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Msg  446598 of 487114  at  6/15/2012 6:03:54 AM  by

robry825


Daily Gas Flows (Part 6- Supply)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


==============================Monthly.US.Dry-Gas.Supply.Models.(BCF/Day)=============================
......................Net.US.Supply..............................Production.......................Dry-Gas.Imports........LNG.Imports.(Revaporized)
_____ 2009__2010__2011__2012___ 2009__2010__2011__2012__ 2009_2010_2011_2012__ 2009_2010_2011_2012
01......68.71...68.64...72.20...72.11......59.75...58.37...64.27...66.99.....7.89...8.50...7.20...4.65......1.06...1.77...0.73...0.47.
02......67.44...67.90...68.62...69.87......58.93...58.44...61.75...65.05.....7.65...8.00...6.13...4.39......0.86...1.46...0.75...0.43.
03......65.73...64.43...68.73...68.53......57.96...57.01...63.33...64.38.....6.84...6.46...4.80...3.75......0.93...0.96...0.60...0.41.
04......66.75...65.19...70.16...69.56......58.82...57.45...64.72...65.44.....6.55...6.70...4.83...3.78......1.37...1.03...0.61...0.33.
05......63.94...66.45...68.87...67.67......57.46...59.26...64.49...63.83.....4.99...6.30...3.94...3.66......1.49...0.89...0.44...0.17.
06......65.03...66.40...69.42...67.86i.....57.59...59.07...65.01...63.41i....6.25...6.27...4.00...4.27i......1.20...1.06...0.41...0.18i
07......63.33...67.98...69.82..................54.78...59.74...64.07.................7.66...7.65...5.48................0.90...0.59...0.27...........
08......64.24...69.39...70.89..................55.23...61.63...65.95.................8.34...7.25...4.71................0.67...0.50...0.22...........
09......60.57...68.16...71.20..................52.27...61.16...66.83.................7.58...6.43...4.11................0.72...0.56...0.26...........
10......61.73...68.06...72.71..................54.94...61.79...67.83.................6.03...5.77...4.53................0.76...0.50...0.35...........
11......63.55...68.07...72.78..................56.74...63.04...68.51.................6.05...4.45...4.02................0.76...0.58...0.25...........
12......65.35...74.27...71.55..................56.79...66.60...66.15.................7.22...6.83...4.98................1.33...0.84...0.42...........



=====================================Monthly US Dry-Gas Import/Export Models (BCF/Day)=====================================
.........Net US Dry-Gas Imports.................Canadian Imports...................Canadian.Exports.................Mexican Imports*..............Mexican Exports*
____ 2009_2010_2011_2012____ 2009__2010__2011__2012___2009_2010_2011_2012___2009_2010_2011_2012__ 2009_2010_2011_2012
01......7.89...8.50...7.20...4.65........11.64...11.72...10.60.....7.74.......3.16...2.45...2.59...2.17.......0.23...0.05...0.00...0.00......0.83...0.82...0.81...0.92.
02......7.65...8.00...6.13...4.39........11.93...10.96...10.02.....7.74.......3.47...2.24...2.90...2.31.......0.02...0.04...0.00...0.00......0.83...0.76...0.99...1.04.
03......6.84...6.46...4.80...3.75........10.60.....9.91.....8.82.....7.33.......3.01...2.94...3.02...2.53.......0.00...0.11...0.00...0.00......0.75...0.62...1.00...1.05.
04......6.55...6.70...4.83...3.78..........9.70.....9.90.....8.28.....7.14.......2.77...2.72...2.54...2.32.......0.25...0.03...0.00...0.00......0.63...0.50...0.91...1.04.
05......4.99...6.30...3.94...3.66..........8.45...10.02.....7.55.....7.24.......2.64...3.05...2.60...2.41.......0.03...0.00...0.00...0.00......0.85...0.67...1.00...1.16.
06......6.25...6.27...4.00...4.27i.........9.39.....9.93.....7.86.....7.54i......2.37...2.87...2.77...2.02i.......0.05...0.00...0.00...0.00i.....0.82...0.79...1.09...1.25i
07......7.66...7.65...5.48..................10.50...11.29.....8.62...................1.98...2.83...2.05.................0.06...0.00...0.00................0.93...0.81...1.09...........
08......8.34...7.25...4.71..................11.37...10.79.....8.11...................2.12...2.69...2.36.................0.02...0.00...0.00................0.92...0.84...1.04...........
09......7.58...6.43...4.11..................10.48.....9.90.....7.83...................2.00...2.82...2.64.................0.02...0.05...0.00................0.92...0.69...1.08...........
10......6.03...5.77...4.53....................8.68.....9.28.....7.84...................1.87...2.84...2.15.................0.07...0.01...0.00................0.85...0.68...1.16...........
11......6.05...4.45...4.02....................9.58.....8.02.....7.57...................2.69...2.78...2.53.................0.00...0.00...0.00................0.84...0.80...1.02...........
12......7.22...6.83...4.98..................10.63...10.23.....8.34...................2.67...2.47...2.37.................0.11...0.02...0.00................0.85...0.94...0.99...........
......* = Experimental Model



