Energy Investing - Daily Gas Flows (Part 6- Supply) - Energy Investing - InvestorVillage


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Msg  420617 of 428883  at  5/24/2022 11:08:19 PM  by

robry825


Daily Gas Flows (Part 6- Supply)

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=======================================Monthly.US.Dry-Gas.Supply.Models.(BCF/Day)=====================================
............................Net.US.Supply...........................................Production....................................Dry-Gas.Imports...................LNG.Imports.(Revaporized)
_____ 2018__2019__2020__2021__2022___ 2018__2019__2020__2021__2022__ 2018_2019_2020_2021_2022__ 2018__2019__2020__2021__2022
01......88.89...95.67...96.49...93.19...93.12......86.84...98.50.105.29.102.65.103.61.....3.61...0.88...1.16...2.91...3.46.....-1.56...-3.71...-9.95.-12.37.-13.95.
02......90.31...93.69...95.63...90.92...92.78......89.56...97.79.104.04...97.90.102.99.....2.86..-0.26...1.30...2.93...3.42.....-2.11...-3.84...-9.72...-9.92.-13.62.
03......91.76...92.65...94.32...91.41...93.44......90.69...97.90.104.56.102.78.104.06.....3.42..-0.06...0.07...1.50...3.20.....-2.35...-5.19.-10.31.-12.87.-13.82.
04......89.91...93.60...94.40...89.77...93.81......90.05...98.95.103.68.101.55.103.58.....3.03..-0.54...0.25...1.32...3.35.....-3.17...-4.81...-9.52.-13.09.-13.12.
05......90.76...92.64...91.55...90.63...93.65i.....90.62...99.10...99.37.101.93.103.84i....2.92..-0.78...0.05...0.97...2.86i.....-2.79...-5.69...-7.87.-12.28.-13.06i
06......90.27...94.55...91.41...92.34..................90.93.100.87...97.76.102.51.................2.67..-0.85..-0.24...1.70...............-3.32...-5.47...-6.11.-11.87...........
07......92.41...94.94...94.76...91.42..................92.66.101.44...98.80.102.20.................2.65..-0.28...0.69...1.98...............-2.90...-6.22...-4.74.-12.77...........
08......94.04...98.13...93.92...92.16..................94.96.104.22...99.22.102.95.................2.08..-0.28...0.60...1.84...............-3.00...-5.81...-5.90.-12.64...........
09......95.81...98.00...90.54...93.01..................96.45.104.61...97.80.102.56.................1.69..-0.18..-0.28...2.12...............-2.33...-6.42...-6.98.-11.66...........
10......97.87...98.59...88.49...93.25..................98.29.105.51...97.44.103.74.................2.07..-0.18...0.15...1.72...............-2.49...-6.74...-9.10.-12.21...........
11......94.78...99.48...89.38...95.42..................99.71.107.17...99.91.106.09................-0.71...0.41...1.48...2.33...............-4.22...-8.10.-12.02.-13.01...........
12......94.86...98.07...91.78...95.72..................99.49.106.27.101.98.107.46................-0.09...0.79...2.73...2.17...............-4.54...-8.99.-12.94.-13.91...........



