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Msg  441779 of 452467  at  8/17/2022 2:30:30 AM  by

robry825

The following message was updated on 8/17/2022 2:44:22 AM.

Daily Gas Flows (US Economy)

....(Note: For older data see https://www.investorvillage.com/groups.asp?mb=19168&mn=431068&pt=msg&mid=23352848)........
Daily Strength of the Global, and US Non-Urban Economies
.
...............................................................................................................US Overall
........................Global...............US..............US............US............US.......Non-Urban
......................Industrial.........Industrial.....Personal.....Durable.......Food.......Economic
..................production(1).....Production.Consumption...Goods......Group(2)...Strength(3).................News and Events
06/01/22......-20456............196.1........193.9........87.2........135.8........-2....Bloomberg: "Sheryl Sandberg Stepping Down as Meta’s COO After 14 Years"
06/02/22......-21644............196.0........192.7........87.8........135.8........-1....Bloomberg: "Biden Pleads for Limits on Assault Weapons After Killings".
06/03/22......-14254............196.2........192.3........88.2........135.7.......+2....Bloomberg: "Blankfein Urges ‘Dial Back’ on Negativity Over Economy". (Goldman Sachs Sr Chairman)
06/04/22......-16657............196.3........192.0........88.4........136.0.........0....Bloomberg: "US Recession Is Avoidable If Fed Is Able to ‘Thread the Needle’".
06/05/22......-15656............196.5........191.8........88.6........136.3.........0....Bloomberg: "Lifting Tariffs on Goods May Make Sense, US Commerce Chief Says".
06/06/22........-9204............196.5........191.5........88.9........136.7........-1....Bloomberg: "Inflation Is Poised to Ease According to These Three Key Indicators".
06/07/22......-13520............196.6........190.5........89.0........136.8.........0....Bloomberg: "California’s Newsom to Face Republican Dahle in November Election".
06/08/22......-15187............196.7........189.4........89.1........137.0.........0....Bloomberg: "Don’t Be Fooled by Daily Drama. The Stock Market Is in a Rut.".
06/09/22........-8052............196.8........188.9........89.3........136.7.......+2....Bloomberg: "Inflation Tops 10% on Key Items That Americans Can’t Do Without".
06/10/22........-1475............197.0........188.9........89.6........137.6.......+1....US CPI Inflation Report: +8.6% YOY (40 year high), +1.0% MOM; Core +6.0% YOY, +0.6% MOM
06/11/22........-8115............197.1........189.7........89.8........138.4.......+2....Bloomberg: "Inflation Thunderbolt Primes Stocks, Bonds for More Volatility."
06/12/22........-1143............197.3........189.6........89.8........139.0........-1....Bloomberg: "A Fed Rate Hike of 75 Basis Points Is a Done Deal for Traders"
06/13/22.........3349............197.5........188.2........89.8........140.0........-1....Bloomberg: "Wall Street’s Favorite Recession Signal Is Back as Curves Invert"
06/14/22.........1837............197.7........189.1........89.5........140.7........-2....Bloomberg: "Wall Street’s Latest Bear Market May Be Here to Stay for a While"
06/15/22.........6142............197.7........189.3........89.4........142.2........-1....Fed hikes F-Funds .75% (to 1.50 to 1.75), continues $47.5 billion/month quant-tightening ($95 in 2 mos) .
