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Daily Gas Flows (Part 6- Supply)-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 12/16/20 REVISIONS: Net US Supply, Production models increased in "Part 6" posts. Net US demand, and Residential & Commercial models increased in "Part 7" posts. =======================================Monthly.US.Dry-Gas.Supply.Models.(BCF/Day)===================================== ............................Net.US.Supply...........................................Production....................................Dry-Gas.Imports...................LNG.Imports.(Revaporized) _____ 2017__2018__2019__2020__2021___ 2017__2018__2019__2020__2021__ 2017_2018_2019_2020_2021__ 2017__2018__2019__2020__2021 01......82.15...89.89...99.58...99.16...95.34i.....80.32...87.84...99.75.106.60.103.95i....2.77...3.61...3.54...2.51...4.02i.....-0.94...-1.56...-3.71...-9.95.-12.63i 02......81.51...91.27...97.55...98.85..................80.32...90.52...98.99.105.47.................2.57...2.86...2.40...3.10...............-1.37...-2.11...-3.84...-9.72............. 03......82.59...92.70...96.62...97.47..................81.46...91.63...99.21.105.90.................2.59...3.42...2.60...1.88...............-1.46...-2.35...-5.19.-10.31............. 04......81.46...90.86...97.54...97.34..................80.36...91.00.100.23.104.88.................2.28...3.03...2.12...1.98...............-1.18...-3.17...-4.81...-9.52............. 05......82.94...91.73...96.60...94.23..................80.90...91.60.100.40.100.07.................2.65...2.92...1.88...2.03...............-0.61...-2.79...-5.69...-7.87............. 06......83.09...91.33...98.42...94.14..................80.93...91.99.102.15...98.61.................2.79...2.67...1.74...1.64...............-0.64...-3.32...-5.47...-6.11............. 07......83.13...93.45...98.87...97.61..................80.93...93.70.102.75...99.85.................2.94...2.65...2.34...2.49...............-0.74...-2.90...-6.22...-4.74............. 08......83.42...95.18.102.05...97.01..................81.53...96.11.105.48.100.48.................2.64...2.08...2.38...2.44...............-0.74...-3.00...-5.81...-5.90............. 09......85.30...96.97.101.64...93.64..................83.84...97.61.105.84...99.13.................2.65...1.69...2.22...1.49...............-1.19...-2.33...-6.42...-6.98............. 10......84.31...99.06.101.89...91.66..................83.30...99.40.106.82...98.90.................2.75...2.15...1.82...1.86...............-1.74...-2.49...-6.74...-9.10............. 11......87.43...98.39.102.83...92.02..................87.00.100.76.108.57.101.30.................2.27...1.86...2.37...2.74...............-1.84...-4.22...-8.10.-12.02............. 12......89.47...98.64.101.31...94.56..................88.57.100.65.107.56.103.44.................2.92...2.54...2.74...4.06...............-2.02...-4.54...-8.99.-12.94............. ==============================================Monthly US Dry-Gas Import/Export Models (BCF/Day)============================================== ..............Net US Dry-Gas Imports............................Canadian Imports...............................Canadian.Exports..........................Mexican Imports*........................Mexican Exports* ____ 2017_2018_2019_2020_2021____ 2017__2018__2019__2020__2021___2017_2018_2019_2020_2021___2017_2018_2019_2020_2021__ 2017_2018_2019_2020_2021 01......2.77...3.61...3.54...2.51...4.02i.........7.81.....8.60.....8.46.....7.14.....8.06i......3.28...3.04...3.03...2.88...2.50i.......0.00...0.00...0.00...0.05...0.25i.....1.76...1.94...1.88...1.80...1.78i 02......2.57...2.86...2.40...3.10....................7.66.....7.93.....7.58.....7.51...................3.31...3.18...3.32...2.64.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.07................1.79...1.89...1.86...1.84........... 03......2.59...3.42...2.60...1.88....................7.72.....8.04.....7.71.....6.42...................3.33...2.88...3.24...2.76.