==============================================Monthly US Dry-Gas Import/Export Models (BCF/Day)==============================================
..............Net US Dry-Gas Imports............................Canadian Imports...............................Canadian.Exports..........................Mexican Imports*........................Mexican Exports*
____ 2018_2019_2020_2021_2022____ 2018__2019__2020__2021__2022___2018_2019_2020_2021_2022___2018_2019_2020_2021_2022__ 2018_2019_2020_2021_2022
01......3.61...0.88...1.16...2.91...3.46..........8.60.....8.46.....7.14.....8.53.....8.41.......3.04...3.03...2.88...2.57...2.42.......0.00...0.00...0.05...0.18...0.34......1.94...4.55...3.15...3.23...2.87.
02......2.86..-0.26...1.30...2.93...3.42..........7.93.....7.58.....7.51.....8.39.....8.43.......3.18...3.32...2.64...2.26...2.38.......0.00...0.00...0.07...0.13...0.14......1.89...4.52...3.64...3.33...2.77.
03......3.42..-0.06...0.07...1.50...3.20..........8.04.....7.71.....6.42.....7.41.....7.91.......2.88...3.24...2.76...2.91...2.91.......0.00...0.00...0.11...0.11...0.65......1.74...4.52...3.69...3.12...2.45.
04......3.03..-0.54...0.25...1.32...3.35..........8.13.....7.02.....5.94.....6.66.....7.87.......3.34...3.14...2.46...2.34...2.54.......0.00...0.00...0.14...0.04...0.46......1.77...4.41...3.37...3.04...2.44.
05......2.92..-0.78...0.05...0.97...2.86i.........7.32.....6.86.....5.88.....6.32.....7.40i......2.50...3.08...2.35...2.30...2.34i.......0.00...0.00...0.17...0.05...0.34i.....1.90...4.56...3.65...3.09...2.54i
06......2.67..-0.85..-0.24...1.70....................7.50.....6.58.....5.94.....6.64...................2.99...2.92...2.47...2.25.................0.00...0.00...0.05...0.16................1.84...4.51...3.76...2.86...........
07......2.65..-0.28...0.69...1.98....................7.69.....7.33.....6.72.....6.84...................3.21...3.09...2.52...2.18.................0.00...0.00...0.12...0.15................1.82...4.52...3.62...2.83...........
08......2.08..-0.28...0.60...1.84....................7.30.....7.22.....6.36.....6.86...................3.41...2.92...2.14...2.21.................0.00...0.00...0.14...0.18................1.81...4.58...3.75...2.98...........
09......1.69..-0.18..-0.28...2.12....................6.97.....6.73.....5.58.....6.76...................3.53...2.62...2.25...2.11.................0.00...0.00...0.16...0.34................1.75...4.30...3.77...2.87...........
10......2.07..-0.18...0.15...1.72....................6.96.....6.02.....5.85.....6.28...................2.99...2.34...2.38...1.90.................0.00...0.00...0.23...0.24................1.91...3.86...3.55...2.90...........
11.....-0.71...0.41...1.48...2.33....................7.25.....7.07.....6.78.....7.80...................3.49...2.85...2.56...2.75.................0.00...0.00...0.27...0.09................4.46...3.80...3.01...2.81...........
12.....-0.09...0.79...2.73...2.17....................7.96.....7.45.....8.16.....7.77...................3.58...3.02...2.63...3.03.................0.00...0.01...0.30...0.27................4.47...3.65...3.09...2.84...........
......* = Experimental Model



===============Daily Net US Supply Model (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
03/25/22....93.06....94.19....94.45....92.81....93.61....92.74....93.47....654.33
04/01/22....94.09....95.61....95.70....95.26....94.44....94.22....94.23....663.55
04/08/22....93.65....94.70....94.38....93.63....93.99....93.00....92.31....655.66
04/15/22....92.95....93.41....93.77....94.40....94.66....93.82....96.96....659.97
04/22/22....94.68....94.99....93.29....92.47....91.68....93.15....93.98....654.22
04/29/22....95.65....94.83....94.66....92.16....89.86....93.66....94.65....655.47
05/06/22....94.60....94.90....93.48....93.08....94.87....93.98....95.39....660.30
05/13/22....95.19....95.49....95.02....93.54....93.52....93.99....93.96....660.71
05/20/22....93.89....94.86....92.65....92.01....92.65....92.28....92.06....650.40
05/27/22....92.11....94.10....93.72........................................................279.94i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
05/21/21....91.55....91.13....90.83....90.69....88.99....90.05....90.53....633.77
05/28/21....91.12....91.63....91.92....92.33....93.25....92.74....92.38....645.38
06/04/21....90.95....91.08....90.74....90.74....91.46....91.55....91.52....638.04
06/11/21....92.33....93.70....94.32....92.39....94.00....92.91....92.69....652.34
06/18/21....92.90....92.90....93.83....91.67....90.02....91.56....92.63....645.50