06/16/22.......11809............197.7........189.1........89.0........143.3........-3....Bloomberg: "US Recession Odds Hit 72%, Threatening Biden Presidency"
06/17/22.........6266............197.7........189.1........88.8........144.3........-2....Bloomberg: "Biden Team Negotiates Fresh Economic Plan as Inflation Antidote" (Tax & Invest)
06/18/22............-14............197.7........189.2........88.5........145.0........-1....Bloomberg: "Bitcoin Tumbles Below $20,000 for the First Time Since 2020"
06/19/22..........-220............197.8........189.4........88.1........145.8.........0....Bloomberg: "Bitcoin Bounces Above $20,000 in Swift Rebound; Caution Advised"
06/20/22.........4385............197.7........189.2........87.9........146.7........-4....Bloomberg: "Biden Says US Recession Avoidable After Call With Summers"
06/21/22........-1070............197.4........188.7........87.5........147.2........-4....Bloomberg: "White House Claim of Inflation Cushion Undercut by Savings Data"
06/22/22........-3219............197.1........187.2........87.0........147.2........-3....Bloomberg: "Powell Says Soft Landing ‘Very Challenging;’ Recession Possible"
06/23/22........-1680............196.6........186.5........86.5........147.5........-4....Bloomberg: "Powell Hammers Home ‘Unconditional’ Commitment to Cool Prices"
06/24/22...........657............196.2........185.1........86.1........148.1........-4....Bloomberg: "Supreme Court Overturns Roe, Transforming Abortion-Rights Fight"
06/25/22..........-596............195.8........184.8........85.6........148.5........-4....Bloomberg: "Protest Latest: More Justice Homes Targeted in Day Two of Crowds" (Baby Abortion)
06/26/22.........1423............195.6........184.6........85.0........149.0........-4....Bloomberg: "Russia Defaults on Foreign Debt for First Time Since 1918" (Grace period expires)
06/27/22.........5223............195.6........184.1........84.7........149.4........-3....Bloomberg: "Texas Sued by ACLU Over ‘Antiquated’ Pre-Roe Abortion Ban"
06/28/22.........7088............195.7........184.6........84.4........150.5.........0....Bloomberg: "Jan. 6 Panel’s Surprise Witness Is Ex-Aide to Trump Chief of Staff" (Cassidy Hutchinson)
06/29/22.........3899............196.0........184.7........84.1........151.2.........0....Bloomberg: "Explosive Jan. 6 Hearing Delivers Political Blow to Trump That His Rivals Couldn't Land"
06/30/22.........2918............196.2........186.3........83.7........151.4.........0....Bloomberg: "Harvard Affirmative Action, Gay Rights Cases Are Next Up at Supreme Court"
.
...............................................................................................................US Overall
........................Global...............US..............US............US............US.......Non-Urban
......................Industrial.........Industrial.....Personal.....Durable.......Food.......Economic
..................production(1).....Production.Consumption...Goods......Group(2)...Strength(3).................News and Events
07/01/22.........4122............196.1........186.7........82.8........151.6........-2....Bloomberg: "JPMorgan Sees ‘Stratospheric’ $380 Oil on Worst-Case Russian Cut"
07/02/22.........5288............196.1........187.4........82.0........151.3.......+1....Annual Retooling Period Begins (First 2 Weeks Of July)
07/03/22.........5091............195.9........188.3........81.2........151.2.........0....Bloomberg: "Long, Moderate and Painful: What Next US Recession May Look Like"
07/04/22.........3355............195.9........189.2........80.5........151.1.......+1....Bloomberg: "Biden Close to Rollback of Chinese Tariffs to Fight Inflation" (+probe/duties some goods)
07/05/22...........310............195.7........189.5........79.9........151.2........-2....Bloomberg: "Natural Gas Soars 700%, Becoming Driving Force in the New Cold War"
07/06/22.........3465............195.3........190.7........79.3........151.5........-2....Bloomberg: "Fed Sees ‘More Restrictive’ Rates Possible If Inflation Persists"
07/07/22.........4386............195.1........191.6........78.6........152.5........-1....Bloomberg: "Fed Hawks Back 75 Basis-Point July Hike, Still See Soft Landing"
07/08/22.........3776............194.5........191.7........77.7........152.5........-1....Bloomberg: "‘Not Giving Up’: Jobs Data Show Just How Tight US Labor Market Is"
07/09/22.........2455............194.0........191.4........76.9........152.5........-3....Bloomberg: "Putin Is Set to Halt Gas and Germany Fears It’s Not Coming Back"
07/10/22.........2487............193.6........192.5........76.4........152.3.........0....Bloomberg: "Twitter Assembles Legal Team to Sue Musk Over Dropped Takeover"
07/11/22.........2827............193.2........193.2........76.0........152.0.........0....Bloomberg: "Thirteen ‘Perfect Storms’ That Are Sweeping the World Right Now"
07/12/22.........2307............192.7........193.8........76.0........151.9.......+1....Bloomberg: "Stocks Swoon as Treasuries Sound Recession Alarm: Markets Wrap"
07/13/22...........646............192.4........194.3........75.8........151.1.........0....US CPI Inflation Report: +9.1% YOY (40 year high), +1.3% MOM; Core +5.9% YOY, +0.7% MOM.