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.11................1.81...1.74...1.87...1.89........... 04......2.28...3.03...2.12...1.98....................7.20.....8.13.....7.02.....5.94...................3.21...3.34...3.14...2.46.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.14................1.71...1.77...1.75...1.64........... 05......2.65...2.92...1.88...2.03....................7.38.....7.32.....6.86.....5.88...................2.91...2.50...3.08...2.35.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.17................1.82...1.90...1.90...1.67........... 06......2.79...2.67...1.74...1.64....................7.12.....7.50.....6.58.....5.94...................2.65...2.99...2.92...2.47.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.05................1.68...1.84...1.93...1.88........... 07......2.94...2.65...2.34...2.49....................7.20.....7.69.....7.33.....6.72...................2.53...3.21...3.09...2.52.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.12................1.73...1.82...1.90...1.82........... 08......2.64...2.08...2.38...2.44....................7.18.....7.30.....7.22.....6.36...................2.80...3.41...2.92...2.14.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.14................1.74...1.81...1.91...1.92........... 09......2.65...1.69...2.22...1.49....................7.35.....6.97.....6.73.....5.58...................2.97...3.53...2.62...2.25.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.16................1.72...1.75...1.89...2.00........... 10......2.75...2.15...1.82...1.86....................7.26.....6.96.....6.02.....5.85...................2.69...2.99...2.34...2.38.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.23................1.83...1.82...1.86...1.84........... 11......2.27...1.86...2.37...2.74....................7.51.....7.25.....7.07.....6.78...................3.32...3.49...2.85...2.56.................0.00...0.00...0.00...0.27................1.92...1.90...1.84...1.76........... 12......2.92...2.54...2.74...4.06....................8.07.....7.96.....7.45.....8.16...................3.21...3.58...3.02...2.63.................0.00...0.00...0.01...0.30................1.94...1.84...1.70...1.76........... ......* = Experimental Model ===============Daily Net US Supply Model (BCF/Day)=============== _Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total 11/13/20....86.54....86.84....87.22....86.99....88.96....90.79....93.01....620.36 11/20/20....93.14....93.82....94.78....95.40....95.29....93.37....91.81....657.61 11/27/20....92.96....93.34....94.24....94.34....92.10....91.63....92.16....650.75 12/04/20....92.25....91.95....93.60....94.07....95.82....93.81....93.17....654.68 12/11/20....92.70....93.67....94.20....94.74....94.67....93.02....92.56....655.56 12/18/20....92.33....92.28....92.88....94.67....96.38....94.93....96.55....660.01 12/25/20....96.52....96.24....96.01....95.65....95.45....93.96....94.95....668.77 01/01/21....94.01....95.23....95.32....96.00....95.19....94.48....95.98....666.22 01/08/21....96.12....95.83....95.93....96.11....95.55....95.61....95.83....671.00 01/15/21....95.23....95.43....95.12....97.21....95.33....92.52....92.25....663.08 __________________________Year_Ago__________________________ 01/10/20..100.91..102.13..102.87..101.82..101.69..101.17....97.81....708.40 01/17/20....96.61....97.10....97.51....98.53....98.87....99.64....99.73....687.98 01/24/20....98.65....99.95..100.60..100.74....98.39....96.98....97.86....693.16 01/31/20....97.09....96.76....98.23....97.16....97.72....98.06....97.54....682.56 02/07/20....97.03....97.54....97.34....97.54....96.87....96.88....98.00....681.20 ===============Daily US Production Model (BCF/Day)=============== _Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total 11/13/20....97.08....97.67....98.02....96.92....98.35..100.30..102.08....690.41 11/20/20..101.95..101.34..101.99..103.06..103.66..102.80..101.70....716.49 11/27/20..102.23..102.02..103.03..103.02..102.11..102.03..102.53....716.97 