===============Daily Net US Supply Model (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
04/13/12....69.15....68.87....69.76....71.29....70.54....70.20....69.35....489.17
04/20/12....69.34....69.44....70.13....69.97....69.33....68.53....68.79....485.53
04/27/12....71.55....70.52....71.17....68.81....68.96....68.83....68.61....488.45
05/04/12....68.69....68.73....68.89....68.40....68.28....67.75....68.16....478.90
05/11/12....67.62....67.11....67.09....66.23....67.72....67.80....66.94....470.52
05/18/12....66.78....66.54....67.17....66.71....66.86....67.07....66.63....467.76
05/25/12....66.41....66.44....67.05....67.66....68.10....67.99....68.21....471.87
06/01/12....68.82....69.14....69.46....69.70....68.97....68.84....68.64....483.56
06/08/12....68.27....68.44....68.56....67.18....66.43....66.56....66.93....472.38
06/15/12....67.45....67.97....69.02........................................................204.45i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
06/10/11....69.44....69.64....70.45....70.38....71.71....71.50....69.36....492.48
06/17/11....68.74....69.41....69.48....67.22....68.83....67.82....67.93....479.42
06/24/11....69.46....69.12....70.39....70.00....70.16....70.25....68.69....488.07
07/01/11....68.20....68.35....69.14....69.05....69.53....68.22....67.10....479.57
07/08/11....68.31....68.17....68.69....69.50....69.13....68.42....67.50....479.72



===============Daily US Production Model (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
04/13/12....65.01....64.77....65.38....66.22....66.30....65.82....65.30....458.79
04/20/12....65.25....65.28....65.94....65.75....65.99....64.75....65.02....457.98
04/27/12....67.45....66.64....66.93....64.42....65.34....64.65....64.62....460.04
05/04/12....64.87....64.87....64.93....64.39....63.96....63.34....64.13....450.49
05/11/12....63.52....63.49....63.56....62.64....63.90....64.31....63.59....445.01
05/18/12....63.24....63.16....63.41....62.96....63.10....63.33....63.04....442.24
05/25/12....62.93....63.17....63.60....63.49....63.86....63.93....64.32....445.30
06/01/12....64.59....65.02....65.49....65.53....64.97....64.83....64.41....454.85
06/08/12....63.96....64.41....64.42....62.64....61.99....61.78....62.62....441.83
06/15/12....62.99....63.32....64.12........................................................190.43i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
06/10/11....65.74....65.78....66.46....65.32....65.89....65.89....64.77....459.85
06/17/11....64.51....65.09....65.10....62.70....64.63....63.82....63.74....449.61
06/24/11....65.34....65.12....66.12....65.52....65.57....65.40....64.36....457.42
07/01/11....64.07....64.29....64.83....64.49....64.50....63.30....62.36....447.84
07/08/11....63.23....63.21....63.54....64.14....63.48....62.99....62.54....443.13
....Estimated sample size: 72%


===========Daily US Net Dry-Gas Imports Model (BCF/Day)===========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
04/13/12......3.82......3.78......4.04......4.57......3.80......4.02......3.77......27.79
04/20/12......3.75......3.85......3.85......3.87......3.03......3.41......3.19......24.96
04/27/12......3.78......3.58......3.87......4.00......3.31......3.85......3.76......26.14
05/04/12......3.66......3.69......3.80......3.88......4.19......4.26......3.88......27.34
05/11/12......3.97......3.50......3.41......3.43......3.71......3.37......3.22......24.61
05/18/12......3.35......3.17......3.54......3.61......3.56......3.52......3.41......24.16
05/25/12......3.31......3.09......3.26......3.96......4.06......3.86......3.70......25.25
06/01/12......4.05......3.94......3.81......3.97......3.79......3.79......4.01......27.36
06/08/12......4.07......3.78......3.91......4.31......4.31......4.63......4.18......29.18
06/15/12......4.30......4.51......4.75..........................................................13.56i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
06/10/11......3.28......3.46......3.61......4.67......5.32......5.18......4.15......29.68
06/17/11......3.83......3.89......3.94......4.02......3.86......3.54......3.56......26.64
06/24/11......3.62......3.51......3.76......3.92......4.21......4.50......3.95......27.46
07/01/11......3.76......3.84......4.06......4.30......4.69......4.69......4.55......29.87
07/08/11......4.82......4.71......4.91......5.11......5.30......5.17......4.66......34.67
....Estimated sample size: 120%


