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Msg  339536 of 438897  at  4/22/2010 12:10:10 AM  by

froggmister


Provenge competition

Recently this Seeking Alpha article was posted here…
http://tinyurl.com/2cryrvs
...that featured this comment:

“Provenge® could face competition in a relatively short period of time. Numerous active immunotherapies are in late-stage clinical development for prostate cancer – including a promising off-the-shelf vaccine set to begin a pivotal Phase III trial in 2010.”

Provenge followers or longtime bio-investors know first of all that a drug within a year of starting a PH. III trial is still a long ways away from getting a drug to market. In addition, PH III trials often struggle to duplicate PH II results—the list of examples is a long one, but one that is familiar to this crowd is CEGE’s GVAX. The drug referred to in the article is Prostvac.

After approval, which we are all hoping will occur shortly, there will be a new crop of people here looking into this company, and the questions will change from “whither approval?” to “How much will they charge?”… “Can they keep up with demand?”….”When is competition coming?”

I will attempt to organize some research on these, beginning with the last question. If you have other pertinent links please send them my way. I will add these to my research blog, which can be found in the links at the top of the DNDN IV page. These appear in order (in my opinion) of degree of threat to Provenge market.
http://dndninfo.blogspot.com/

Abiraterone (Johnson & Johnson)
Cancerhelp:
http://tinyurl.com/27n5btj
Wikipedia:
http://tinyurl.com/29xjobv
Miller’s thoughts, including uncovering a little more dirt on Dr. Scher:
http://tinyurl.com/yfh2cka
Ocyan responds to Miller on how Abiraterone trial could help Dendreon:
http://tinyurl.com/22s9j6u

Prostvac: (Bavarian Nordic)
Company link:
http://tinyurl.com/2f8shvr
Small and Fong paper on immunotherapy discussing Prostvac
http://tinyurl.com/2cz3vm8
Ocyan with some thoughts:
http://tinyurl.com/24pydd6

ZD4054/zibotentan (AstraZeneca)
Company slideshow Nov ’09…Zibo slides 98 and 99, which includes HR curves
http://tinyurl.com/2eszyje
Link to other links:
http://tinyurl.com/29nb883
Ocyan with some thoughts:
http://tinyurl.com/24aw6ph


OGX-011/Clusteren (Oncogenex)*
Wellsphere (also discusses zibo)
http://tinyurl.com/27w2vpt
Ocyan’s take:
http://tinyurl.com/2asxvwp
*Note: Since the only trials for this drug are + chemo trials, I don’t see this as real competition for Provenge


Other additions to the blog:
Dendreon at AACR, with more info on Mechanism of Action of Provenge:
http://tinyurl.com/yfh2cka

Dr. Kantoff on the durable effect of Provenge
http://tinyurl.com/yycp7yg

Ocyan with a link that explores Neuvenge for ovarian cancer
http://tinyurl.com/2e52u65


 
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Replies
Msg # Subject Author Recs Date Posted
339541 Re: Provenge competition splatball68 4/22/2010 1:40:06 AM


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