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Msg  460858 of 478798  at  11/7/2022 12:38:15 AM  by

robry825

The following message was updated on 11/7/2022 12:50:03 AM.

Daily Gas Flows (US Economy)

....(Note: For older data see https://www.investorvillage.com/groups.asp?mb=19168&mn=431068&pt=msg&mid=23352848)........
.
Daily Strength of the Global, and US Non-Urban Economies
.
...............................................................................................................US Overall
........................Global...............US..............US............US............US.......Non-Urban
......................Industrial.........Industrial.....Personal.....Durable.......Food.......Economic
..................Production(1)....Production.Consumption...Goods......Group(2)...Strength(3).................News and Events
06/01/22......-20467............196.1........193.9........87.2........135.8........-2....Bloomberg: "Sheryl Sandberg Stepping Down as Meta’s COO After 14 Years"
06/02/22......-21654............196.0........192.7........87.8........135.8........-1....Bloomberg: "Biden Pleads for Limits on Assault Weapons After Killings".
06/03/22......-14264............196.2........192.3........88.2........135.7.......+2....Bloomberg: "Blankfein Urges ‘Dial Back’ on Negativity Over Economy". (Goldman Sachs Sr Chairman)
06/04/22......-16667............196.3........192.0........88.4........136.0.........0....Bloomberg: "US Recession Is Avoidable If Fed Is Able to ‘Thread the Needle’".
06/05/22......-15666............196.5........191.8........88.6........136.3.........0....Bloomberg: "Lifting Tariffs on Goods May Make Sense, US Commerce Chief Says".
06/06/22........-9214............196.5........191.5........88.9........136.7........-1....Bloomberg: "Inflation Is Poised to Ease According to These Three Key Indicators".
06/07/22......-13530............196.6........190.5........89.0........136.8.........0....Bloomberg: "California’s Newsom to Face Republican Dahle in November Election".
06/08/22......-15198............196.7........189.4........89.1........137.0.........0....Bloomberg: "Don’t Be Fooled by Daily Drama. The Stock Market Is in a Rut.".
06/09/22........-8062............196.8........188.9........89.3........136.7.......+2....Bloomberg: "Inflation Tops 10% on Key Items That Americans Can’t Do Without".
06/10/22........-1485............197.0........188.9........89.6........137.6.......+1....US CPI Inflation Report: +8.6% YOY (40 year high), +1.0% MOM; Core +6.0% YOY, +0.6% MOM
06/11/22........-8125............197.1........189.7........89.8........138.4.......+2....Bloomberg: "Inflation Thunderbolt Primes Stocks, Bonds for More Volatility."
06/12/22........-1154............197.3........189.6........89.8........139.0........-1....Bloomberg: "A Fed Rate Hike of 75 Basis Points Is a Done Deal for Traders"
06/13/22.........3339............197.5........188.2........89.8........140.0........-1....Bloomberg: "Wall Street’s Favorite Recession Signal Is Back as Curves Invert"
06/14/22.........1827............197.7........189.1........89.5........140.7........-2....Bloomberg: "Wall Street’s Latest Bear Market May Be Here to Stay for a While"
06/15/22.........6131............197.7........189.3........89.4........142.2........-1....Fed hikes F-Funds .75% (to 1.50 to 1.75), continues $47.5 billion/month quant-tightening ($95 in 2 mos) .
