Energy Investing - Daily Gas Flows (Part 6- Supply) - Energy Investing - InvestorVillage
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Msg  316908 of 323326  at  3/3/2021 10:39:21 PM  by

robry825


Daily Gas Flows (Part 6- Supply)

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=======================================Monthly.US.Dry-Gas.Supply.Models.(BCF/Day)=====================================
............................Net.US.Supply...........................................Production....................................Dry-Gas.Imports...................LNG.Imports.(Revaporized)
_____ 2017__2018__2019__2020__2021___ 2017__2018__2019__2020__2021__ 2017_2018_2019_2020_2021__ 2017__2018__2019__2020__2021
01......82.15...89.89...96.91...97.81...94.57......80.32...87.84...99.75.106.60.104.03.....2.77...3.61...0.88...1.16...2.91.....-0.94...-1.56...-3.71...-9.95.-12.37.
02......81.51...91.27...94.89...97.05...92.35......80.32...90.52...98.99.105.47...99.33.....2.57...2.86..-0.26...1.30...2.93.....-1.37...-2.11...-3.84...-9.72...-9.92.
03......82.59...92.70...93.96...95.66...92.37i.....81.46...91.63...99.21.105.90.103.89i....2.59...3.42..-0.06...0.07...2.72i.....-1.46...-2.35...-5.19.-10.31.-12.06i
04......81.46...90.86...94.88...95.60..................80.36...91.00.100.23.104.88.................2.28...3.03..-0.54...0.25...............-1.18...-3.17...-4.81...-9.52.............
05......82.94...91.73...93.94...92.25..................80.90...91.60.100.40.100.07.................2.65...2.92..-0.78...0.05...............-0.61...-2.79...-5.69...-7.87.............
06......83.09...91.33...95.83...92.27..................80.93...91.99.102.15...98.61.................2.79...2.67..-0.85..-0.24...............-0.64...-3.32...-5.47...-6.11.............
07......83.13...93.45...96.25...95.81..................80.93...93.70.102.75...99.85.................2.94...2.65..-0.28...0.69...............-0.74...-2.90...-6.22...-4.74.............
08......83.42...95.18...99.39...95.18..................81.53...96.11.105.48.100.48.................2.64...2.08..-0.28...0.60...............-0.74...-3.00...-5.81...-5.90.............
09......85.30...96.97...99.23...91.87..................83.84...97.61.105.84...99.13.................2.65...1.69..-0.18..-0.28...............-1.19...-2.33...-6.42...-6.98.............
10......84.31...98.98...99.89...89.95..................83.30...99.40.106.82...98.90.................2.75...2.07..-0.18...0.15...............-1.74...-2.49...-6.74...-9.10.............
11......87.43...95.83.100.87...90.77..................87.00.100.76.108.57.101.30.................2.27..-0.71...0.41...1.48...............-1.84...-4.22...-8.10.-12.02.............
12......89.47...96.02...99.36...93.24..................88.57.100.65.107.56.103.44.................2.92..-0.09...0.79...2.73...............-2.02...-4.54...-8.99.-12.94.............