12/04/20..102.56..102.49..103.56..103.78..104.34..103.33..102.74....722.81 12/11/20..102.45..102.64..102.90..103.77..104.17..102.91..103.17....722.00 12/18/20..102.69..102.66..102.57..102.64..103.23..103.10..104.16....721.04 12/25/20..104.23..104.08..104.69..104.26..104.71..103.37..102.92....728.26 01/01/21..102.11..103.10..104.21..104.69..103.83..103.19..104.54....725.67 01/08/21..104.53..104.58..104.46..104.68..104.44..104.38..104.45....731.51 01/15/21..103.71..103.38..102.87..103.73..102.94..103.27..103.27....723.16 __________________________Year_Ago__________________________ 01/10/20..108.64..109.27..109.31..108.84..107.89..107.11..106.51....757.58 01/17/20..105.74..106.05..106.40..107.14..106.59..106.55..105.59....744.06 01/24/20..107.05..106.63..107.00..106.70..105.30..104.54..104.98....742.20 01/31/20..105.41..104.95..105.61..105.22..105.25..105.44..104.87....736.75 02/07/20..104.55..105.15..105.12..104.91..104.18..104.67..104.87....733.46 ....Estimated sample size: 72% ===========Daily US Net Dry-Gas Imports Model (BCF/Day)=========== _Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total 11/13/20......0.82......1.29......1.00......1.95......2.95......2.96......3.10......14.07 11/20/20......3.44......3.56......3.96......4.04......3.88......2.50......2.54......23.93 11/27/20......2.72......3.07......3.06......3.52......2.53......2.21......2.36......19.46 12/04/20......2.47......2.57......2.37......3.39......3.97......3.84......3.79......22.38 12/11/20......3.84......4.01......4.25......4.19......3.65......3.42......2.79......26.15 12/18/20......3.09......3.18......3.70......4.02......4.76......4.64......4.60......27.99 12/25/20......4.43......4.63......4.05......4.42......3.66......3.55......4.80......29.54 01/01/21......4.79......4.84......4.43......4.55......4.16......4.42......4.66......31.85 01/08/21......4.72......4.70......4.36......3.88......4.08......4.11......4.26......30.11 01/15/21......4.27......4.71......4.58......4.34......4.04......1.79......1.88......25.60 __________________________Year_Ago__________________________ 01/10/20......2.38......2.66......2.79......2.52......2.65......2.57......1.15......16.72 01/17/20......0.98......1.29......1.07......0.95......1.43......2.44......2.96......11.12 01/24/20......1.70......3.69......4.12......4.19......3.41......2.78......2.80......22.68 01/31/20......2.35......2.38......2.59......2.58......3.08......3.33......3.38......19.69 02/07/20......2.82......2.87......2.74......2.57......3.22......2.93......3.37......20.52 ....Estimated sample size: 120% ==========Daily US LNG Imports (As Revaporized, BCF/Day)=========== _Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total 11/13/20...-11.36..-12.12...-11.79...-11.88..-12.33...-12.46...-12.18....-84.12 11/20/20...-12.25..-11.08...-11.18...-11.69..-12.24...-11.93...-12.43....-82.80 11/27/20...-11.99..-11.76...-11.85...-12.20..-12.54...-12.61...-12.73....-85.68 12/04/20...-12.78..-13.11...-12.33...-13.10..-12.48...-13.35...-13.36....-90.51 12/11/20...-13.59..-12.97...-12.95...-13.22..-13.15...-13.32...-13.39....-92.59 12/18/20...-13.45..-13.56...-13.40...-11.98..-11.61...-12.80...-12.21....-89.02 12/25/20...-12.14..-12.46...-12.74...-13.04..-12.92...-12.96...-12.76....-89.04 01/01/21...-12.89..-12.70...-13.32...-13.24..-12.80...-13.14...-13.22....-91.30 01/08/21...-13.12..-13.44...-12.89...-12.45..-12.97...-12.87...-12.88....-90.62 01/15/21...-12.75..-12.66...-12.33...-10.85..-11.64...-12.54...-12.91....-85.68 __________________________Year_Ago__________________________ 01/10/20...-10.12....-9.80.....-9.24.....-9.54....-8.84.....-8.51.....-9.85....-65.90 01/17/20...-10.11..-10.24.....-9.96.....-9.56....-9.15.....-9.36.....-8.82....-67.20 01/24/20...-10.10..-10.37...-10.52...-10.15..-10.33...-10.34.....-9.92....-71.72 01/31/20...-10.67..-10.57.....-9.97...-10.64..-10.61...-10.72...-10.71....-73.89 02/07/20...-10.34..-10.48...-10.52.....-9.93..-10.53...-10.71...