Energy Investing - Daily Gas Flows (Part 6- Supply) - Energy Investing - InvestorVillage


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Msg  441785 of 452459  at  8/17/2022 2:30:39 AM  by

robry825


Daily Gas Flows (Part 6- Supply)

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=======================================Monthly.US.Dry-Gas.Supply.Models.(BCF/Day)=====================================
............................Net.US.Supply...........................................Production....................................Dry-Gas.Imports...................LNG.Imports.(Revaporized)
_____ 2018__2019__2020__2021__2022___ 2018__2019__2020__2021__2022__ 2018_2019_2020_2021_2022__ 2018__2019__2020__2021__2022
01......88.89...95.67...96.49...93.19...93.12......86.84...98.50.105.29.102.65.103.61.....3.61...0.88...1.16...2.91...3.46.....-1.56...-3.71...-9.95.-12.37.-13.95.
02......90.31...93.69...95.63...90.92...92.78......89.56...97.79.104.04...97.90.102.99.....2.86..-0.26...1.30...2.93...3.42.....-2.11...-3.84...-9.72...-9.92.-13.62.
03......91.76...92.65...94.32...91.41...93.44......90.69...97.90.104.56.102.78.104.06.....3.42..-0.06...0.07...1.50...3.20.....-2.35...-5.19.-10.31.-12.87.-13.82.
04......89.91...93.60...94.40...89.77...93.81......90.05...98.95.103.68.101.55.103.58.....3.03..-0.54...0.25...1.32...3.35.....-3.17...-4.81...-9.52.-13.09.-13.12.
05......90.76...92.64...91.55...90.63...93.74......90.62...99.10...99.37.101.93.104.03.....2.92..-0.78...0.05...0.97...2.99.....-2.79...-5.69...-7.87.-12.28.-13.28.
06......90.27...94.55...91.41...92.34...93.88......90.93.100.87...97.76.102.51.103.02.....2.67..-0.85..-0.24...1.70...3.33.....-3.32...-5.47...-6.11.-11.87.-12.47.
07......92.41...94.94...94.76...91.42...95.46......92.66.101.44...98.80.102.20.103.81.....2.65..-0.28...0.69...1.98...3.15.....-2.90...-6.22...-4.74.-12.77.-11.50.
08......94.04...98.13...93.92...92.16...96.04i.....94.96.104.22...99.22.102.95.104.82i....2.08..-0.28...0.60...1.84...2.87i.....-3.00...-5.81...-5.90.-12.64.-11.55i
09......95.81...98.00...90.54...93.01..................96.45.104.61...97.80.102.56.................1.69..-0.18..-0.28...2.12...............-2.33...-6.42...-6.98.-11.66...........
10......97.87...98.59...88.49...93.25..................98.29.105.51...97.44.103.74.................2.07..-0.18...0.15...1.72...............-2.49...-6.74...-9.10.-12.21...........
11......94.78...99.48...89.38...95.42..................99.71.107.17...99.91.106.09................-0.71...0.41...1.48...2.33...............-4.22...-8.10.-12.02.-13.01...........
12......94.86...98.07...91.78...95.72..................99.49.106.27.101.98.107.46................-0.09...0.79...2.73...2.17...............-4.54...-8.99.-12.94.-13.91...........