06/16/22.......11798............197.7........189.1........89.0........143.3........-3....Bloomberg: "US Recession Odds Hit 72%, Threatening Biden Presidency"
06/17/22.........6256............197.7........189.1........88.8........144.3........-2....Bloomberg: "Biden Team Negotiates Fresh Economic Plan as Inflation Antidote" (Tax & Invest)
06/18/22............-24............197.7........189.2........88.5........145.0........-1....Bloomberg: "Bitcoin Tumbles Below $20,000 for the First Time Since 2020"
06/19/22..........-230............197.8........189.4........88.1........145.8.........0....Bloomberg: "Bitcoin Bounces Above $20,000 in Swift Rebound; Caution Advised"
06/20/22.........4374............197.7........189.2........87.9........146.7........-4....Bloomberg: "Biden Says US Recession Avoidable After Call With Summers"
06/21/22........-1081............197.4........188.7........87.5........147.2........-4....Bloomberg: "White House Claim of Inflation Cushion Undercut by Savings Data"
06/22/22........-3229............197.1........187.2........87.0........147.2........-3....Bloomberg: "Powell Says Soft Landing ‘Very Challenging;’ Recession Possible"
06/23/22........-1690............196.6........186.5........86.5........147.5........-4....Bloomberg: "Powell Hammers Home ‘Unconditional’ Commitment to Cool Prices"
06/24/22...........646............196.2........185.1........86.1........148.1........-4....Bloomberg: "Supreme Court Overturns Roe, Transforming Abortion-Rights Fight"
06/25/22..........-607............195.8........184.8........85.6........148.5........-4....Bloomberg: "Protest Latest: More Justice Homes Targeted in Day Two of Crowds" (Baby Abortion)
06/26/22.........1412............195.6........184.6........85.0........149.0........-4....Bloomberg: "Russia Defaults on Foreign Debt for First Time Since 1918" (Grace period expires)
06/27/22.........5212............195.6........184.1........84.7........149.4........-3....Bloomberg: "Texas Sued by ACLU Over ‘Antiquated’ Pre-Roe Abortion Ban"
06/28/22.........7078............195.7........184.6........84.4........150.5.........0....Bloomberg: "Jan. 6 Panel’s Surprise Witness Is Ex-Aide to Trump Chief of Staff" (Cassidy Hutchinson)
06/29/22.........3889............196.0........184.7........84.1........151.2.........0....Bloomberg: "Explosive Jan. 6 Hearing Delivers Political Blow to Trump That His Rivals Couldn't Land"
06/30/22.........2908............196.2........186.3........83.7........151.4.........0....Bloomberg: "Harvard Affirmative Action, Gay Rights Cases Are Next Up at Supreme Court"
.
...............................................................................................................US Overall
........................Global...............US..............US............US............US.......Non-Urban
......................Industrial.........Industrial.....Personal.....Durable.......Food.......Economic
..................Production(1)....Production.Consumption...Goods......Group(2)...Strength(3).................News and Events
07/01/22.........4112............196.1........186.7........82.8........151.6........-2....Bloomberg: "JPMorgan Sees ‘Stratospheric’ $380 Oil on Worst-Case Russian Cut"
07/02/22.........5278............196.1........187.4........82.0........151.3.......+1....Annual Retooling Period Begins (First 2 Weeks Of July)
07/03/22.........5080............195.9........188.3........81.2........151.2.........0....Bloomberg: "Long, Moderate and Painful: What Next US Recession May Look Like"
07/04/22.........3344............195.9........189.2........80.5........151.1.......+1....Bloomberg: "Biden Close to Rollback of Chinese Tariffs to Fight Inflation" (+probe/duties some goods)
07/05/22...........300............195.7........189.5........79.9........151.2........-2....Bloomberg: "Natural Gas Soars 700%, Becoming Driving Force in the New Cold War"
07/06/22.........3455............195.3........190.7........79.3........151.5........-2....Bloomberg: "Fed Sees ‘More Restrictive’ Rates Possible If Inflation Persists"
07/07/22.........4376............195.1........191.6........78.6........152.5........-1....Bloomberg: "Fed Hawks Back 75 Basis-Point July Hike, Still See Soft Landing"
07/08/22.........3766............194.5........191.7........77.7........152.5........-1....Bloomberg: "‘Not Giving Up’: Jobs Data Show Just How Tight US Labor Market Is"
07/09/22.........2445............194.0........191.4........76.9........152.5........-3....Bloomberg: "Putin Is Set to Halt Gas and Germany Fears It’s Not Coming Back"
07/10/22.........2477............193.6........192.5........76.4........152.3.........0....Bloomberg: "Twitter Assembles Legal Team to Sue Musk Over Dropped Takeover"
07/11/22.........2817............193.2........193.2........76.0........152.0.........0....Bloomberg: "Thirteen ‘Perfect Storms’ That Are Sweeping the World Right Now"
07/12/22.........2297............192.7........193.8........76.0........151.9.......+1....Bloomberg: "Stocks Swoon as Treasuries Sound Recession Alarm: Markets Wrap"
07/13/22...........636............192.4........194.3........75.8........151.1.........0....US CPI Inflation Report: +9.1% YOY (40 year high), +1.3% MOM; Core +5.9% YOY, +0.7% MOM.