-10.25....-72.77 ....Estimated sample size: 81% ===========Daily US Net Dry-Gas Imports Model (BCF/Day)=========== _Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total 11/13/20......0.82......1.29......1.00......1.95......2.95......2.96......3.10......14.07 11/20/20......3.44......3.56......3.96......4.04......3.88......2.50......2.54......23.93 11/27/20......2.72......3.07......3.06......3.52......2.53......2.21......2.36......19.46 12/04/20......2.47......2.57......2.37......3.39......3.97......3.84......3.79......22.38 12/11/20......3.84......4.01......4.25......4.19......3.65......3.42......2.79......26.15 12/18/20......3.09......3.18......3.70......4.02......4.76......4.64......4.60......27.99 12/25/20......4.43......4.63......4.05......4.42......3.66......3.55......4.80......29.54 01/01/21......4.79......4.84......4.43......4.55......4.16......4.42......4.66......31.85 01/08/21......4.72......4.70......4.36......3.88......4.08......4.11......4.26......30.11 01/15/21......4.27......4.71......4.58......4.34......4.04......1.79......1.88......25.60 __________________________Year_Ago__________________________ 01/10/20......2.38......2.66......2.79......2.52......2.65......2.57......1.15......16.72 01/17/20......0.98......1.29......1.07......0.95......1.43......2.44......2.96......11.12 01/24/20......1.70......3.69......4.12......4.19......3.41......2.78......2.80......22.68 01/31/20......2.35......2.38......2.59......2.58......3.08......3.33......3.38......19.69 02/07/20......2.82......2.87......2.74......2.57......3.22......2.93......3.37......20.52 ....Estimated sample size: 120% =============Daily US Imports From Canada (BCF/Day)============== _Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total 11/13/20......5.35......5.39......5.45......6.52......6.91......6.96......7.21......43.78 11/20/20......7.20......7.24......7.30......8.13......7.95......6.76......6.58......51.16 11/27/20......6.45......6.57......6.82......7.41......6.78......6.43......6.45......46.90 12/04/20......6.53......6.57......6.58......7.65......8.09......8.14......7.63......51.20 12/11/20......7.90......8.12......8.44......8.47......8.19......7.96......7.30......56.38 12/18/20......7.44......7.35......8.01......8.55......9.06......9.01......8.71......58.13 12/25/20......8.53......8.33......8.28......8.29......8.09......7.55......7.85......56.92 01/01/21......8.30......8.41......8.26......8.48......8.21......8.28......8.26......58.20 01/08/21......8.23......8.40......8.33......8.31......8.51......8.35......8.53......58.66 01/15/21......8.41......8.52......8.68......8.73......8.56......5.50......5.53......53.93 __________________________Year_Ago__________________________ 01/10/20......7.10......7.34......7.59......7.36......7.44......7.39......6.07......50.30 01/17/20......5.63......5.92......5.82......5.75......6.46......7.02......7.32......43.90 01/24/20......6.23......7.83......8.25......8.37......7.76......7.48......7.45......53.37 01/31/20......7.10......7.10......7.36......7.45......7.66......7.93......7.86......52.47 02/07/20......7.14......7.22......7.03......6.99......7.57......7.35......7.60......50.91 ....Estimated sample size: 115% ==============Daily US Exports To Canada (BCF/Day)=============== _Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total 11/13/20......3.00......2.80......2.78......2.76......2.35......2.31......2.35......18.35 11/20/20......2.28......2.41......2.40......2.43......2.52......2.64......2.57......17.25 11/27/20......2.47......2.49......2.47......2.49......2.71......2.63......2.50......17.77 12/04/20......2.46......2.45......2.47......2.40......2.33......2.55......2.04......16.69 12/11/20......2.41......2.48......2.42......2.47......2.85......2.73......2.75......18.10 12/18/20......2.82......2.73......2.74......2.67......2.46......2.52......2.71......18.64 12/25/20......2.72......2.74......2.71......2.78......2.93......2.84......2.32......19.04 