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Msg  4835 of 5374  at  5/3/2012 2:46:07 PM  by

The Red


 In response to msg 4832 by  architect*
ignore topicview thread,  thread start

Re: Hugo Chavez... some valuations for PMG and colleagues

 << Have you run any 2P NAV + CF valuations (50/50 wieght) on PMG verse PXT and CZE. -a* >>
 
I don't do that. I just look at the EV/2P boe ratio and the EV/CF ratio separately.   However, as you already know, I do calculate the EV/(2P NPV@0%) ratio.      Here's that number for Colombian mid-tiers and juniors of interest:
 
CZE -    0.36
PMG -   0.50
PRE -    0.65
GTE -    0.77
PXT  -    1.0
 
PMG EV/CF ratio = 2.1, the lowest of the lot.
CZE =  2.7,
PXT =  2.9, 
GTE = 5.9
PRE = 7.2
 
PRE dividend yield = 1.5%
PMG  dividend yield = 3.5%

IMO, the higher valuations of 118K boed PRE are justified.   All the above 5 are cheap by recent historical valuation standards.    For stock pickers, the play and company strategy are key IMO.   
 
An investor could buy a basket of equal parts of all these 5 companies, promise to not look near term, and in a few years times if it all works out, the basket should be up substantially. 


 
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Msg # Subject Author Recs Date Posted
4836 Re: Hugo Chavez... some valuations for PMG and colleagues clambo 5/3/2012 4:20:51 PM


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