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Group: Energy Investing
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Re: RRC loses a billion on bad hedges.. Analyst Essay
. By our estimates, it has about 63% of its natural gas hedged in 2022 compared to 42% prior. However we do not view this as a big negative as it has mostly added collars as it remains cautious until such times as debt targets are achieved. Still, debt provides equity leverage to current natural gas and NGL prices – and with over two decades of inventory, we see RRC’s ex growth sustainable free cash flow as undervalued at current levels. Notable is that RRC’s shares look weak after the close – aside from the additional hedges we see nothing in earnings to justify a sell off. RRC remains our preferred gas name - PO unchanged at $30.