4.67......4.48....32.87
02/17/23......4.52......4.27......4.60......4.60......4.80......4.73......4.43....31.95
02/24/23......4.40......4.41......4.45......4.75......4.57......4.76......4.79....32.13
03/03/23......4.67......4.36......4.52......4.64......7.13......7.45......7.66....40.44
03/10/23......7.39......7.20......7.63......7.28......7.48......7.11......7.57....51.66
03/17/23......7.06......6.84......6.77......6.63......6.31......7.10......7.09....47.81
03/24/23......7.23......7.39......7.56......7.36......7.40......7.07......7.20....51.21
03/31/23......7.14......7.04......7.09......6.60......6.50......7.54......7.21....49.12
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
03/25/22......4.56......4.47......4.45......5.03......5.06......5.25......5.05....33.88
04/01/22......4.78......4.54......4.73......4.94......5.10......5.04......5.26....34.38
04/08/22......5.26......5.01......5.30......5.45......5.25......5.38......5.09....36.74
04/15/22......5.17......5.35......5.14......5.57......5.11......5.46......5.24....37.03
04/22/22......4.96......4.74......5.20......5.43......5.38......5.53......5.66....36.90
....Estimated sample size: 81%

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