|
|
Energy Investing
|
|
||
Daily Gas Flows (Part 7- Demand)--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ========================================================Monthly.US.Dry-Gas.Demand.Models.(BCF/Day)======================================================== .......................................................................................Residential.and ........................Net.US.Demand.................................Commercial.Demand.............................Generation.Demand..............................Industrial.Demand....................................Storage.Demand............... ____ 2018__2019__2020__2021__2022__ 2018__2019__2020__2021__2022__ 2018__2019__2020__2021__2022__ 2018__2019__2020__2021__2022___ 2018__ 2019__2020__2021__2022 01....88.89...95.67...96.49...93.19...93.12....47.05...40.45...34.19...33.95...36.22....32.81...36.36...39.70...40.02...43.12....38.56...40.69...40.78...42.00...45.27....-29.53..-21.83..-18.19..-22.77..-31.48. 02....90.31...93.69...95.63...90.92...92.78....36.65...37.27...33.64...41.94...29.78....30.97...36.62...40.17...39.54...40.17....39.73...40.65...40.23...38.02...45.98....-17.04..-20.84..-18.41..-28.58..-23.15. 03....91.76...92.65...94.32...91.41...93.44....30.72...27.81...20.24...19.94...19.19....32.12...33.59...36.94...32.87...35.59....37.95...40.07...39.17...40.37...44.71......-9.02....-8.82....-2.04....-1.77....-6.05. 04....89.91...93.60...94.40...89.77...93.81....20.49.....9.82...16.19...10.39.....9.49....30.81...31.74...32.55...33.25...33.75....37.81...39.56...35.99...40.39...44.04.......0.81...12.47.....9.68......5.75......6.52. 05....90.76...92.64...91.55...90.63...93.74......4.13.....3.43.....6.34.....1.92...-2.36....35.87...35.11...35.42...37.37...40.78....36.87...38.87...35.57...38.35...42.79.....13.88...15.23...14.23....12.98....12.53. 06....90.27...94.55...91.41...92.34...93.88......2.57.....0.84....-3.78...-4.37.-12.39....40.62...42.60...47.17...48.18...52.61....35.30...36.80...35.76...39.54...42.35......11.79...14.32...12.26......8.98....11.31. 07....92.41...94.94...94.76...91.42...95.46......2.36....-2.81....-6.92...-6.81...-9.75....49.24...52.50...57.87...52.41...59.30....35.08...36.87...38.56...40.73...40.43........5.74.....8.38.....5.25......5.09......5.48. 08....94.04...98.13...93.92...92.16...96.02......3.09....-0.58....-4.91...-7.29...-9.62....48.42...52.44...53.29...53.19...57.44....35.13...37.31...38.57...41.16...41.58........7.40.....8.96.....6.97......5.09......6.62. 09....95.81...98.00...90.54...93.01...97.93......3.56.....2.03.....0.76...-2.49...-6.85....45.37...47.34...43.50...44.06...49.41....35.87...34.85...35.47...38.81...41.21......11.01....13.79...10.82....12.63....14.15. 10....97.87...98.59...88.49...93.25...99.33....13.34...11.76.....7.56...-1.98.....4.63....39.13...39.56...40.73...42.32...39.74....35.84...35.54...36.93...41.44...40.97........9.56....11.72.....3.27....11.45....13.99. 11....94.78...99.48...89.38...95.42...97.84i...27.36...27.16...12.33...12.74...14.19i...34.99...37.07...36.07...40.52...41.11i....39.02...40.09...40.92...45.39...43.94i.....-6.59....-4.85......0.06....-3.24....-1.39i 12....94.86...98.07...91.78...95.72................32.11...31.04...27.97...19.80................33.35...39.00...39.89...40.78................39.52...41.31...42.34...45.99................-10.12..-13.28...-18.42..