07/14/22...........772............192.1........195.0........76.0........149.6.......+2....Bloomberg: "Biden Calls Inflation Numbers ‘Out of Date.’ Americans Disagree"
07/15/22...........856............191.7........195.3........75.8........148.8.........0....Bloomberg: "Full-Point Fed Hike Odds Recede on Officials’ Comments, Data"
07/16/22........-1170............191.3........195.0........75.6........148.2........-2
07/17/22..........-934............190.8........194.6........75.4........147.6........-2....Annual Retooling Period Ends (First 2 Weeks Of July)
07/18/22.........1147............190.2........194.1........75.2........146.9........-2
07/19/22.........1572............189.7........194.2........75.0........146.9........-1....Bloomberg: Kissinger Warns Biden Against Endless Confrontation With China"
07/20/22.........2810............189.3........195.6........74.9........146.9........-1....Bloomberg: "Ford Plans Up to 8,000 Job Cuts to Help Fund EV Investment"
07/21/22.........3926............188.9........196.2........74.8........147.2........-2....Bloomberg: "Biden Contracts Covid as Pandemic Shows Its Staying Power"
07/22/22.........2725............188.5........196.8........74.6........147.2........-1....Bloomberg: "Two Children Diagnosed With Monkeypox in US, Officials Say"
07/23/22.........1425............188.1........197.5........74.4........147.1.........0....Bloomberg: "WHO Chief Overrules Panel to Declare Monkeypox Global Emergency"
07/24/22...........178............187.7........198.5........74.3........146.4.........0....Bloomberg: "(Treasury Secretary) Yellen Says Signs of US Recession Aren’t in Sight for Now"
07/25/22..........-684............187.2........200.3........74.0........146.2.........0....Bloomberg: "Shallow Recession Calls Are ‘Totally Delusional,’ Roubini Warns"
07/26/22........-1917............187.1........199.9........73.6........145.7........-2....Bloomberg: "US Consumer Confidence Drops to Lowest Since February 2021 as Inflation Bites"
07/27/22........-1773............186.5........199.9........73.3........144.9........-1....Fed hikes F-Funds .75% (to 2.25 to 2.50), continues $47.5 billion/month quant-tightening ($95 Sep) .
07/28/22........-2273............185.7........198.3........72.9........144.8........-2....Bloomberg: "Biden, Xi Plan In-Person Meeting as Taiwan Tensions Intensify"
07/29/22........-1602............185.2........198.1........73.1........144.6.........0....Bloomberg: "Shock July Stock Rally Was a Monster the Fed May Regret Seeing"
07/30/22..........-219............184.6........197.0........73.3........144.8........-2....Bloomberg: "Recession-Fueled Bond Rebound Faces Stern Tests Before Next FOMC"
07/31/22........-1345............184.2........196.2........73.5........144.7.........0....Bloomberg: "(Minneapolis Fed president) Kashkari Says Fed Committed to Slowing Inflation to 2% Goal"
.
...............................................................................................................US Overall
........................Global...............US..............US............US............US.......Non-Urban
......................Industrial.........Industrial.....Personal.....Durable.......Food.......Economic
..................Production(1)....Production.Consumption...Goods......Group(2)...Strength(3).................News and Events
08/01/22........-1324............183.9........194.7........74.2........144.6.........0....Bloomberg: "Biden Team Tries to Blunt China Rage as Pelosi Heads for Taiwan".
08/02/22........-2578............183.7........193.5........75.0........144.6........-1....Bloomberg: "Live: Pelosi Tells Tsai Visit Shows US Won't Abandon Taiwan"
08/03/22........-2157............183.7........192.4........76.0........144.3.......+1....Bloomberg: "Sinema Seeks to Keep Private Equity Break, Curb Corporate Tax" (Senate Spending Bill)
08/04/22..........-294............183.7........193.2........77.1........143.5.......+3....Bloomberg: "Sinema Backs Tax, Climate Bill as Carried Interest Dropped" (US Senate Spending Bill)
08/05/22........-1490............183.8........193.1........78.1........143.0.......+2....Bloomberg: "US Consumer Borrowing Jumps by More Than $40 Billion, Second-Most Ever"
08/06/22..........-542............183.9........193.2........79.1........142.3.......+4
08/07/22............-91............184.0........192.5........80.0........141.6.......+2....Bloomberg: "Senate Passes Democrats’ Landmark Tax, Climate, Drugs Bill" (Biden agenda / GOP warns)
08/08/22...........945............184.1........192.3........80.8........141.0.......+2....Bloomberg Late: "FBI Raid Focused on Material Trump Brought from White House" (Trump's home raided)
08/09/22...........770............184.1........191.7........81.5........140.9.......+1....Bloomberg Late: "Egg Prices in US Jump 47% as Food Inflation Soars, IRI Says" (July IRI grociery report)
08/10/22..........-580............184.2........191.9........82.3........141.3.......+2....US CPI Inflation Report (July): +8.5% YOY, +0.0% MOM; Core +5.9% YOY, +0.3% MOM.