==============================================Monthly US Dry-Gas Import/Export Models (BCF/Day)==============================================
..............Net US Dry-Gas Imports............................Canadian Imports...............................Canadian.Exports..........................Mexican Imports*........................Mexican Exports*
____ 2017_2018_2019_2020_2021____ 2017__2018__2019__2020__2021___2017_2018_2019_2020_2021___2017_2018_2019_2020_2021__ 2017_2018_2019_2020_2021
01......2.77...3.61...0.88...1.16...2.91..........7.81.....8.60.....8.46.....7.14.....8.53.......3.28...3.04...3.03...2.88...2.57.......0.00...0.00...0.00...0.05...0.18......1.76...1.94...4.55...3.15...3.23.
02......2.57...2.86..-0.26...1.30...2.93..........7.66.....7.93.....7.58.....7.51.....8.39.......3.31...3.18...3.32...2.64...2.26.......0.00...0.00...0.00...0.07...0.13......1.79...1.89...4.52...3.64...3.33.
03......2.59....3.42.-0.06...0.07...2.72i.........7.72.....8.04.....7.71.....6.42.....6.10i......3.33...2.88...3.24...2.76...2.40i.......0.00...0.00...0.00...0.11...0.13i.....1.81...1.74...4.52...3.69...3.31i
04......2.28...3.03..-0.54...0.25....................7.20.....8.13.....7.02.....5.94...................3.21...3.34...3.14...2.46.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.14................1.71...1.77...4.41...3.37...........
05......2.65...2.92..-0.78...0.05....................7.38.....7.32.....6.86.....5.88...................2.91...2.50...3.08...2.35.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.17................1.82...1.90...4.56...3.65...........
06......2.79...2.67..-0.85..-0.24....................7.12.....7.50.....6.58.....5.94...................2.65...2.99...2.92...2.47.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.05................1.68...1.84...4.51...3.76...........
07......2.94...2.65..-0.28...0.69....................7.20.....7.69.....7.33.....6.72...................2.53...3.21...3.09...2.52.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.12................1.73...1.82...4.52...3.62...........
08......2.64...2.08..-0.28...0.60....................7.18.....7.30.....7.22.....6.36...................2.80...3.41...2.92...2.14.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.14................1.74...1.81...4.58...3.75...........
09......2.65...1.69..-0.18..-0.28....................7.35.....6.97.....6.73.....5.58...................2.97...3.53...2.62...2.25.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.16................1.72...1.75...4.30...3.77...........
10......2.75...2.07..-0.18...0.15....................7.26.....6.96.....6.02.....5.85...................2.69...2.99...2.34...2.38.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.23................1.83...1.91...3.86...3.55...........
11......2.27..-0.71...0.41...1.48....................7.51.....7.25.....7.07.....6.78...................3.32...3.49...2.85...2.56.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.27................1.92...4.46...3.80...3.01...........
12......2.92..-0.09...0.79...2.73....................8.07.....7.96.....7.45.....8.16...................3.21...3.58...3.02...2.63.................0.00...0.00...0.01...0.30................1.94...4.47...3.65...3.09...........
......* = Experimental Model



===============Daily Net US Supply Model (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
01/01/21....92.37....93.67....93.72....94.49....93.65....92.84....94.39....655.12
01/08/21....94.53....94.27....94.36....94.70....94.38....94.32....94.59....661.15
01/15/21....93.70....93.92....93.61....95.68....93.84....93.01....92.42....656.19
01/22/21....93.44....94.04....94.07....93.85....96.08....96.66....94.46....662.61
01/29/21....95.11....95.27....94.94....94.66....94.97....95.18....95.63....665.77
02/05/21....95.82....95.69....93.88....94.23....93.41....92.56....92.40....657.99
02/12/21....92.86....93.31....93.13....92.36....91.63....90.67....91.52....645.49
02/19/21....93.11....90.89....88.23....88.06....90.05....91.75....88.43....630.52
02/26/21....91.60....91.25....92.34....93.79....93.68....96.85....95.33....654.83
03/05/21....94.31....94.22....94.28....92.86....90.43..............................466.11i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/28/20....97.37....96.96....96.59....96.60....96.65....97.84....98.62....680.62
03/06/20....98.61....97.01....98.17....96.96....96.30....95.01....97.04....679.10
03/13/20....95.48....95.77....94.99....93.91....94.33....95.05....94.81....664.34
03/20/20....96.85....97.04....97.49....97.02....98.18....95.36....94.86....676.80
03/27/20....94.74....96.43....96.24....93.76....93.94....93.79....94.58....663.49



