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Msg  3130 of 5409  at  5/11/2012 12:49:08 PM  by

dimwitrhino


 In response to msg 3128 by  Public_Heel
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Re: Update - what are the REAL reserves?

I've actually been working to understand DTX. It's probably next up in the batter's box for inclusion.
 
NVS and ARN are the two most consistent bottom dwellers lately for EV / 2P (at this size of enterprise anyway). Their reserves are dirt cheap.  
 
Take a look at the MEL and Cutpick deals on a reserves basis. I find it interesting that 2 transactions have gone down recently that valued 2P around $20 a barrel and when adjusted for dry gas, around $29 per barrel. Two market transactions, very, very close in valuing the underlying 3rd party assessed assets. There's only a small deviation in valuation difference. Also a small deviation on the stated % of oil& liquids (65% vs. 67%).
 
ARN on a 2P/2P adjusted for dry gas basis is currently valued 40%/94% below the average MEL and Cutpick metrics. NVS is valued 50%/85% below MEL/Cutpick.
 
We can sleep well at night knowing that the market thinks our companies' management is clueless and that the oil in our ground is worth a lot less than other peoples. 
 


 
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