08/11/22..........-496............184.2........192.6........83.1........142.5.......+1....Bloomberg: "(Biden Adm Atty Gen'l) Garland Seeks to Unseal Trump Warrant, Says He Approved Search"
08/12/22..........-917............184.0........192.5........83.8........142.6.........0....Bloomberg: "Top-Secret Label in (Just-Unsealed) Warrant Hints at Sensitivity of Trump Papers"
08/13/22..........-788............183.9........192.4........84.5........142.7........-2....Bloomberg: "(Two top) House Democrats Ask (Biden Ad) Intelligence Chief to Assess Trump Documents"
08/14/22..........-297............183.8........192.4........85.3........143.2........-1....Bloomberg: "JPMorgan Gold Traders Found Guilty (Of Price Manipulation) After Long Spoofing Trial"
08/15/22........-1062............183.8........193.0........86.0........143.9.......+1....Bloomberg: " ‘Dr. Doom’ Roubini Sees Either US Hard Landing or Uncontrolled Inflation"
08/16/22........-1030............184.1........192.8........86.7........143.5.......+2....Bloomberg: "Liz Cheney, Republican Who Defied Trump, Loses Wyoming Primary" (Vows to stop Trump)
08/17/22..........-337............184.2........192.1........87.3........143.5.......+1....Bloomberg: "Fed Saw Smaller Hikes Ahead to Assess Prior Moves, Minutes Show"
08/18/22..........-526............184.5........192.0........88.1........143.3.......+2....Bloomberg: "Trump’s Deepening Peril Put Squeeze on CFO to Take Deal, Testify" (On risk of unfair trial)
08/19/22..........-950............184.7........192.3........88.9........143.0.......+4....Bloomberg: "Mueller Memo Advising Barr on Trump Findings Ordered Released" ('16 Trump/Russia probe)
08/20/22........-1471............184.9........192.1........89.7........143.1.........0
08/21/22..........-968............185.0........191.4........90.3........143.6.........0
08/22/22..........-268............185.1........190.6........90.5........143.6.......+1....Bloomberg: "Home Sellers Are Slashing Prices in Pandemic Boomtowns" (Cooling housing market)
08/23/22...........301............185.0........190.3........90.6........143.3.........0
08/24/22..........-414............185.2........189.9........90.5........143.4........-2
08/25/22..........-524............185.7........190.3........90.3........143.3.......+2....Bloomberg: "Fed Officials Push for More Hikes; Bullard Favors Front-Loading"
08/26/22........-1424............186.0........190.4........90.1........143.4.........0....Bloomberg: "Powell’s New Guidance: Higher Rates for Longer to Beat Inflation"
08/27/22..........-873............186.5........191.3........90.0........143.5.........0....Bloomberg: "Fed Can’t Fix Fiscal-Driven Inflation: Jackson Hole Paper" (Fed Resve warns on fiscal policy)
08/28/22..........-621............187.2........192.3........90.0........143.5.......+2....Bloomberg: "Powell Heaps Pressure on Risk Sentiment as More Catalysts Loom"
08/29/22..........-176............187.6........193.7........89.4........143.1.......+2....Bloomberg: "Fed’s QT to Hit ‘Full Stride’ With Central Bank Shrinking $9 Trillion"
08/30/22...........127............188.3........196.0........88.7........142.5.......+2....Bloomberg: "Fed Gets New Path to Go Big as Job Openings, Confidence Surprise" (Topping Torecasts)
08/31/22..........-305............188.8........197.5........87.8........141.7.......+2....Bloomberg: "Alaska Special Election Upset Expands Democrats’ House Majority"
.