07/14/22...........782............192.1........195.0........76.0........149.6.......+2....Bloomberg: "Biden Calls Inflation Numbers ‘Out of Date.’ Americans Disagree"
07/15/22...........866............191.7........195.3........75.8........148.8.........0....Bloomberg: "Full-Point Fed Hike Odds Recede on Officials’ Comments, Data"
07/16/22........-1160............191.3........195.0........75.6........148.2........-2
07/17/22..........-923............190.8........194.6........75.4........147.6........-2....Annual Retooling Period Ends (First 2 Weeks Of July)
07/18/22.........1157............190.2........194.1........75.2........146.9........-2
07/19/22.........1582............189.7........194.2........75.0........146.9........-1....Bloomberg: Kissinger Warns Biden Against Endless Confrontation With China"
07/20/22.........2820............189.3........195.6........74.9........146.9........-1....Bloomberg: "Ford Plans Up to 8,000 Job Cuts to Help Fund EV Investment"
07/21/22.........3936............188.9........196.2........74.8........147.2........-2....Bloomberg: "Biden Contracts Covid as Pandemic Shows Its Staying Power"
07/22/22.........2735............188.5........196.8........74.6........147.2........-1....Bloomberg: "Two Children Diagnosed With Monkeypox in US, Officials Say"
07/23/22.........1436............188.1........197.5........74.4........147.1.........0....Bloomberg: "WHO Chief Overrules Panel to Declare Monkeypox Global Emergency"
07/24/22...........188............187.7........198.5........74.3........146.4.........0....Bloomberg: "(Treasury Secretary) Yellen Says Signs of US Recession Aren’t in Sight for Now"
07/25/22..........-674............187.2........200.3........74.0........146.2.........0....Bloomberg: "Shallow Recession Calls Are ‘Totally Delusional,’ Roubini Warns"
07/26/22........-1907............187.1........199.9........73.6........145.7........-2....Bloomberg: "US Consumer Confidence Drops to Lowest Since February 2021 as Inflation Bites"
07/27/22........-1763............186.5........199.9........73.3........144.9........-1....Fed hikes F-Funds .75% (to 2.25 to 2.50), continues $47.5 billion/month quant-tightening ($95 Sep) .
07/28/22........-2263............185.7........198.3........72.9........144.8........-2....Bloomberg: "Biden, Xi Plan In-Person Meeting as Taiwan Tensions Intensify"
07/29/22........-1592............185.2........198.1........73.1........144.6.........0....Bloomberg: "Shock July Stock Rally Was a Monster the Fed May Regret Seeing"
07/30/22..........-208............184.6........197.0........73.3........144.8........-2....Bloomberg: "Recession-Fueled Bond Rebound Faces Stern Tests Before Next FOMC"
07/31/22........-1334............184.2........196.2........73.5........144.7.........0....Bloomberg: "(Minneapolis Fed president) Kashkari Says Fed Committed to Slowing Inflation to 2% Goal"
.
...............................................................................................................US Overall
........................Global...............US..............US............US............US.......Non-Urban
......................Industrial.........Industrial.....Personal.....Durable.......Food.......Economic
..................production(1).....Production.Consumption...Goods......Group(2)...Strength(3).................News and Events
08/01/22........-1314............183.9........194.7........74.2........144.6.........0....Bloomberg: "Biden Team Tries to Blunt China Rage as Pelosi Heads for Taiwan".
08/02/22........-2567............183.7........193.5........75.0........144.6........-1....Bloomberg: "Live: Pelosi Tells Tsai Visit Shows US Won't Abandon Taiwan"
08/03/22........-2147............183.7........192.4........76.0........144.3.......+1.r..Bloomberg: "Sinema Seeks to Keep Private Equity Break, Curb Corporate Tax" (Senate Spending Bill)
08/04/22..........-284............183.7........193.2........77.1........143.5.......+3....Bloomberg: "Sinema Backs Tax, Climate Bill as Carried Interest Dropped" (US Senate Spending Bill)
08/05/22........-1480............183.8........193.1........78.1........143.0.......+2....Bloomberg: "US Consumer Borrowing Jumps by More Than $40 Billion, Second-Most Ever"
08/06/22..........-530............183.9........193.2........79.1........142.3.......+4
08/07/22............-81............184.0........192.5........80.0........141.6.......+2....Bloomberg: "Senate Passes Democrats’ Landmark Tax, Climate, Drugs Bill" (Biden agenda / GOP warns)
08/08/22...........955............184.1........192.3........80.8........141.0.......+2....Bloomberg Late: "FBI Raid Focused on Material Trump Brought from White House" (Trump's home raided)
08/09/22...........780............184.1........191.7........81.5........140.9.......+1....Bloomberg Late: "Egg Prices in US Jump 47% as Food Inflation Soars, IRI Says" (July IRI grociery report)
08/10/22..........-570............184.2........191.9........82.3........141.3.......+2....US CPI Inflation Report (July): +8.5% YOY (40 year high), +0.0% MOM; Core +5.9% YOY, +0.3% MOM.