-10.84.............. ================Daily Net US Demand Model (BCF)================ _Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total 09/30/22....98.37....98.20....98.96....99.57....99.76....99.60....99.66....694.11 10/07/22..101.40..102.04..103.11..100.48..100.35....99.72..101.03....708.13 10/14/22..101.35..101.71..100.90..100.07....98.80....98.90....95.28....696.99 10/21/22....99.03..100.24..100.10....97.81....97.93....99.84....98.96....693.91 10/28/22....99.07..100.15....99.81....98.14....96.50....97.78....96.32....687.76 11/04/22....97.51....97.40....97.58....96.14....95.07....95.97....95.65....675.32 11/11/22....93.08....93.81....95.36....94.12....94.38....95.30....96.26....662.31 11/18/22....97.05....98.76..100.46....98.35....98.43....98.80....99.47....691.32 11/25/22....98.13....98.28....98.87....98.74..101.86..102.49..101.71....700.09 12/02/22..100.75..100.61..101.12....98.34...........................................400.81i __________________________Year_Ago__________________________ 11/26/21....94.89....94.46....95.35....97.21....96.45....96.85....97.27....672.47 12/03/21....97.38....97.49....97.30....96.08....95.31....95.06....95.54....674.16 12/10/21....96.16....96.54....96.18....96.15....96.03....96.96....95.96....673.98 12/17/21....94.71....95.35....96.09....95.82....95.46....94.02....94.93....666.38 12/24/21....94.83....95.33....95.03....94.35....95.63....95.77....97.40....668.34 =======Daily US Residential & Commercial Demand Model (BCF)======== _Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total 09/30/22.....-4.44....-6.54.....-6.44.....-1.51......3.70......4.71......6.19......-4.33 10/07/22......4.82......6.53......5.87......3.18......2.86......2.61......4.54......30.41 10/14/22....10.53......7.37......2.73......2.65.....-0.34......0.96......1.79......25.69 10/21/22....12.29......8.23......5.37......5.94....11.64....14.18....12.08......69.73 10/28/22......5.51.....-0.76....-2.38.....-2.37.....-0.92......4.51......4.75........8.34 11/04/22......6.81......2.90.....-0.40....-0.35......4.77......6.26......4.21......24.19 11/11/22......1.98......0.69......2.32......3.69......6.42......4.94......1.82......21.86 11/18/22....13.44....16.17....19.76....16.60....20.29....23.94....28.49....138.69 11/25/22....29.37....26.51....25.29....24.21....26.50....24.46....21.50....177.84 12/02/22....16.40....13.19....16.07....12.51.............................................58.16i __________________________Year_Ago__________________________ 11/26/21....17.55....12.11......9.06....20.31....21.35....21.79....17.75....119.92 12/03/21....22.02....18.95....15.79....13.75....17.88....16.58....17.80....122.77 12/10/21....20.34....19.30....13.79....15.81....24.98....23.55....22.68....140.45 12/17/21....14.71....14.27....15.40....16.09....16.42....14.57....18.56....110.02 12/24/21....20.31....21.43....22.82....24.52....28.16....31.97....32.24....181.46 =============Daily US Generation Demand Model (BCF)============= _Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total 09/30/22....40.52....41.75....44.05....41.37....40.58....39.15....38.71....286.12 10/07/22....35.87....36.44....40.00....42.59....43.93....42.63....41.34....282.80 10/14/22....36.60....36.90....40.43....41.71....43.50....43.37....39.69....282.20 10/21/22....35.33....36.60....41.17....43.83....43.55....41.80....37.39....279.66 10/28/22....33.65....36.12....39.81....41.55....40.93....40.05....38.64....270.75 11/04/22....37.06....38.17....41.46....41.08....40.46....39.55....38.52....276.28 11/11/22....36.16....38.27....41.55....41.61....40.12....39.77....40.72....278.19 11/18/22....41.41....44.10....46.49....49.40....48.33....47.38....45.88....323.00 11/25/22....43.06....44.36....45.11....43.27....39.80....35.48....34.64....285.73 12/02/22....33.16....35.82....37.60....39.05...........................................145.63i __________________________Year_Ago__________________________ 11/26/21....40.14....39.74....44.73....43.97....40.09....36.62....39.91....285.21 12/03/21....38.79....40.61....43.57....44.57....42.24....41.33....39.71....290.81 12/10/21....37.38....38.54....42.71....48.98....46.79....45.92....41.30....301.62 12/17/21....39.35....41.79....44.69....43.27....40.66....39.86....38.73....288.35 12/24/21....40.00....44.29....47.97....48.04....45.53....40.03....33.12....298.98 ....Estimated sample size: 26% =============Daily US Industrial Demand Model (BCF)=============== _Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total 09/30/22....43.13....41.47....40.93....41.16....39.84....39.28....37.50....283.32 10/07/22....40.07....38.27....37.30....37.41....37.88....38.52....40.47....269.93 10/14/22....40.14....40.01....39.73....38.90....38.47....40.42....40.42....278.10 10/21/22....41.87....41.36....41.01....40.62....41.57....42.15....43.93....292.52 10/28/22....44.28....44.01....42.84....42.15....42.76....42.38....43.24....301.66 11/04/22....42.83....42.97....42.10....42.02....41.41....41.70....42.81....295.85 11/11/22....43.10....42.47....41.52....41.49....42.01....43.25....44.42....298.26 11/18/22....44.44....44.38....44.38....44.25....43.77....44.26....44.15....309.63 11/25/22....45.05....44.65....44.34....45.44....45.08....46.47....45.37....316.39 12/02/22....45.93....45.90....46.01....44.08...........................................181.92i __________________________Year_Ago__________________________ 11/26/21....47.42....47.32....46.99....46.58....46.40....45.73....45.91....326.34 12/03/21....45.81....45.45....46.06....45.71....45.77....45.32....45.46....319.59 12/10/21....45.45....45.59....45.67....45.28....45.62....46.23....46.06....319.91 12/17/21....46.07....45.61....46.11....47.15....46.34....45.86....45.89....323.01 12/24/21....46.44....45.89....45.74....45.86....46.57....46.48....46.90....323.90 ....Estimated sample size: 7% =============Daily US Storage Demand Model (BCF)================ _Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total 09/30/22....19.15....21.51....20.43....18.54....15.65....16.46....17.26....129.00 10/07/22....20.64....20.81....19.94....17.30....15.67....15.96....14.68....125.00 10/14/22....14.07....17.42....18.01....16.80....17.17....14.14....13.38....111.00 10/21/22......9.54....14.05....12.54......7.42......1.18......1.71......5.56......52.00 10/28/22....15.63....20.78....19.53....16.81....13.73....10.83......9.69....107.00 11/04/22....10.82....13.36....14.42....13.40......8.43......8.47....10.11......79.00 11/11/22....11.84....12.38......9.98......7.34......5.83......7.34......9.30......64.00 11/18/22.....-2.24....-5.90...-10.17...-11.90..-13.96...-16.78...-19.05....-80.00 11/25/22...-19.35..-17.24...-15.86...-14.18....-9.52.....-3.92......0.19.....-79.88 12/02/22......5.26......5.70......1.44......2.70.............................................15.11i __________________________Year_Ago__________________________ 11/26/21...-10.23....-4.70.....-5.44...-13.66..-11.39.....-7.29.....-6.30....-59.00 12/03/21.....-9.24....-7.52.....-8.13.....-7.94..-10.57.....-8.16.....-7.43....-59.00 12/10/21.....-7.02....-6.90.....-5.99...-13.92..-21.35...-18.74...-14.09....-88.00 12/17/21.....-5.42....-6.32...-10.10...-10.68....-7.96.....-6.27.....-8.25....-55.00 12/24/21...-11.92..-16.28...-21.50...-24.07..-24.64...-22.72...-14.87..-136.00 |
return to message board, top of board |
Msg # | Subject | Author | Recs | Date Posted |
466564 | NG pricing | Land_Lubber | 9 | 11/29/2022 10:25:59 PM |