===============Daily US Production Model (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
03/25/22..104.49..104.90..104.70..103.95..104.87..104.13..104.10....731.15
04/01/22..105.04..105.65..105.66..104.59..105.40..105.35..105.40....737.10
04/08/22..104.49..105.17..104.91..103.18..103.23..103.02..102.88....726.88
04/15/22..103.19..103.44..104.21..104.49..104.15..103.87..103.74....727.09
04/22/22..103.95..103.92..102.88..103.01..101.40..102.99..103.61....721.77
04/29/22..105.52..104.04..103.22..101.84..100.90..102.98..103.94....722.44
05/06/22..103.74..103.48..103.68..102.72..103.99..103.90..104.47....725.97
05/13/22..105.38..105.57..105.51..103.63..103.69..103.25..103.05....730.08
05/20/22..103.15..103.22..103.02..102.39..102.70..103.16..103.51....721.16
05/27/22..103.83..104.35..106.77........................................................314.95i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
05/21/21..102.96..102.94..102.50..100.22....99.74..101.39..102.22....711.97
05/28/21..103.02..103.53..102.94..102.12..102.69..103.02..103.18....720.50
06/04/21..102.45..102.86..102.73..102.02..102.55..102.13..102.76....717.50
06/11/21..102.88..102.82..103.71..101.65..102.69..102.43..102.77....718.95
06/18/21..102.65..102.55..102.23..100.68..100.14..101.26..102.61....712.13
....Estimated sample size: 72%


===========Daily US Net Dry-Gas Imports Model (BCF/Day)===========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
03/25/22......2.95......3.34......3.31......2.37......2.74......2.99......3.91......21.60
04/01/22......3.58......4.63......4.68......3.92......3.23......2.98......2.98......26.00
04/08/22......3.35......3.61......2.93......2.67......3.01......3.18......3.10......21.85
04/15/22......3.39......3.34......2.97......2.61......3.08......3.38......3.86......22.63
04/22/22......3.86......4.10......3.28......3.06......3.39......2.83......3.34......23.85
04/29/22......3.67......3.49......4.35......3.74......3.13......3.60......3.55......25.52
05/06/22......3.68......3.93......3.27......3.56......3.92......3.24......3.74......25.34
05/13/22......2.73......2.99......2.44......2.90......2.51......2.51......2.90......18.98
05/20/22......2.82......3.25......2.62......2.57......3.26......2.86......2.64......20.03
05/27/22......2.71......3.10......1.21......0.93...............................................7.95i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
05/21/21......0.71......0.68......0.70......0.94......1.00......1.10......0.86........5.98
05/28/21......0.85......0.85......1.19......1.34......1.40......1.08......0.96........7.66
06/04/21......0.91......0.90......0.69......1.10......1.12......1.18......1.19........7.09
06/11/21......1.19......1.03......1.17......1.69......2.08......1.82......2.00......10.98
06/18/21......2.07......2.02......2.13......2.24......2.13......1.98......2.03......14.61
....Estimated sample size: 120%


==========Daily US LNG Imports (As Revaporized, BCF/Day)===========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
03/25/22...-14.38..-14.05...-13.56...-13.51..-14.00...-14.38...-14.54....-98.42
04/01/22...-14.53..-14.66...-14.65...-13.25..-14.20...-14.11...-14.16....-99.55
04/08/22...-14.20..-14.08...-13.46...-12.22..-12.25...-13.20...-13.67....-93.08
04/15/22...-13.62..-13.37...-13.42...-12.70..-12.58...-13.44...-10.63....-89.76
04/22/22...-13.13..-13.03...-12.87...-13.61..-13.11...-12.67...-12.97....-91.40
04/29/22...-13.54..-12.70...-12.91...-13.42..-14.17...-12.93...-12.83....-92.49
05/06/22...-12.82..-12.50...-13.47...-13.21..-13.04...-13.15...-12.82....-91.01
05/13/22...-12.92..-13.06...-12.93...-12.99..-12.69...-11.77...-11.99....-88.35
05/20/22...-12.08..-11.61...-12.99...-12.95..-13.31...-13.75...-14.10....-90.79
05/27/22...-14.43..-13.35...-14.26...-13.99...........................................-56.03i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
05/21/21...-12.13..-12.49...-12.36...-10.47..-11.75...-12.43...-12.56....-84.19
05/28/21...-12.74..-12.74...-12.21...-11.12..-10.84...-11.36...-11.77....-82.78
06/04/21...-12.42..-12.69...-12.68...-12.38..-12.21...-11.76...-12.42....-86.55
06/11/21...-11.74..-10.15...-10.56...-10.95..-10.77...-11.34...-12.07....-77.59
06/18/21...-11.82..-11.67...-10.54...-11.25..-12.26...-11.69...-12.01....-81.24
....Estimated sample size: 81%