==============================================Monthly US Dry-Gas Import/Export Models (BCF/Day)==============================================
..............Net US Dry-Gas Imports............................Canadian Imports...............................Canadian.Exports..........................Mexican Imports*........................Mexican Exports*
____ 2018_2019_2020_2021_2022____ 2018__2019__2020__2021__2022___2018_2019_2020_2021_2022___2018_2019_2020_2021_2022__ 2018_2019_2020_2021_2022
01......3.61...0.88...1.16...2.91...3.46..........8.60.....8.46.....7.14.....8.53.....8.41.......3.04...3.03...2.88...2.57...2.42.......0.00...0.00...0.05...0.18...0.34......1.94...4.55...3.15...3.23...2.87.
02......2.86..-0.26...1.30...2.93...3.42..........7.93.....7.58.....7.51.....8.39.....8.43.......3.18...3.32...2.64...2.26...2.38.......0.00...0.00...0.07...0.13...0.14......1.89...4.52...3.64...3.33...2.77.
03......3.42..-0.06...0.07...1.50...3.20..........8.04.....7.71.....6.42.....7.41.....7.91.......2.88...3.24...2.76...2.91...2.91.......0.00...0.00...0.11...0.11...0.65......1.74...4.52...3.69...3.12...2.45.
04......3.03..-0.54...0.25...1.32...3.35..........8.13.....7.02.....5.94.....6.66.....7.87.......3.34...3.14...2.46...2.34...2.54.......0.00...0.00...0.14...0.04...0.46......1.77...4.41...3.37...3.04...2.44.
05......2.92..-0.78...0.05...0.97...2.99..........7.32.....6.86.....5.88.....6.32.....7.49.......2.50...3.08...2.35...2.30...2.37.......0.00...0.00...0.17...0.05...0.37......1.90...4.56...3.65...3.09...2.49.
06......2.67..-0.85..-0.24...1.70...3.33..........7.50.....6.58.....5.94.....6.64.....7.55.......2.99...2.92...2.47...2.25...2.12.......0.00...0.00...0.05...0.16...0.35......1.84...4.51...3.76...2.86...2.45.
07......2.65..-0.28...0.69...1.98...3.15..........7.69.....7.33.....6.72.....6.84.....7.55.......3.21...3.09...2.52...2.18...2.13.......0.00...0.00...0.12...0.15...0.16......1.82...4.52...3.62...2.83...2.42.
08......2.08..-0.28...0.60...1.84...2.87i.........7.30.....7.22.....6.36.....6.86.....7.25i......3.41...2.92...2.14...2.21...2.23i.......0.00...0.00...0.14...0.18...0.23i.....1.81...4.58...3.75...2.98...2.39i
09......1.69..-0.18..-0.28...2.12....................6.97.....6.73.....5.58.....6.76...................3.53...2.62...2.25...2.11.................0.00...0.00...0.16...0.34................1.75...4.30...3.77...2.87...........
10......2.07..-0.18...0.15...1.72....................6.96.....6.02.....5.85.....6.28...................2.99...2.34...2.38...1.90.................0.00...0.00...0.23...0.24................1.91...3.86...3.55...2.90...........
11.....-0.71...0.41...1.48...2.33....................7.25.....7.07.....6.78.....7.80...................3.49...2.85...2.56...2.75.................0.00...0.00...0.27...0.09................4.46...3.80...3.01...2.81...........
12.....-0.09...0.79...2.73...2.17....................7.96.....7.45.....8.16.....7.77...................3.58...3.02...2.63...3.03.................0.00...0.01...0.30...0.27................4.47...3.65...3.09...2.84...........
......* = Experimental Model



===============Daily Net US Supply Model (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
06/17/22....94.54....94.44....94.84....93.45....93.57....93.97....93.73....658.53
06/24/22....94.20....94.62....94.45....93.48....94.19....93.81....94.89....659.64
07/01/22....95.24....95.68....94.87....92.32....93.03....91.79....94.18....657.12
07/08/22....94.53....94.94....94.65....94.59....94.89....93.53....95.06....662.18
07/15/22....94.93....95.09....95.31....93.28....94.69....94.53....94.81....662.64
07/22/22....95.89....95.76....97.08....96.03....95.30....95.85....94.80....670.71
07/29/22....95.79....97.05....97.98....96.71....95.82....95.13....97.83....676.31
08/05/22....96.53....96.77....96.11....96.54....97.53....96.76....97.19....677.42
08/12/22....97.07....97.49....96.60....95.85....94.40....94.57....94.93....670.89
08/19/22....95.81....95.98....95.43......0.00...........................................287.21i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
08/13/21....92.69....93.25....94.46....93.82....94.01....93.52....91.34....653.09
08/20/21....91.24....90.64....91.04....90.99....91.88....92.29....92.19....640.26
08/27/21....92.34....92.78....93.24....90.29....91.41....93.31....92.26....645.63
09/03/21....91.28....91.16....92.39....92.58....91.80....90.10....91.29....640.60
09/10/21....91.74....92.44....92.25....92.13....89.35....89.50....92.32....639.73