==========Daily US LNG Imports (As Revaporized, BCF/Day)===========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
04/13/12......0.33......0.33......0.34......0.51......0.44......0.36......0.29........2.59
04/20/12......0.34......0.31......0.34......0.35......0.31......0.37......0.57........2.59
04/27/12......0.31......0.30......0.37......0.39......0.32......0.34......0.23........2.27
05/04/12......0.16......0.17......0.17......0.14......0.13......0.15......0.15........1.06
05/11/12......0.13......0.12......0.12......0.16......0.12......0.12......0.13........0.90
05/18/12......0.20......0.21......0.22......0.14......0.20......0.22......0.18........1.37
05/25/12......0.17......0.18......0.19......0.21......0.18......0.20......0.19........1.33
06/01/12......0.18......0.18......0.16......0.20......0.20......0.22......0.21........1.36
06/08/12......0.25......0.25......0.23......0.23......0.13......0.15......0.13........1.36
06/15/12......0.17......0.13......0.15............................................................0.46i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
06/10/11......0.43......0.40......0.38......0.39......0.50......0.42......0.43........2.95
06/17/11......0.40......0.43......0.43......0.50......0.34......0.45......0.62........3.16
06/24/11......0.50......0.50......0.51......0.57......0.38......0.36......0.38........3.19
07/01/11......0.37......0.22......0.26......0.26......0.34......0.22......0.19........1.86
07/08/11......0.27......0.25......0.25......0.25......0.35......0.26......0.30........1.92
....Estimated sample size: 81%


===========Daily US Net Dry-Gas Imports Model (BCF/Day)===========
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
04/13/12......3.82......3.78......4.04......4.57......3.80......4.02......3.77......27.79
04/20/12......3.75......3.85......3.85......3.87......3.03......3.41......3.19......24.96
04/27/12......3.78......3.58......3.87......4.00......3.31......3.85......3.76......26.14
05/04/12......3.66......3.69......3.80......3.88......4.19......4.26......3.88......27.34
05/11/12......3.97......3.50......3.41......3.43......3.71......3.37......3.22......24.61
05/18/12......3.35......3.17......3.54......3.61......3.56......3.52......3.41......24.16
05/25/12......3.31......3.09......3.26......3.96......4.06......3.86......3.70......25.25
06/01/12......4.05......3.94......3.81......3.97......3.79......3.79......4.01......27.36
06/08/12......4.07......3.78......3.91......4.31......4.31......4.63......4.18......29.18
06/15/12......4.30......4.51......4.75..........................................................13.56i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
06/10/11......3.28......3.46......3.61......4.67......5.32......5.18......4.15......29.68
06/17/11......3.83......3.89......3.94......4.02......3.86......3.54......3.56......26.64
06/24/11......3.62......3.51......3.76......3.92......4.21......4.50......3.95......27.46
07/01/11......3.76......3.84......4.06......4.30......4.69......4.69......4.55......29.87
07/08/11......4.82......4.71......4.91......5.11......5.30......5.17......4.66......34.67
....Estimated sample size: 120%


