Energy Investing - Prediciting bear markets // Three things you can count on - Energy Investing - InvestorVillage


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Msg  452389 of 467209  at  10/1/2022 5:15:45 PM  by

hf6e

The following message was updated on 10/1/2022 5:17:13 PM.

 In response to msg 452372 by  Naamkat
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Re: Prediciting bear markets // Three things you can count on

  
You are right, the global fertility rate is dropping.
At 2.4 currently, it is well above replacement rate but by 21XY we will peak.
At least this is what "technical analysis" of the chart below says.
But can you model the future? The fertility rate has peaks, bumps and valleys in
individual countries and globally. Look at 1950-1965. What if a more renewable,
cleaner, less warming world, convinces women to have more babies?
For your rhetorical question the answer is in the last 2 charts. Energy consumption
per capita, World and US. Over the last 50 yrs, while the US was tightening its energy
belt, the world was having a 50% growth. But notice also, what Volcker did to per
capita energy consumption in the US.
 
 
 
 
 
 


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