===============Daily US Production Model (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
06/17/22..103.39..102.81..103.57..102.34..102.51..102.65..102.67....719.94
06/24/22..103.35..103.46..103.49..102.82..102.84..102.48..103.04....721.48
07/01/22..103.44..103.78..103.21..101.53..101.89..100.97..103.28....718.10
07/08/22..103.86..103.94..103.64..103.77..103.02..102.38..103.69....724.30
07/15/22..103.36..103.58..104.00..101.87..102.54..102.93..103.33....721.62
07/22/22..104.50..104.47..105.00..103.37..102.87..103.52..103.35....727.08
07/29/22..104.33..104.78..105.02..104.73..104.24..103.41..105.47....731.98
08/05/22..104.92..104.93..104.83..104.74..105.16..104.72..104.75....734.05
08/12/22..104.77..105.01..105.35..104.46..103.54..103.91..104.33....731.37
08/19/22..104.93..104.82..105.56......0.00...........................................315.32i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
08/13/21..102.45..102.84..103.99..102.77..103.14..103.24..102.41....720.84
08/20/21..102.14..102.29..102.61..102.54..103.34..102.90..103.69....719.51
08/27/21..103.81..104.14..104.46..103.30..102.95..104.61..103.54....726.81
09/03/21..102.58..102.51..103.75..102.93..101.90..100.57..102.19....716.42
09/10/21..102.32..102.81..103.03..102.92..101.65..101.54..102.55....716.82
....Estimated sample size: 72%


===========Daily US Net Dry-Gas Imports Model (BCF/Day)===========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
06/17/22......3.41......3.73......3.68......3.27......3.68......3.64......3.46......24.88
06/24/22......2.98......3.19......2.95......2.71......3.01......3.10......3.40......21.34
07/01/22......3.32......3.31......3.20......2.91......3.13......3.46......3.13......22.45
07/08/22......2.73......2.95......2.41......2.72......3.46......2.89......3.00......20.17
07/15/22......2.84......2.83......2.89......3.05......3.79......3.48......3.57......22.44
07/22/22......3.25......2.98......3.10......3.63......3.60......3.68......3.18......23.40
07/29/22......3.13......3.81......3.37......2.99......2.99......3.09......3.20......22.59
08/05/22......2.95......3.05......2.83......3.12......3.78......3.55......3.61......22.90
08/12/22......3.66......3.69......3.14......3.22......2.90......2.59......2.57......21.77
08/19/22......2.81......2.60......1.09......0.70...............................................7.21i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
08/13/21......2.29......2.02......1.65......1.91......2.26......2.57......2.11......14.82
08/20/21......1.62......1.46......1.55......1.69......1.68......2.22......1.75......11.97
08/27/21......1.83......2.00......1.90.....-0.07......1.65......2.02......2.17......11.48
09/03/21......1.97......1.89......1.57......2.07......2.05......1.93......2.10......13.56
09/10/21......2.22......2.38......2.00......2.06......0.77......0.77......2.74......12.94
....Estimated sample size: 120%


==========Daily US LNG Imports (As Revaporized, BCF/Day)===========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
06/17/22...-12.26..-12.09...-12.41...-12.16..-12.63...-12.32...-12.41....-86.29
06/24/22...-12.13..-12.03...-11.99...-12.04..-11.66...-11.77...-11.55....-83.18
07/01/22...-11.51..-11.40...-11.54...-12.12..-11.99...-12.64...-12.23....-83.44
07/08/22...-12.07..-11.96...-11.40...-11.90..-11.58...-11.74...-11.63....-82.29
07/15/22...-11.27..-11.31...-11.58...-11.64..-11.65...-11.88...-12.10....-81.42
07/22/22...-11.85..-11.69...-11.03...-10.97..-11.17...-11.35...-11.72....-79.78
07/29/22...-11.67..-11.54...-10.41...-11.01..-11.41...-11.37...-10.85....-78.26
08/05/22...-11.34..-11.22...-11.55...-11.32..-11.42...-11.51...-11.17....-79.53
08/12/22...-11.37..-11.21...-11.89...-11.83..-12.04...-11.93...-11.96....-82.24
08/19/22...-11.93..-11.45...-11.23...-10.98...........................................-45.59i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
08/13/21...-12.05..-11.62...-11.18...-10.86..-11.39...-12.30...-13.17....-82.57
08/20/21...-12.52..-13.11...-13.12...-13.25..-13.14...-12.83...-13.25....-91.22
08/27/21...-13.30..-13.35...-13.12...-12.93..-13.19...-13.32...-13.46....-92.67
09/03/21...-13.27..-13.24...-12.92...-12.41..-12.15...-12.40...-12.99....-89.39
09/10/21...-12.80..-12.75...-12.78...-12.85..-13.07...-12.81...-12.98....-90.04
....Estimated sample size: 81%


