"So, I think this year for bars 3..6 (skipping the two most recent bars) is running about 6,000 higher per week than expected and that's about ~10% higher.
Again, its significant but not like the Spanish flu or something."
Keep in mind that these excess deaths are not just Covid19 virus deaths. There have been a number of research papers ferreting out excess deaths caused by the lockdown. The numbers of deaths from heart, cancer, suicide, etc. caused by the lockdown are mounting up. Those excess deaths will be with us for some time as they are often lagging in effect as ignored cancers, strokes, etc. take their toll over months and years to come.