...............................................................................................................US Overall
........................Global...............US..............US............US............US.......Non-Urban
......................Industrial.........Industrial.....Personal.....Durable.......Food.......Economic
..................Production(1)....Production.Consumption...Goods......Group(2)...Strength(3).................News and Events
09/01/22..........-203............189.3........196.0........86.3........141.7........-1....Bloomberg: "Global Bonds Tumble Into Their First Bear Market in a Generation"
09/02/22..........-220............190.2........196.4........84.9........141.8.........0....Bloomberg: "Brace for ‘Recession Shock’ as Outflows Rock Equities, Bank of America Says"
09/03/22..........-678............190.8........196.9........84.1........142.1.........0....Robry825: Clarifications (in the notes just below) relating to global climate direction have been made.
09/04/22........-1100............191.4........197.4........83.2........142.5.........0....Bloomberg: "Germany to Make ‘Billions’ Off Energy Firm Levy, Scholz Says" (€65 billion electricity tax).
09/05/22........-1811............191.9........197.9........82.4........143.1.........0....Bloomberg: "Trump Wins Bid for ‘Special Master’ for Mar-a-Lago Records" (Grants 3rd party review)
09/06/22........-1174............192.5........198.7........81.8........143.0.......+2....Bloomberg: "California Blackouts Possible as It Raises Grid Emergency to Highest Level"
09/07/22........-1772............193.2........198.3........81.2........143.3........-2
09/08/22........-2075............193.9........197.6........80.7........143.3........-1....Bloomberg: "Queen Elizabeth II, UK’s Longest-Reigning Monarch, Dies at 96"
09/09/22........-1900............194.6........197.8........80.1........143.8.........0....Bloomberg: "Ukraine Army’s Breakthrough in North Threatens Russian Grip" (Older move in south failing)
09/10/22........-1811............195.4........198.9........79.6........144.0.........0....Bloomberg: "Russia Confirms Flight of Troops From Ukraine’s Kharkiv Area"
09/11/22........-1621............196.0........199.8........79.2........143.7.......+2....Bloomberg: "Mortgage Rates in US Jump to 5.89%, Highest Level Since 2008"
09/12/22........-2995............196.6........200.4........78.7........143.5.......+2....Bloomberg: "Rail-Strike Threat Squeezes Biden Between Unions, Economic Peril"
09/13/22........-3552............196.7........200.4........78.4........144.0........-1....US CPI Inflation Report (Aug): +8.3% YOY, +0.1% MOM; Core +6.3% YOY, +0.6% MOM. (Dow -1276.37)
09/14/22........-2440............196.9........201.3........78.2........144.2.........0....Bloomberg: "What You Need to Know About Amtrak and the Looming Freight-Rail Strike"
09/15/22........-2845............197.2........201.8........77.8........144.2.......+1....Bloomberg: "Global Recession Looms Amid Broad Rate Hikes, World Bank Says"
09/16/22........-2689............197.6........202.6........77.5........144.3.........0....Robry825: New all-time high on the US Industrial Production Index as both US & Global models heat up.
09/17/22........-3159............198.0........203.9........77.2........144.7.........0
09/18/22........-3108............198.3........205.5........77.0........145.2.........0
09/19/22........-2018............198.4........206.8........77.1........145.3.......+2
09/20/22........-1597............198.6........208.3........77.3........145.4.......+2....Bloomberg: "UN Latest: Scholz Accuses Russia of ‘Sheer Imperialism’ in Debut" (UN General Assembly)
09/21/22........-2845............198.7........208.5........77.4........145.3.......+4....Fed hikes F-Funds .75% (to 3.00 to 3.25), continues $95 billion/month quant-tightening .
09/22/22........-1081............198.9........208.2........77.7........145.7.........0....Bloomberg: "US Mortgage Rates Jump to 6.29%, Highest Since October 2008"
09/23/22.........1694............199.1........208.2........77.7........146.0.........0....Bloomberg: "UK’s Biggest Tax Cuts Since 1972 Trigger Crash in Pound, Bonds"
09/24/22.........2621............199.3........207.7........77.9........146.8.........0....Bloomberg: "Ukraine Latest: Russia Pushes Annexation; Putin May Speak Friday"
09/25/22.........3598............199.3........206.5........78.1........147.4........-1....Bloomberg: "White House Says Kremlin Has Been Warned on Nuclear Weapons"
09/26/22...........701............199.3........205.9........78.3........148.2........-1....Bloomberg: "Everything-Selloff on Wall Street Deepens on 98% Recession Odds"
09/27/22...........571............199.1........204.7........78.6........149.4........-2....Major European Natural Gas Pipelines Sabotoged (Incl Nord Stream 1&2), No One Claims Responsibility.