===========Daily US Net Dry-Gas Imports Model (BCF/Day)===========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
06/17/22......3.41......3.73......3.68......3.27......3.68......3.64......3.46......24.88
06/24/22......2.98......3.19......2.95......2.71......3.01......3.10......3.40......21.34
07/01/22......3.32......3.31......3.20......2.91......3.13......3.46......3.13......22.45
07/08/22......2.73......2.95......2.41......2.72......3.46......2.89......3.00......20.17
07/15/22......2.84......2.83......2.89......3.05......3.79......3.48......3.57......22.44
07/22/22......3.25......2.98......3.10......3.63......3.60......3.68......3.18......23.40
07/29/22......3.13......3.81......3.37......2.99......2.99......3.09......3.20......22.59
08/05/22......2.95......3.05......2.83......3.12......3.78......3.55......3.61......22.90
08/12/22......3.66......3.69......3.14......3.22......2.90......2.59......2.57......21.77
08/19/22......2.81......2.60......1.09......0.70...............................................7.21i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
08/13/21......2.29......2.02......1.65......1.91......2.26......2.57......2.11......14.82
08/20/21......1.62......1.46......1.55......1.69......1.68......2.22......1.75......11.97
08/27/21......1.83......2.00......1.90.....-0.07......1.65......2.02......2.17......11.48
09/03/21......1.97......1.89......1.57......2.07......2.05......1.93......2.10......13.56
09/10/21......2.22......2.38......2.00......2.06......0.77......0.77......2.74......12.94
....Estimated sample size: 120%


=============Daily US Imports From Canada (BCF/Day)==============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
06/17/22......7.71......7.76......7.91......7.70......7.70......7.83......7.88......54.47
06/24/22......7.41......7.40......7.35......7.22......7.30......7.35......7.39......51.43
07/01/22......7.27......7.31......7.34......7.37......7.55......7.83......7.60......52.28
07/08/22......7.17......7.13......7.11......7.26......7.87......7.34......7.39......51.28
07/15/22......7.24......7.27......7.38......7.45......7.76......7.67......7.59......52.36
07/22/22......7.57......7.34......7.45......7.95......7.77......7.86......7.32......53.27
07/29/22......7.61......8.05......7.89......7.66......7.66......7.68......7.70......54.25
08/05/22......7.61......7.65......7.75......7.80......7.77......7.92......8.11......54.62
08/12/22......7.95......8.00......7.73......7.76......7.30......7.17......7.18......53.09
08/19/22......7.09......7.05......4.81......4.56.............................................23.52i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
08/13/21......6.83......6.82......6.85......6.94......7.26......7.49......7.17......49.37
08/20/21......6.90......6.79......6.77......6.66......6.71......7.02......6.94......47.79
08/27/21......6.95......6.90......7.02......5.10......6.74......6.97......7.15......46.82
09/03/21......7.10......7.12......6.86......7.18......6.95......6.89......7.02......49.12
09/10/21......6.99......7.03......7.02......7.15......5.52......5.50......7.24......46.45
....Estimated sample size: 115%