01/01/21......2.73......2.78......2.75......2.78......2.71......2.73......2.73......19.21 01/08/21......2.60......2.57......2.53......2.59......2.43......2.52......2.64......17.88 01/15/21......2.56......2.57......2.62......2.56......2.67......1.93......1.95......16.86 __________________________Year_Ago__________________________ 01/10/20......3.03......2.98......3.05......3.00......3.01......3.15......3.11......21.33 01/17/20......2.94......3.02......3.01......3.03......3.11......2.84......2.62......20.58 01/24/20......2.81......2.48......2.38......2.38......2.60......2.87......2.96......18.48 01/31/20......3.03......2.93......2.97......2.94......2.63......2.72......2.56......19.77 02/07/20......2.61......2.67......2.69......2.69......2.56......2.63......2.49......18.34 ....Estimated sample size: 205% =============Daily US Imports From Mexico (BCF/Day)============== _Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total 11/13/20......0.15......0.47......0.26......0.01......0.12......0.14......0.03........1.19 11/20/20......0.17......0.23......0.60......0.13......0.18......0.10......0.26........1.68 11/27/20......0.46......0.56......0.46......0.36......0.28......0.27......0.24........2.62 12/04/20......0.24......0.24......0.16......0.07......0.08......0.11......0.10........0.99 12/11/20......0.26......0.27......0.18......0.11......0.17......0.08......0.14........1.20 12/18/20......0.27......0.34......0.28......0.00......0.00......0.01......0.30........1.20 12/25/20......0.19......0.58......0.16......0.68......0.16......0.43......0.92........3.13 01/01/21......0.85......0.81......0.54......0.43......0.30......0.39......0.62........3.94 01/08/21......0.62......0.45......0.17......0.06......0.04......0.09......0.24........1.67 01/15/21......0.29......0.57......0.33......0.04......0.04......0.04......0.12........1.43 __________________________Year_Ago__________________________ 01/10/20......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.12......0.00........0.12 01/17/20......0.09......0.09......0.09......0.09......0.06......0.00......0.00........0.41 01/24/20......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.05......0.19........0.25 01/31/20......0.08......0.08......0.08......0.02......0.00......0.04......0.00........0.30 02/07/20......0.10......0.10......0.10......0.14......0.06......0.10......0.12........0.72 ....Estimated sample size: 8% ==============Daily US Exports To Mexico (BCF/Day)=============== _Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total 11/13/20......1.68......1.77......1.94......1.81......1.73......1.83......1.80......12.55 11/20/20......1.65......1.50......1.54......1.79......1.74......1.73......1.72......11.67 11/27/20......1.72......1.57......1.75......1.76......1.81......1.85......1.84......12.29 12/04/20......1.84......1.79......1.90......1.94......1.88......1.87......1.90......13.12 12/11/20......1.90......1.90......1.94......1.92......1.86......1.89......1.91......13.33 12/18/20......1.81......1.78......1.85......1.86......1.85......1.87......1.69......12.71 12/25/20......1.57......1.55......1.68......1.78......1.66......1.60......1.65......11.48 01/01/21......1.63......1.59......1.62......1.58......1.66......1.52......1.49......11.08 01/08/21......1.53......1.57......1.60......1.91......2.03......1.81......1.87......12.33 01/15/21......1.87......1.81......1.82......1.87......1.89......1.82......1.82......12.90 __________________________Year_Ago__________________________ 01/10/20......1.69......1.70......1.75......1.84......1.78......1.78......1.81......12.36 01/17/20......1.80......1.70......1.83......1.85......1.98......1.74......1.73......12.61 01/24/20......1.73......1.66......1.76......1.79......1.75......1.89......1.89......12.46 01/31/20......1.81......1.87......1.89......1.95......1.95......1.92......1.93......13.30 02/07/20......1.81......1.77......1.70......1.87......1.86......1.89......1.86......12.76 ....Estimated sample size: 81% |
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