09/28/22...........505............198.8........204.5........78.9........150.3........-2....CNN: "Stocks, bonds rally after Bank of England says it will buy UK debt"
09/29/22...........544............198.4........204.9........79.7........151.0.........0....Bloomberg: "Ian Latest: Carolinas-Bound Storm Regains Hurricane Strength"
09/30/22........-2156............197.5........205.0........80.4........151.6.........0....Bloomberg: "Runaway Bear Market Blows Past Everything Meant to Slow It Down"
.
...............................................................................................................US Overall
........................Global...............US..............US............US............US.......Non-Urban
......................Industrial.........Industrial.....Personal.....Durable.......Food.......Economic
..................Production(1)....Production.Consumption...Goods......Group(2)...Strength(3).................News and Events
10/01/22...........177............197.0........204.0........81.1........151.9........-2....Bloomberg: "Fed Begins to Split on the Need for Speed to Peak Rates"
10/02/22.........3765............196.4........203.1........81.9........152.2........-2
10/03/22.........1885............195.7........202.4........82.4........152.5........-2
10/04/22..........-966............195.0........201.2........82.3........152.7........-4
10/05/22........-1966............194.2........201.1........82.1........152.7........-3
10/06/22........-5116............193.6........200.8........81.8........152.9........-3....Bloomberg: "Biden Says Putin Threats Real, Could Spark Nuclear ‘Armageddon’"
10/07/22........-4374............193.2........201.3........81.4........152.6.........0
10/08/22........-4010............192.7........201.1........80.9........153.1........-4
10/09/22........-6636............192.3........200.7........80.2........153.5........-4....Bloomberg: "Putin to Meet Top Security Officials as Crimea Bridge Blast Hits Prestige"
10/10/22........-8572............192.0........200.1........79.5........153.8........-4....Bloomberg: "Ukraine Latest: Biden Pledges (Continued) Air Defenses Amid Putin’s (Retrurn Strikes)"
10/11/22......-10858............191.9........199.8........78.8........154.1........-2....BBC: "Bank of England boss tells investors help will end in three days" (Bond-support ends Friday)
10/12/22........-5716............191.7........199.7........78.1........154.6........-4....Bloomberg: "US Core Inflation Seen Returning to 40-Year High as Rents Rise" (6.6% YOY expected)
10/13/22........-4592............191.7........200.1........77.5........154.4.......+1....US CPI Inflation Report (Aug): +8.2% YOY, +0.4% MOM; Core +6.6% YOY, +0.6% MOM. (Dow +830)
10/14/22........-6198............191.4........199.7........76.7........154.4........-3..
10/15/22........-7194............191.4........199.2........76.1........154.0........-1....Bloomberg: "NATO-China Tension Over Ukraine Flares at Conference in Iceland" (Over refusal to condemn)
10/16/22........-8595............191.3........198.7........75.5........153.4........-2
10/17/22........-7155............191.5........197.4........75.1........153.5........-2
10/18/22........-8242............191.5........196.6........74.7........154.1........-3....Bloomberg: "US Plans to Release 15 Million Barrels of Oil From Reserves" (may consider more)
10/19/22........-8613............191.5........197.2........74.7........154.2.........0
10/20/22......-13087............191.5........197.3........74.5........154.3........-1
10/21/22......-13368............191.7........197.8........74.7........154.2.......+4
10/22/22......-12653............191.6........197.8........74.5........153.3........-1....Bloomberg: "Bond Market Sees No End to Worst Turbulence Since Credit Crash"
10/23/22......-17429............191.7........198.4........74.3........152.7.......+2....Bloomberg: "After $13 Trillion Stock Crash, Signs of a Turn Are Now Mounting"
10/24/22......-14446............191.6........197.3........74.1........151.8........-2....Bloomberg: "Renters Hit Breaking Point in a Sudden Reversal for Landlords" (Rent gains starting to slow)
10/25/22......-12813............191.2........196.2........73.8........150.5........-2
10/26/22......-12651............191.2........194.0........73.7........149.5........-1....Bloomberg: "US New-Home Sales Decline as Rising Rates Sap Demand"
10/27/22......-10899............191.1........192.4........73.5........148.4........-2
10/28/22........-9091............191.5........190.3........73.4........147.6.........0....Bloomberg: "Fed Seen Aggressively Hiking to 5%, Triggering Global Recession" (0.75% hike expected)
10/29/22........-8441............191.5........189.4........72.9........146.9........-1
10/30/22........-9696............191.8........188.5........72.2........146.0.........0
10/31/22......-13609............192.1........186.8........71.8........144.6.........0
.
