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Oil and Energy
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Re: It has turned back to warm and dry in Ohio Valley - NOAA 6 to 10 day ( plus regional)We've had more rain - almost a full day of rain yesterday - more like the stuff of Halloween. La Nada! I left the regional stuff in for the locals. Scroll down to get to the NOAA 6 to 10 day maps: I'll get to Joe's Saturday Summary before the weekend is over.. Saturday, September 24, 2016A Normal SummerWith summer just ending, it is time to look back on the summer of 2016 over the western U.S. And by most measures it was a relatively normal one, particularly here in the Pacific Northwest. I will show you anomaly (difference from normal) maps for the 90-day period from June 25 through September 22, 2016. First, maximum temperature. For most of Washington, maximum temperatures were modestly below normal, with the main exception being the Puget Sound region. Inland CA was a bit warmer than normal Minimum temperatures were generally within two degrees of normal. Nothing remarkable. Precipitation? A few inches below normal in the west, except for portions of western Washington State. But the west generally doesn't get much over summer anywhere because of the eastern Pacific high. Now I could have given you a much, much scarier picture. Here is the percent of average precipitation for the same period. OMG! Much of California received less than 25% of normal! But they normally get very little in summer, so such low numbers are really meaningless. You've got to be careful with statistics. With a normal snowpack from last winter and normal temperature/precipitation over the summer, this has been one of the most benign wildfire seasons in years. Consider this. By Aug. 30, 2014, Department of Natural Resources firefighters had responded to 687 fires covering 191,000 acres. Last year by Aug. 30, they had responded to 996 fires covering 328,000 acres. This year on Aug. 30, they had responded to 637 fires, but only covering 15,000 acres. The latest 6-10 day forecast from NOAA (and we really don't have much skill beyond that) shows cooler than normal and wetter than normal conditions. _______________________________ |
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