===============Daily US Production Model (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
01/01/21..102.11..103.09..104.21..104.69..103.83..103.19..104.54....725.67
01/08/21..104.54..104.58..104.46..104.68..104.44..104.38..104.45....731.52
01/15/21..103.71..103.38..102.87..103.73..102.94..103.08..103.46....723.17
01/22/21..103.60..103.57..104.00..103.65..104.94..104.22..103.54....727.52
01/29/21..103.75..104.05..104.69..103.87..104.06..104.39..104.54....729.35
02/05/21..104.45..104.35..103.08..103.16..103.33..103.38..102.90....724.64
02/12/21..102.98..103.06..103.21..102.44..100.43....99.84....99.41....711.38
02/19/21....97.53....96.07....91.79....88.53....88.18....89.05....87.86....639.00
02/26/21....92.18....95.85....98.54..102.75..103.85..105.93..105.27....704.36
03/05/21..105.33..105.46..104.26..104.55..102.87..............................522.47i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/28/20..106.14..105.76..105.76..105.73..105.80..106.47..107.04....742.70
03/06/20..107.31..106.15..106.76..105.77..105.75..104.80..107.03....743.57
03/13/20..105.72..105.78..106.02..105.26..105.60..105.42..105.64....739.44
03/20/20..106.63..106.44..106.22..105.74..106.76..105.84..106.18....743.80
03/27/20..105.44..106.65..106.10..103.73..104.58..104.58..105.62....736.69
....Estimated sample size: 72%


===========Daily US Net Dry-Gas Imports Model (BCF/Day)===========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
01/01/21......3.15......3.28......2.83......3.04......2.61......2.79......3.06......20.76
01/08/21......3.12......3.14......2.79......2.46......2.91......2.82......3.02......20.25
01/15/21......2.75......3.20......3.07......2.81......2.54......2.44......1.86......18.67
01/22/21......2.29......2.64......2.35......2.56......2.74......2.77......2.62......17.97
01/29/21......2.92......3.12......2.69......3.00......3.16......3.72......3.73......22.33
02/05/21......3.88......4.13......3.35......3.32......2.58......1.90......2.42......21.58
02/12/21......2.41......2.98......2.53......2.42......2.74......2.56......2.89......18.52
02/19/21......4.32......4.16......3.82......4.32......4.79......5.21......4.35......30.97
02/26/21......4.33......3.70......3.27......2.01......1.43......1.71......1.31......17.76
03/05/21......0.60......0.75......1.65......0.30......0.13..................................3.42i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/28/20......1.22......1.04......0.88......0.82......0.98......1.40......1.49........7.83
03/06/20......1.25......0.77......0.52.....-0.23....-0.34.....-0.20.....-0.02........1.75
03/13/20......0.03.....-0.18....-0.41.....-0.44.....-0.26......0.17....-0.14.......-1.23
03/20/20......0.18......0.65......0.78......0.30......0.31.....-0.49....-0.24........1.48
03/27/20......0.56......0.98......0.99......0.57......0.28......0.06.....-0.07........3.37
....Estimated sample size: 120%


==========Daily US LNG Imports (As Revaporized, BCF/Day)===========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
01/01/21...-12.89..-12.70...-13.32...-13.24..-12.80...-13.14...-13.22....-91.30
01/08/21...-13.12..-13.44...-12.89...-12.45..-12.97...-12.87...-12.88....-90.62
01/15/21...-12.75..-12.66...-12.33...-10.85..-11.64...-12.50...-12.91....-85.65
01/22/21...-12.45..-12.17...-12.28...-12.36..-11.60...-10.33...-11.70....-82.89
01/29/21...-11.56..-11.90...-12.44...-12.20..-12.25...-12.94...-12.63....-85.92
02/05/21...-12.52..-12.78...-12.55...-12.25..-12.49...-12.72...-12.92....-88.23
02/12/21...-12.52..-12.73...-12.62...-12.50..-11.53...-11.74...-10.77....-84.41
02/19/21.....-8.74....-9.33.....-7.38.....-4.79....-2.92.....-2.51.....-3.78....-39.44
02/26/21.....-4.91....-8.30.....-9.47...-10.97..-11.60...-10.79...-11.25....-67.29
03/05/21...-11.61..-11.99...-11.62...-11.99..-12.57...............................-59.78i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/28/20.....-9.99....-9.85...-10.05.....-9.95..-10.12...-10.03.....-9.92....-69.91
03/06/20.....-9.95....-9.90.....-9.11.....-8.58....-9.12.....-9.59.....-9.97....-66.22
03/13/20...-10.27....-9.82...-10.61...-10.92..-11.01...-10.54...-10.70....-73.87
03/20/20.....-9.96..-10.05.....-9.51.....-9.02....-8.89.....-9.99...-11.07....-68.48
03/27/20...-11.26..-11.20...-10.85...-10.53..-10.91...-10.84...-10.97....-76.57
....Estimated sample size: 81%


