CHK WITHOUT THE FRAT BOYS (related stock CHK)
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Msg  21909 of 27158  at  3/23/2012 1:37:26 PM  by

gabe441


 In response to msg 21904 by  sublimesubprime
ignore topicview thread,  thread start

Re: Robry Long Term Model

The 2012 injection season s/b very interesting. On a weather-neutral basis Robry has 3,932 as the projected 2012 peak storage later this fall. That projected storage amount is not much higher than the 2011 peak (3,852 at 11/18/2011) or the 2010 peak (3,840 at 11/5/2010).

The fix may very well be in with a current 3 bcf/d favorable supply-demand balance. At that rate we could work off 100 bcf/month of excess storage and end up near Robry's projected 2012 peak of 3,932.

Of course, many variables, primarily weather and reversal of coal-to-gas swithing based on any increase in NG pricing.


 
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