08/11/22..........-486............184.2........192.6........83.1........142.5.......+1....Bloomberg: "(Biden Adm Atty Gen'l) Garland Seeks to Unseal Trump Warrant, Says He Approved Search"
08/12/22..........-908............184.0........192.5........83.8........142.6.........0....Bloomberg: "Top-Secret Label in (Just-Unsealed) Warrant Hints at Sensitivity of Trump Papers"
08/13/22..........-780............183.9........192.4........84.5........142.7........-2....Bloomberg: "(Two top) House Democrats Ask (Biden Ad) Intelligence Chief to Assess Trump Documents"
08/14/22..........-290............183.8........192.4........85.3........143.2........-1....Bloomberg: "JPMorgan Gold Traders Found Guilty (Of Price Manipulation) After Long Spoofing Trial"
08/15/22........-1053............183.9........193.0........86.0........143.6.......+2....Bloomberg: " ‘Dr. Doom’ Roubini Sees Either US Hard Landing or Uncontrolled Inflation"
08/16/22..........-847p..........184.3........192.8........86.0........144.0.........0....Bloomberg: "Liz Cheney, Republican Who Defied Trump, Loses Wyoming Primary" (Vows to stop Trump)
.
.........Green......Indicates strengthening (expansionary) trend.
...........Red.......Indicates weakening (contracting) trend.
.........r...Revised.
........p...Projected (Significant data outstanding).
.......(1)..Global data is from the global warming model (from icecap, snowpack, and sea-ice satellite data),
..............and is counter-cyclical (strengthens in contracting economies, softens in expanding economies).
.......(2)..Food-group is counter-cyclical (strengthens in contracting economies, softens in expanding economies).
.......(3)..Rank ranges from +4 (Most bullish) to -4 (Most bearish)
.
.
.
===============================Monthly.US Consumption Model.(MMCF/Day)==============================
....................Total US Consumption....................................US-Sourced..........................................Foreign-Sourced...............
..........2018....2019....2020....2021....2022........2018....2019....2020....2021....2022........2018....2019....2020....2021....2022
.........=====..=====..=====..=====..=====....=====..=====..=====..=====..=====.....=====..=====..=====..=====..=====
01......68.53...73.03...64.21...66.78...71.29......21.62...26.52...27.15...27.26...29.78...... 46.91.. 46.52.. 37.06.. 39.52.. 41.51.
02......67.42...66.75...59.38...64.74...76.67......21.97...21.36...21.98...25.02...34.03...... 45.44.. 45.39.. 37.40.. 39.72.. 42.64.
03......65.44...65.44...61.62...60.87...73.19......21.58...21.66...26.87...24.58...32.72...... 43.85.. 43.78.. 34.74.. 36.29.. 40.47.
04......59.96...61.59...58.50...68.70...64.75......20.38...20.24...24.38...32.57...29.65...... 39.58.. 41.35.. 34.12.. 36.13.. 35.10.
05......59.36...61.21...58.93...66.20...64.57......20.90...22.27...26.29...33.16...26.87...... 38.46.. 38.94.. 32.64.. 33.05.. 37.70.
06......59.29...57.76...56.83...71.52...61.88......20.00...26.66...24.65...37.49...27.92...... 39.29.. 31.10.. 32.18.. 34.03.. 33.95.
07......59.57...55.91...61.06...65.07...64.16......20.99...24.09...24.85...33.34...30.62...... 38.58.. 31.83.. 36.21.. 31.74.. 33.53.
08......59.90...55.81...55.74...65.63...61.94i.....20.38...24.01...21.85...32.19...27.84i..... 39.52.. 31.80.. 33.88.. 33.44.. 34.09i.
09......61.90...54.84...61.26...61.73...................21.70...23.70...26.08...30.07................... 40.20.. 31.14.. 35.18.. 31.66.. ..........
10......64.18...53.98...58.85...59.13...................22.71...23.45...24.63...27.47................... 41.47.. 30.54.. 34.22.. 31.66.. ..........
11......66.12...60.96...63.41...62.36...................22.85...25.65...25.79...25.44................... 43.27.. 35.30.. 37.62.. 36.91.. ..........
12......73.75...60.22...64.57...69.37...................24.75...25.24...25.43...30.11................... 49.01.. 34.97.. 39.14.. 39.26.. ..........
.
.