===========Daily US Net Dry-Gas Imports Model (BCF/Day)===========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
01/01/21......3.15......3.28......2.83......3.04......2.61......2.79......3.06......20.76
01/08/21......3.12......3.14......2.79......2.46......2.91......2.82......3.02......20.25
01/15/21......2.75......3.20......3.07......2.81......2.54......2.44......1.86......18.67
01/22/21......2.29......2.64......2.35......2.56......2.74......2.77......2.62......17.97
01/29/21......2.92......3.12......2.69......3.00......3.16......3.72......3.73......22.33
02/05/21......3.88......4.13......3.35......3.32......2.58......1.90......2.42......21.58
02/12/21......2.41......2.98......2.53......2.42......2.74......2.56......2.89......18.52
02/19/21......4.32......4.16......3.82......4.32......4.79......5.21......4.35......30.97
02/26/21......4.33......3.70......3.27......2.01......1.43......1.71......1.31......17.76
03/05/21......0.60......0.75......1.65......0.30......0.13..................................3.42i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/28/20......1.22......1.04......0.88......0.82......0.98......1.40......1.49........7.83
03/06/20......1.25......0.77......0.52.....-0.23....-0.34.....-0.20.....-0.02........1.75
03/13/20......0.03.....-0.18....-0.41.....-0.44.....-0.26......0.17....-0.14.......-1.23
03/20/20......0.18......0.65......0.78......0.30......0.31.....-0.49....-0.24........1.48
03/27/20......0.56......0.98......0.99......0.57......0.28......0.06.....-0.07........3.37
....Estimated sample size: 120%


=============Daily US Imports From Canada (BCF/Day)==============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
01/01/21......8.30......8.41......8.26......8.48......8.21......8.28......8.26......58.20
01/08/21......8.23......8.40......8.33......8.31......8.51......8.35......8.53......58.66
01/15/21......8.41......8.52......8.68......8.73......8.56......8.49......7.92......59.31
01/22/21......8.22......8.22......8.30......8.50......8.60......8.60......8.42......58.87
01/29/21......8.60......8.56......8.49......8.43......8.63......9.14......9.10......60.95
02/05/21......9.12......9.23......8.81......8.70......8.30......7.89......8.22......60.27
02/12/21......7.94......8.03......7.89......7.84......8.00......7.86......8.31......55.87
02/19/21......9.08......9.17......9.21......9.47......9.51......9.63......9.38......65.46
02/26/21......9.10......9.19......8.96......7.74......7.64......7.79......7.32......57.75
03/05/21......6.96......7.04......7.73......5.32......5.25................................32.31i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/28/20......7.50......7.43......7.34......7.10......7.01......7.34......7.40......51.13
03/06/20......7.28......7.09......6.93......6.47......6.38......6.45......6.50......47.10
03/13/20......6.41......6.26......6.10......6.23......6.45......6.45......6.11......44.01
03/20/20......6.28......6.55......6.66......6.56......6.36......5.89......6.23......44.54
03/27/20......6.64......6.76......6.81......6.50......6.60......6.49......6.15......45.96
....Estimated sample size: 115%