===========Daily US Net Dry-Gas Imports Model (BCF/Day)===========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
03/25/22......2.95......3.34......3.31......2.37......2.74......2.99......3.91......21.60
04/01/22......3.58......4.63......4.68......3.92......3.23......2.98......2.98......26.00
04/08/22......3.35......3.61......2.93......2.67......3.01......3.18......3.10......21.85
04/15/22......3.39......3.34......2.97......2.61......3.08......3.38......3.86......22.63
04/22/22......3.86......4.10......3.28......3.06......3.39......2.83......3.34......23.85
04/29/22......3.67......3.49......4.35......3.74......3.13......3.60......3.55......25.52
05/06/22......3.68......3.93......3.27......3.56......3.92......3.24......3.74......25.34
05/13/22......2.73......2.99......2.44......2.90......2.51......2.51......2.90......18.98
05/20/22......2.82......3.25......2.62......2.57......3.26......2.86......2.64......20.03
05/27/22......2.71......3.10......1.21......0.93...............................................7.95i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
05/21/21......0.71......0.68......0.70......0.94......1.00......1.10......0.86........5.98
05/28/21......0.85......0.85......1.19......1.34......1.40......1.08......0.96........7.66
06/04/21......0.91......0.90......0.69......1.10......1.12......1.18......1.19........7.09
06/11/21......1.19......1.03......1.17......1.69......2.08......1.82......2.00......10.98
06/18/21......2.07......2.02......2.13......2.24......2.13......1.98......2.03......14.61
....Estimated sample size: 120%


=============Daily US Imports From Canada (BCF/Day)==============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
03/25/22......7.44......7.42......7.41......7.41......7.88......7.97......8.70......54.22
04/01/22......8.05......8.53......8.78......8.76......8.39......7.99......7.89......58.39
04/08/22......7.68......7.73......7.51......7.63......7.65......7.91......7.55......53.64
04/15/22......7.56......7.57......7.41......7.36......7.57......7.88......7.75......53.10
04/22/22......7.89......8.01......7.71......7.94......8.15......7.59......8.10......55.39
04/29/22......7.92......8.37......8.65......8.53......8.17......8.26......8.03......57.92
05/06/22......8.14......8.06......8.15......8.23......8.42......8.05......7.94......56.99
05/13/22......7.46......7.47......7.41......7.45......7.23......7.29......7.35......51.65
05/20/22......7.46......7.50......7.53......7.39......7.48......7.61......7.07......52.05
05/27/22......7.36......7.39......5.17......5.05.............................................24.96i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
05/21/21......6.18......6.17......6.17......6.27......6.40......6.46......6.40......44.06
05/28/21......6.32......6.35......6.32......6.41......6.39......6.35......6.24......44.38
06/04/21......6.24......6.22......6.23......6.41......6.43......6.37......6.40......44.30
06/11/21......6.41......6.40......6.46......6.73......6.74......6.79......6.65......46.19
06/18/21......6.90......6.77......6.88......6.71......6.56......6.62......6.70......47.15
....Estimated sample size: 115%