.
=============Daily Total US Consumption Model (MMCF)=============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
06/17/22....69.28....64.02....62.34....60.99....61.62....60.58....63.57....442.41
06/24/22....61.39....61.60....65.31....70.33....54.66....57.07....53.95....424.31
07/01/22....57.47....58.43....50.37....59.81....68.16....78.88....59.64....432.76
07/08/22....68.50....69.37....70.41....61.84....63.54....63.63....60.51....457.80
07/15/22....61.63....70.81....66.46....64.86....66.93....67.06....66.97....464.74
07/22/22....62.11....62.11....62.11....70.82....66.55....61.47....60.91....446.07
07/29/22....66.69....69.28....69.61....56.54....62.06....58.02....61.44....443.64
08/05/22....55.89....61.03....54.41....51.21....58.38....75.61....60.34....416.87
08/12/22....63.33....63.33....63.03....57.64....67.25....72.16....63.13....449.86
08/19/22....57.17....56.97....62.69....64.34..............................................241.18i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
08/13/21....66.75....66.75....62.39....63.46....65.67....64.51....64.90....454.43
08/20/21....71.03....71.03....70.04....66.29....65.16....62.40....68.77....474.71
08/27/21....69.31....69.31....73.07....70.79....64.57....66.99....64.34....478.38
09/03/21....60.81....60.56....60.76....58.85....64.66....51.03....59.34....416.02
09/10/21....59.23....59.23....59.23....59.29....64.10....60.17....58.21....419.47
.
.
.
===========Daily US-Sourced Consumption Model (MMCF)============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
06/17/22....27.11....27.37....28.73....29.91....28.92....30.41....34.55....207.00
06/24/22....32.63....32.85....32.47....35.96....25.49....29.24....22.30....210.94
07/01/22....25.91....25.91....25.84....31.75....33.54....28.09....26.24....197.28
07/08/22....27.40....28.12....29.58....27.72....31.98....32.02....28.41....205.23
07/15/22....28.49....32.72....32.92....32.49....31.90....33.02....35.16....226.70
07/22/22....29.23....29.23....29.23....38.93....31.47....30.92....30.36....219.37
07/29/22....34.47....34.47....34.47....27.04....28.01....27.01....30.91....216.39
08/05/22....25.32....29.98....17.60....17.99....25.56....36.11....26.24....178.80
08/12/22....28.74....28.74....28.45....25.75....35.62....37.81....28.14....213.25
08/19/22....27.52....27.32....27.32....26.59..............................................108.75i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
08/13/21....34.79....34.79....34.79....34.93....34.79....34.79....35.29....244.16
08/20/21....35.29....35.28....35.29....34.22....31.30....28.46....35.54....235.38
08/27/21....31.33....31.23....31.23....31.32....32.17....31.86....30.89....220.04
09/03/21....26.91....26.91....26.91....25.83....31.02....21.13....31.03....189.74
09/10/21....30.75....30.75....30.75....30.75....34.99....31.03....31.03....220.06
.
.
.
=========Daily Foreign-Sourced Consumption Model (MMCF)==========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
06/17/22....42.18....36.65....33.61....31.08....32.70....30.18....29.02....235.41
06/24/22....28.75....28.75....32.84....34.37....29.17....27.83....31.65....213.37
07/01/22....31.57....32.52....24.53....28.05....34.62....50.79....33.41....235.49
07/08/22....41.10....41.25....40.83....34.12....31.56....31.60....32.10....252.57
07/15/22....33.14....38.09....33.54....32.38....35.03....34.05....31.81....238.04
07/22/22....32.88....32.88....32.88....31.89....35.08....30.55....30.55....226.70
07/29/22....32.22....34.80....35.14....29.50....34.05....31.01....30.53....227.25
08/05/22....30.57....31.05....36.81....33.22....32.82....39.50....34.09....238.07
08/12/22....34.59....34.59....34.59....31.89....31.63....34.35....34.98....236.61
08/19/22....29.65....29.65....35.37....37.75..............................................132.42i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
08/13/21....31.96....31.96....27.60....28.53....30.88....29.72....29.61....210.27
08/20/21....35.74....35.74....34.75....32.07....33.86....33.94....33.23....239.33
08/27/21....37.98....38.08....41.84....39.47....32.40....35.13....33.45....258.34
09/03/21....33.91....33.65....33.85....33.03....33.63....29.90....28.31....226.28
09/10/21....28.48....28.48....28.48....28.53....29.11....29.14....27.18....199.41
 


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