==============Daily US Exports To Canada (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
01/01/21......2.73......2.78......2.75......2.78......2.71......2.73......2.73......19.21
01/08/21......2.60......2.57......2.53......2.59......2.43......2.52......2.64......17.88
01/15/21......2.56......2.57......2.62......2.56......2.67......2.72......2.75......18.46
01/22/21......2.72......2.71......2.68......2.70......2.65......2.61......2.62......18.69
01/29/21......2.48......2.52......2.53......2.52......2.54......2.35......2.29......17.22
02/05/21......2.32......2.26......2.47......2.42......2.67......2.80......2.70......17.65
02/12/21......2.54......2.34......2.30......2.34......2.28......2.04......2.06......15.90
02/19/21......1.67......1.72......1.79......1.66......1.44......1.18......1.44......10.89
02/26/21......1.46......2.10......2.27......2.47......2.99......2.92......3.03......17.25
03/05/21......3.03......3.04......3.08......2.04......2.08................................13.27i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/28/20......2.73......2.85......2.85......2.80......2.62......2.52......2.54......18.91
03/06/20......2.69......2.78......2.80......2.97......2.95......2.94......2.84......19.97
03/13/20......2.90......2.98......2.98......3.02......2.97......2.94......2.71......20.50
03/20/20......2.80......2.56......2.60......2.61......2.64......2.71......2.86......18.78
03/27/20......2.57......2.40......2.33......2.43......2.61......2.67......2.48......17.48
....Estimated sample size: 205%


=============Daily US Imports From Mexico (BCF/Day)==============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
01/01/21......0.85......0.81......0.54......0.43......0.30......0.39......0.62........3.94
01/08/21......0.62......0.45......0.17......0.06......0.04......0.09......0.24........1.67
01/15/21......0.29......0.57......0.33......0.04......0.04......0.04......0.12........1.43
01/22/21......0.11......0.51......0.04......0.06......0.07......0.00......0.00........0.80
01/29/21......0.04......0.26......0.04......0.08......0.10......0.04......0.07........0.63
02/05/21......0.16......0.34......0.23......0.39......0.24......0.00......0.00........1.36
02/12/21......0.00......0.22......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.01......0.04........0.27
02/19/21......0.39......0.32......0.07......0.13......0.29......0.33......0.03........1.56
02/26/21......0.00......0.02......0.00......0.19......0.16......0.19......0.25........0.82
03/05/21......0.01......0.11......0.15......0.12......0.09..................................0.47i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/28/20......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.12......0.16......0.16......0.17........0.61
03/06/20......0.17......0.24......0.15......0.05......0.05......0.05......0.05........0.75
03/13/20......0.19......0.19......0.19......0.05......0.07......0.24......0.14........1.06
03/20/20......0.23......0.23......0.23......0.05......0.18......0.00......0.05........0.98
03/27/20......0.08......0.16......0.18......0.18......0.00......0.00......0.03........0.62
....Estimated sample size: 8%


==============Daily US Exports To Mexico (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
01/01/21......3.27......3.16......3.22......3.10......3.20......3.15......3.09......22.18
01/08/21......3.13......3.14......3.18......3.32......3.21......3.11......3.12......22.19
01/15/21......3.39......3.32......3.32......3.40......3.38......3.38......3.42......23.61
01/22/21......3.31......3.38......3.32......3.30......3.28......3.22......3.18......23.00
01/29/21......3.24......3.18......3.31......3.00......3.04......3.11......3.14......22.02
02/05/21......3.07......3.18......3.23......3.36......3.29......3.18......3.09......22.40
02/12/21......3.00......2.93......3.06......3.08......2.99......3.27......3.41......21.72
02/19/21......3.48......3.61......3.68......3.63......3.57......3.58......3.62......25.17
02/26/21......3.32......3.41......3.42......3.45......3.39......3.34......3.23......23.56
03/05/21......3.35......3.36......3.15......3.11......3.12................................16.09i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
02/28/20......3.56......3.54......3.61......3.60......3.57......3.58......3.54......24.99
03/06/20......3.50......3.79......3.75......3.78......3.82......3.76......3.73......26.12
03/13/20......3.67......3.65......3.72......3.71......3.80......3.58......3.67......25.80
03/20/20......3.54......3.57......3.51......3.70......3.60......3.67......3.67......25.26
03/27/20......3.59......3.54......3.66......3.69......3.71......3.77......3.77......25.73
....Estimated sample size: 81%


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