=============Daily US Imports From Canada (BCF/Day)==============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
04/13/12......7.17......7.17......7.44......7.52......7.17......7.16......7.14......50.77
04/20/12......7.01......7.13......7.20......7.23......6.69......7.00......6.64......48.89
04/27/12......7.16......6.97......7.23......7.20......6.57......7.27......7.19......49.59
05/04/12......7.03......7.11......7.22......7.17......7.33......7.44......7.03......50.33
05/11/12......6.77......6.83......6.78......6.79......7.04......7.06......7.02......48.28
05/18/12......6.90......6.84......7.10......7.40......7.34......7.22......7.29......50.09
05/25/12......7.23......7.24......7.38......7.83......7.66......7.49......7.24......52.08
06/01/12......7.44......7.49......7.37......7.66......7.49......7.52......7.36......52.33
06/08/12......7.18......6.83......7.22......7.65......7.33......8.00......7.59......51.81
06/15/12......7.57......7.77......8.02..........................................................23.37i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
06/10/11......7.08......7.21......7.40......8.39......8.97......8.85......7.85......55.76
06/17/11......7.33......7.50......7.60......8.09......7.88......7.40......7.51......53.31
06/24/11......7.52......7.35......7.70......7.99......8.15......8.45......7.86......55.02
07/01/11......7.64......7.73......7.91......8.41......8.67......8.54......8.22......57.11
07/08/11......8.27......8.23......8.37......8.60......8.68......8.62......8.02......58.80
....Estimated sample size: 115%


==============Daily US Exports To Canada (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
04/13/12......2.46......2.48......2.48......2.03......2.36......2.17......2.31......16.27
04/20/12......2.36......2.40......2.29......2.16......2.47......2.43......2.23......16.35
04/27/12......2.26......2.29......2.25......2.12......2.19......2.29......2.26......15.66
05/04/12......2.30......2.32......2.35......2.23......2.10......2.20......2.17......15.66
05/11/12......1.80......2.31......2.31......2.30......2.23......2.43......2.53......15.91
05/18/12......2.54......2.46......2.42......2.50......2.48......2.38......2.60......17.39
05/25/12......2.88......2.90......2.84......2.55......2.35......2.35......2.31......18.17
06/01/12......2.40......2.40......2.40......2.47......2.43......2.44......2.15......16.69
06/08/12......2.03......1.77......2.06......2.05......1.76......2.10......2.13......13.90
06/15/12......2.05......2.03......2.03............................................................6.12i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
06/10/11......2.75......2.76......2.74......2.64......2.61......2.65......2.68......18.83
06/17/11......2.54......2.69......2.60......2.84......2.84......2.74......2.86......19.11
06/24/11......2.85......2.79......2.83......2.90......2.72......2.84......2.77......19.71
07/01/11......2.80......2.79......2.77......2.90......2.87......2.75......2.61......19.50
07/08/11......2.42......2.49......2.42......2.53......2.29......2.30......2.28......16.74
....Estimated sample size: 205%


=============Daily US Imports From Mexico (BCF/Day)==============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
04/13/12......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
04/20/12......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
04/27/12......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
05/04/12......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
05/11/12......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
05/18/12......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
05/25/12......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
06/01/12......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
06/08/12......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
06/15/12......0.00......0.00......0.00............................................................0.00i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
06/10/11......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
06/17/11......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
06/24/11......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
07/01/11......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
07/08/11......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00......0.00........0.00
....Estimated sample size: 8%


==============Daily US Exports To Mexico (BCF/Day)===============
_Week____Sat____Sun___ Mon___Tue___Wed___ Thr____Fri____Total
04/13/12......0.89......0.91......0.93......0.93......1.01......0.96......1.07........6.70
04/20/12......0.90......0.88......1.05......1.19......1.19......1.16......1.22........7.59
04/27/12......1.12......1.10......1.11......1.09......1.07......1.13......1.17........7.79
05/04/12......1.08......1.10......1.07......1.06......1.04......0.99......0.98........7.32
05/11/12......1.00......1.01......1.06......1.05......1.11......1.26......1.27........7.75
05/18/12......1.01......1.21......1.14......1.29......1.30......1.32......1.28........8.54
05/25/12......1.04......1.25......1.28......1.32......1.25......1.29......1.23........8.67
06/01/12......1.00......1.14......1.16......1.22......1.26......1.28......1.21........8.27
06/08/12......1.08......1.29......1.26......1.29......1.26......1.27......1.28........8.73
06/15/12......1.23......1.23......1.24............................................................3.69i
__________________________Year_Ago__________________________
06/10/11......1.05......0.98......1.05......1.08......1.04......1.02......1.02........7.24
06/17/11......0.96......0.92......1.05......1.23......1.18......1.12......1.08........7.55
06/24/11......1.05......1.06......1.11......1.17......1.21......1.11......1.14........7.85
07/01/11......1.08......1.10......1.07......1.21......1.11......1.10......1.06........7.74
07/08/11......1.03......1.04......1.03......0.96......1.10......1.15......1.08........7.39
....Estimated sample size: 81%




 
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