==============Daily US Exports To Canada (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
06/17/22......2.07......2.04......2.08......2.03......1.88......2.03......2.02......14.15
06/24/22......2.25......2.12......2.14......2.16......2.09......2.13......2.19......15.08
07/01/22......2.12......2.12......2.17......2.18......2.12......2.14......2.23......15.08
07/08/22......2.16......2.26......2.21......2.18......2.08......2.09......1.98......14.97
07/15/22......2.04......2.04......2.04......2.01......1.60......2.02......1.98......13.73
07/22/22......2.10......2.16......2.16......2.13......1.95......1.92......1.91......14.33
07/29/22......2.14......2.24......2.26......2.28......2.31......2.29......2.27......15.79
08/05/22......2.49......2.48......2.53......2.33......2.24......2.16......2.25......16.50
08/12/22......2.28......2.41......2.43......2.43......2.30......2.28......2.26......16.40
08/19/22......2.19......2.38......1.61......1.52...............................................7.70i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
08/13/21......2.11......2.23......2.26......2.23......2.22......2.26......2.26......15.58
08/20/21......2.24......2.24......2.22......2.16......2.22......2.16......2.21......15.46
08/27/21......2.19......2.21......2.20......2.18......2.21......2.09......2.14......15.23
09/03/21......2.22......2.37......2.33......2.30......2.19......2.18......2.17......15.75
09/10/21......2.36......2.28......2.30......2.29......2.28......2.07......2.13......15.71
....Estimated sample size: 205%


=============Daily US Imports From Mexico (BCF/Day)==============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
06/17/22......0.23......0.38......0.30......0.19......0.39......0.35......0.13........1.96
06/24/22......0.33......0.36......0.23......0.17......0.27......0.32......0.66........2.34
07/01/22......0.57......0.53......0.52......0.28......0.23......0.28......0.21........2.63
07/08/22......0.24......0.51......0.14......0.15......0.16......0.18......0.19........1.58
07/15/22......0.12......0.12......0.12......0.10......0.03......0.19......0.36........1.03
07/22/22......0.10......0.11......0.13......0.12......0.09......0.10......0.12........0.77
07/29/22......0.05......0.38......0.12......0.06......0.04......0.03......0.14........0.83
08/05/22......0.17......0.27......0.10......0.28......0.60......0.16......0.12........1.71
08/12/22......0.30......0.40......0.21......0.22......0.09......0.14......0.10........1.46
08/19/22......0.27......0.27......0.36......0.10...............................................0.99i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
08/13/21......0.53......0.31......0.06......0.10......0.10......0.27......0.23........1.61
08/20/21......0.17......0.17......0.17......0.07......0.06......0.20......0.04........0.87
08/27/21......0.11......0.25......0.19......0.03......0.11......0.13......0.19........1.02
09/03/21......0.16......0.29......0.14......0.14......0.26......0.16......0.10........1.24
09/10/21......0.50......0.48......0.15......0.16......0.28......0.16......0.36........2.09
....Estimated sample size: 8%


==============Daily US Exports To Mexico (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
06/17/22......2.45......2.37......2.44......2.59......2.52......2.50......2.53......17.40
06/24/22......2.51......2.46......2.49......2.53......2.47......2.43......2.46......17.35
07/01/22......2.42......2.41......2.49......2.56......2.53......2.52......2.46......17.38
07/08/22......2.53......2.42......2.63......2.51......2.50......2.54......2.59......17.72
07/15/22......2.48......2.52......2.58......2.49......2.40......2.36......2.40......17.23
07/22/22......2.32......2.32......2.31......2.32......2.32......2.36......2.36......16.30
07/29/22......2.39......2.38......2.37......2.45......2.40......2.33......2.38......16.70
08/05/22......2.34......2.39......2.49......2.63......2.34......2.37......2.37......16.93
08/12/22......2.31......2.30......2.37......2.33......2.19......2.43......2.45......16.38
08/19/22......2.36......2.34......2.48......2.44...............................................9.61i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
08/13/21......2.97......2.87......3.01......2.90......2.87......2.93......3.04......20.58
08/20/21......3.21......3.26......3.16......2.87......2.87......2.84......3.02......21.23
08/27/21......3.04......2.95......3.11......3.02......2.99......2.99......3.03......21.13
09/03/21......3.07......3.16......3.11......2.95......2.97......2.94......2.85......21.05
09/10/21......2.90......2.84......2.87......2.96......2.76......2.82......2.73......19.88
....Estimated sample size: 81%


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