Re: Libya Oil
Libyan oil is not coming back anytime soon. This is Hafter's end game, this is his chance to bring Tripoli to its knees, and the longer Tripoli resist, the harder for him to reverse policy. If he backs off now, without results, he loses face before his people after the pain he is making them endure. Meanwhile, from the Tripoli's side if they give in to Hafter's demands, and share the oil wealth, they will give him the funds and legitimacy he can defeat them with. This is a standoff and it will keep going until both parties run out of patience and money. Last I checked Tripoli had $77B in central bank reserves, and Hafter has the UAE to bankroll him, thus this will go a long time, long after China is back online and running at full steam.