...............................................................................................................US Overall
........................Global...............US..............US............US............US.......Non-Urban
......................Industrial.........Industrial.....Personal.....Durable.......Food.......Economic
..................Production(1)....Production.Consumption...Goods......Group(2)...Strength(3).................News and Events
11/01/22......-16642............192.4........187.7........71.3........144.5.......+2
11/02/22......-14004............192.5........187.6........70.8........144.6........-2....Fed hikes F-Funds .75% (to 3.75 to 4.00). ADP October Pay rolls up 239,000, ADP wages up 7.7%.
11/03/22......-12041............192.5........187.1........70.5........144.8........-3.r
11/04/22......-13815............192.4........188.1........70.3........145.2........-2.r..BLS October Employment Report: 261,000 Jobs Added, Unemployment rate rises to 3.7% from 3.5%.
11/05/22......-14963............192.4........188.1........70.3........145.0.......+1.r
11/06/22......-18612p..........192.3........188.1........70.3........144.5.........0
.
.......
..Green......Indicates strengthening / expansionary trend (and global warming for the Global Industrial Production Model).
...........Red.......Indicates weakening / contracting trend (and global cooling for the Global Industrial Production Model).
.........r...Revised.
........p...Projected (Significant data outstanding).
.......(1)..Global data is from the global warming model (from icecap, snowpack, and sea-ice satellite data),
..............and is counter-cyclical (strengthens in contracting economies, softens in expanding economies).
.......(2)..Food-group is counter-cyclical (strengthens in contracting economies, softens in expanding economies).
.......(3)..Rank ranges from +4 (Most bullish) to -4 (Most bearish)
.
.
.
===============================Monthly.US Consumption Model.(MMCF/Day)==============================
....................Total US Consumption....................................US-Sourced..........................................Foreign-Sourced...............
..........2018....2019....2020....2021....2022........2018....2019....2020....2021....2022........2018....2019....2020....2021....2022
.........=====..=====..=====..=====..=====....=====..=====..=====..=====..=====.....=====..=====..=====..=====..=====
01......68.53...73.03...64.21...66.78...71.29......21.62...26.52...27.15...27.26...29.78...... 46.91.. 46.52.. 37.06.. 39.52.. 41.51.
02......67.42...66.75...59.38...64.74...76.67......21.97...21.36...21.98...25.02...34.03...... 45.44.. 45.39.. 37.40.. 39.72.. 42.64.
03......65.44...65.44...61.62...60.87...73.19......21.58...21.66...26.87...24.58...32.72...... 43.85.. 43.78.. 34.74.. 36.29.. 40.47.
04......59.96...61.59...58.50...68.70...64.75......20.38...20.24...24.38...32.57...29.65...... 39.58.. 41.35.. 34.12.. 36.13.. 35.10.
05......59.36...61.21...58.93...66.20...64.57......20.90...22.27...26.29...33.16...26.87...... 38.46.. 38.94.. 32.64.. 33.05.. 37.70.
06......59.29...57.76...56.83...71.52...61.88......20.00...26.66...24.65...37.49...27.92...... 39.29.. 31.10.. 32.18.. 34.03.. 33.95.
07......59.57...55.91...61.06...65.07...64.16......20.99...24.09...24.85...33.34...30.62...... 38.58.. 31.83.. 36.21.. 31.74.. 33.53.
08......59.90...55.81...55.74...65.63...61.43......20.38...24.01...21.85...32.19...27.26...... 39.52.. 31.80.. 33.88.. 33.44.. 34.17.
09......61.90...54.84...61.26...61.73...64.96......21.70...23.70...26.08...30.07...26.83...... 40.20.. 31.14.. 35.18.. 31.66.. 38.14.
10......64.18...53.98...58.85...59.13...57.38......22.71...23.45...24.63...27.47...23.52...... 41.47.. 30.54.. 34.22.. 31.66.. 33.86.
11......66.12...60.96...63.41...62.36...61.31i......22.85...25.65...25.79...25.44...23.35i...... 43.27.. 35.30.. 37.62.. 36.91.. 37.96i.
12......73.75...60.22...64.57...69.37...................24.75...25.24...25.43...30.11................... 49.01.. 34.97.. 39.14.. 39.26.. ..........
.
.
.