==============Daily US Exports To Canada (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
03/25/22......2.94......2.95......2.96......2.98......2.92......2.93......2.82......20.50
04/01/22......2.82......2.75......2.58......2.83......2.91......2.93......2.83......19.64
04/08/22......2.44......2.63......2.59......2.63......2.30......2.37......2.40......17.37
04/15/22......2.31......2.50......2.37......2.50......2.39......2.51......2.36......16.94
04/22/22......2.55......2.55......2.54......2.53......2.48......2.54......2.58......17.77
04/29/22......2.57......2.72......2.69......2.75......2.61......2.53......2.58......18.46
05/06/22......2.74......2.68......2.74......2.76......2.38......2.33......2.20......17.84
05/13/22......2.41......2.44......2.45......2.43......2.43......2.39......2.28......16.82
05/20/22......2.34......2.38......2.38......2.39......2.31......2.35......2.27......16.42
05/27/22......2.27......2.36......1.57......1.59...............................................7.80i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
05/21/21......2.17......2.28......2.28......2.16......2.30......2.23......2.27......15.69
05/28/21......2.32......2.33......2.36......2.35......2.28......2.32......2.35......16.30
06/04/21......2.44......2.42......2.50......2.50......2.52......2.31......2.33......17.01
06/11/21......2.28......2.33......2.36......2.37......2.13......2.34......2.10......15.90
06/18/21......2.20......2.18......2.17......1.97......2.02......2.03......2.14......14.70
....Estimated sample size: 205%


=============Daily US Imports From Mexico (BCF/Day)==============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
03/25/22......0.71......1.08......1.07......0.42......0.29......0.55......0.53........4.65
04/01/22......0.71......1.09......0.82......0.43......0.28......0.42......0.37........4.12
04/08/22......0.57......0.84......0.49......0.22......0.11......0.15......0.33........2.70
04/15/22......0.54......0.77......0.33......0.34......0.28......0.56......0.92........3.73
04/22/22......0.83......0.84......0.54......0.18......0.22......0.35......0.47........3.43
04/29/22......0.67......0.23......0.65......0.25......0.15......0.37......0.58........2.91
05/06/22......0.70......0.98......0.39......0.49......0.37......0.18......0.47........3.59
05/13/22......0.30......0.33......0.19......0.25......0.33......0.23......0.44........2.05
05/20/22......0.35......0.59......0.23......0.11......0.46......0.10......0.27........2.10
05/27/22......0.22......0.53......0.30......0.06...............................................1.10i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
05/21/21......0.04......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.04
05/28/21......0.00......0.00......0.40......0.40......0.40......0.00......0.00........1.21
06/04/21......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.06......0.00......0.02......0.00........0.08
06/11/21......0.02......0.02......0.08......0.14......0.15......0.05......0.26........0.72
06/18/21......0.29......0.35......0.29......0.23......0.23......0.11......0.14........1.66
....Estimated sample size: 8%


==============Daily US Exports To Mexico (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
03/25/22......2.26......2.21......2.20......2.49......2.51......2.60......2.50......16.77
04/01/22......2.37......2.25......2.34......2.44......2.52......2.50......2.45......16.87
04/08/22......2.45......2.34......2.47......2.54......2.45......2.51......2.37......17.12
04/15/22......2.41......2.49......2.40......2.59......2.38......2.54......2.44......17.26
04/22/22......2.31......2.21......2.42......2.53......2.51......2.58......2.64......17.20
04/29/22......2.35......2.39......2.25......2.29......2.58......2.49......2.48......16.84
05/06/22......2.43......2.44......2.53......2.39......2.48......2.67......2.47......17.41
05/13/22......2.62......2.37......2.71......2.37......2.62......2.61......2.60......17.90
05/20/22......2.64......2.46......2.76......2.54......2.38......2.50......2.42......17.71
05/27/22......2.59......2.45......2.68......2.59.............................................10.31i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
05/21/21......3.33......3.22......3.20......3.16......3.10......3.14......3.27......22.42
05/28/21......3.15......3.17......3.18......3.12......3.12......2.94......2.93......21.62
06/04/21......2.89......2.91......3.04......2.87......2.79......2.90......2.88......20.29
06/11/21......2.96......3.06......3.01......2.81......2.69......2.68......2.81......20.03
06/18/21......2.92......2.93......2.87......2.73......2.65......2.72......2.67......19.49
....Estimated sample size: 81%


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