=============Daily Total US Consumption Model (MMCF)=============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
09/09/22....66.52....64.72....64.72....62.99....60.35....60.83....61.25....441.39
09/16/22....62.42....62.31....66.72....61.44....66.39....66.66....69.52....455.47
09/23/22....75.39....74.49....74.04....69.43....60.70....60.25....61.56....475.87
09/30/22....62.91....63.52....61.89....62.43....69.83....65.68....70.05....456.31
10/07/22....62.19....60.61....62.30....53.11....57.92....62.23....69.62....427.97
10/14/22....64.94....61.08....59.16....56.42....59.79....62.92....57.17....421.49
10/21/22....62.41....62.51....54.56....59.23....65.53....61.51....65.98....431.73
10/28/22....59.66....64.18....49.39....49.44....46.49....46.56....42.75....358.48
11/04/22....47.08....47.21....44.78....60.54....53.01....55.40....77.00....385.03
11/11/22....62.04....59.88..........................................................................121.92i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
11/05/21....46.32....48.12....45.05....47.80....48.79....45.23....51.57....332.89
11/12/21....41.99....45.97....46.04....49.93....58.12....63.86....65.67....371.58
11/19/21....70.31....67.21....63.45....67.64....69.89....68.79....74.29....481.59
11/26/21....73.92....77.38....68.42....68.13....67.96....72.28....70.23....498.33
12/03/21....72.01....71.45....68.72....68.56....66.49....66.91....66.63....480.78
.
.
.
===========Daily US-Sourced Consumption Model (MMCF)============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
09/09/22....28.03....26.23....26.23....26.23....26.23....25.48....26.32....184.76
09/16/22....26.80....27.57....28.57....26.14....29.73....25.55....27.02....191.37
09/23/22....30.22....29.22....28.78....26.36....25.57....26.34....26.40....192.89
09/30/22....25.68....26.30....25.82....26.42....26.36....25.72....26.17....182.47
10/07/22....26.51....26.51....26.51....22.41....27.25....34.78....37.87....201.85
10/14/22....29.90....26.04....26.04....24.99....26.79....31.46....26.55....191.78
10/21/22....24.47....24.57....24.57....25.47....27.52....27.11....28.04....181.76
10/28/22....21.88....21.33....18.78....16.51....15.25....12.28....11.52....117.55
11/04/22....12.05....12.04....12.00....27.24....17.73....18.29....32.86....132.21
11/11/22....21.99....22.02............................................................................44.00i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
11/05/21....12.20....12.74......9.08....11.14....11.14....11.06....15.86......83.24
11/12/21....13.13....16.13....16.35....21.12....21.08....30.32....29.99....148.13
11/19/21....30.81....29.81....25.27....26.68....33.58....31.10....31.97....209.21
11/26/21....30.15....31.74....29.49....32.11....32.60....32.42....30.74....219.26
12/03/21....32.64....32.17....31.74....31.86....31.04....31.45....31.45....222.34
.
.
.
=========Daily Foreign-Sourced Consumption Model (MMCF)==========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
09/09/22....38.49....38.49....38.49....36.76....34.12....35.35....34.94....256.63
09/16/22....35.62....34.73....38.15....35.30....36.67....41.12....42.50....264.09
09/23/22....45.17....45.26....45.26....43.08....35.13....33.92....35.16....282.97
09/30/22....37.23....37.23....36.07....36.01....43.47....39.96....43.88....273.84
10/07/22....35.68....34.10....35.78....30.70....30.67....27.45....31.75....226.13
10/14/22....35.04....35.04....33.12....31.43....33.00....31.46....30.62....229.71
10/21/22....37.94....37.94....29.99....33.76....38.01....34.40....37.94....249.97
10/28/22....37.78....42.85....30.61....32.93....31.25....34.28....31.23....240.93
11/04/22....35.03....35.17....32.78....33.30....35.28....37.11....44.14....252.82
11/11/22....40.06....37.86............................................................................77.92i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
11/05/21....34.12....35.38....35.97....36.65....37.65....34.17....35.71....249.65
11/12/21....28.86....29.84....29.69....28.81....37.04....33.54....35.68....223.45
11/19/21....39.50....37.41....38.19....40.96....36.30....37.69....42.33....272.38
11/26/21....43.77....45.63....38.93....36.02....35.36....39.86....39.49....279.07
12/03/21....39.37....39.27....36.99....36.70....35.46....35.46....35.18....258.43
 
 


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